370105. Atmospheric dynamics


Title370105. Atmospheric dynamics
Parent3701. Atmospheric sciences

Latest research outputs

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Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Sharmila, S., Narsey, Sugata and de Burgh-Day, Catherine. 2021. "Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System." Weather and Forecasting. 37 (1), pp. 23-44. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0046.1

Article

Seasonal climate influences on the timing of the Australian monsoon onset
Lisonbee, Joel and Ribbe, Joachim. 2021. "Seasonal climate influences on the timing of the Australian monsoon onset." Weather and Climate Dynamics. 2 (2), pp. 489-506. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-489-2021

Article

The benefits of ensemble prediction for forecasting an extreme event: the Queensland floods of February 2019
Hawcroft, Matt, Lavender, Sally, Copsey, Dan, Milton, Sean, Rodriguez, Jose, Tennant, Warren, Webster, Stuart and Cowan, Tim. 2021. "The benefits of ensemble prediction for forecasting an extreme event: the Queensland floods of February 2019." Monthly Weather Review. 149, pp. 2391-2408. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0330.1

Case Study

Climatology of Borneo vortices in the HadGEM3-GC3.1 General Circulation Model
Liang, Ju, Catto, Jennifer L., Hawcroft, Matthew, Hodges, Kevin I., Tan, Mou Leong and Haywood, James M.. 2021. "Climatology of Borneo vortices in the HadGEM3-GC3.1 General Circulation Model." Journal of Climate. 34 (9), pp. 3401-3419. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0604.1

Article

Walker circulation response to extratropical radiative forcing
Kang, Sarah M., Xie, Shang-Ping, Shin, Yechul, Kim, Hanjun, Hwang, Yen-Ting, Stuecker, Malte F., Xiang, Baoqiang and Hawcroft, Matt. 2020. "Walker circulation response to extratropical radiative forcing." Science Advances. 6 (47). https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd3021

Article

Subseasonal drivers of extreme fire weather in Australia and its prediction in ACCESS-S1 during spring and summer
Marshall, Andrew, Gregory, Paul A, de Burgh-Day, Catherine O and Griffiths, Morwenna. 2021. "Subseasonal drivers of extreme fire weather in Australia and its prediction in ACCESS-S1 during spring and summer." 2021 Bureau of Meteorology Annual Research and Development Workshop. 08 - 11 Nov 2021 Australia.

Keynote

Tropical forcing of Australian extreme low minimum temperatures in September 2019
Lim, E., Hendon, H., Shi, L., de Burgh-Day, C., Hudson, D., King, A., Trewin, B., Griffiths, M. and Marshall, A.. 2021. "Tropical forcing of Australian extreme low minimum temperatures in September 2019." Climate Dynamics. 56 (11-12), p. 3625–3641. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05661-8

Article

Central Pacific El Niño as a precursor to summer drought-breaking rainfall over southeastern Australia
Freund, Mandy B., Marshall, Andrew G., Wheeler, Matthew C. and Brown, Jaclyn N.. 2021. "Central Pacific El Niño as a precursor to summer drought-breaking rainfall over southeastern Australia." Geophysical Research Letters. 48 (7). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091131

Article

Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Multiweek Prediction of Australian Rainfall Extremes using the ACCESS-S1 Prediction System
Marshall, Andrew G., Hendon, Harry H. and Hudson, Debra. 2021. "Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Multiweek Prediction of Australian Rainfall Extremes using the ACCESS-S1 Prediction System." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 71, pp. 159-180. https://doi.org/10.1071/ES21001

Article

Niño 4 West (Niño-4W) sea surface temperature variability
Feng, Ming, Zhang, Ying, Hendon, Harry H., McPhaden, Michael J. and Marshall, Andrew G.. 2021. "Niño 4 West (Niño-4W) sea surface temperature variability." Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 126 (9). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC017591

Article

Why Australia was not wet during spring 2020 despite La Niña
Lim, Eun-Pa, Hudson, Debra, Wheeler, Matthew C., Marshall, Andrew G., King, Andrew, Zhu, Hongyan, Hendon, Harry H., de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Trewin, Blair, Griffiths, Morwenna, Ramchurn, Avijeet and Young, Griffith. 2021. "Why Australia was not wet during spring 2020 despite La Niña." Scientific Reports. 11. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-97690-w

Article

Multi-week prediction of northern Australian summer rainfall bursts in ACCESS-S1
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Sur, S., Narsey, S. and de Burgh-Day, C.. 2021. "Multi-week prediction of northern Australian summer rainfall bursts in ACCESS-S1." 28th Annual Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. online 08 - 12 Feb 2021

Presentation

The meteorology and forecast potential of the February 2019 northern Queensland floods
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., de Burgh-Day, C. and Nguyen, H.. 2021. "The meteorology and forecast potential of the February 2019 northern Queensland floods." NRM in the Rangelands Conference 2021. Longreach, Australia 05 - 08 Oct 2021

Presentation

Developing a better understanding of the Australian monsoon and wet season onset climatology
Lisonbee, Joel Raphael. 2021. Developing a better understanding of the Australian monsoon and wet season onset climatology. PhD by Publication Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland. https://doi.org/10.26192/q73yv

PhD by Publication

Present-day greenhouse gases could cause more frequent and longer Dust Bowl heatwaves
Cowan, Tim, Indorf, Sabine, Hegerl, Gabriele C., Harrington, Luke J. and Otto, Friederike E. L.. 2020. "Present-day greenhouse gases could cause more frequent and longer Dust Bowl heatwaves." Nature Climate Change. 10 (6), pp. 505-510. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0771-7

Article

Ocean and land forcing of the record-breaking Dust Bowl heatwaves across central United States
Cowan, Tim, Hegerl, Gabriele C., Schurer, Andrew, Tett, Simon F. B., Vautard, Robert, Yiou, Pascal, Jezequel, Aglae, Otto, Friederike E. L., Harrington, Luke J. and Ng, Benjamin. 2020. "Ocean and land forcing of the record-breaking Dust Bowl heatwaves across central United States." Nature Communications. 11 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16676-w

Article

Insights from CMIP6 for Australia's future climate
Grose, M. R., Narsey, S., Delage, F. P., Dowdy, A. J., Bador, M., Boschat, G., Chung, C., Kajtar, J. B., Rauniyar, S., Freund, M. B., Lyu, K., Rashid, H., Zhang, X., Wales, S., Trenham, C., Holbrook, N. J., Cowan, T., Alexander, L., Arblaster, J. M. and Power, S.. 2020. "Insights from CMIP6 for Australia's future climate." Earth's Future. 8 (5). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001469

Article

Real world and tropical cyclone world. Part II: sensitivity of tropical cyclone formation to uniform and meridionally varying sea surface temperatures under aquaplanet conditions
Walsh, K. J. E., Sur, Sharmila, Thatcher, M., Wales, S., Utembe, S. and Vaughan, A.. 2020. "Real world and tropical cyclone world. Part II: sensitivity of tropical cyclone formation to uniform and meridionally varying sea surface temperatures under aquaplanet conditions." Journal of Climate. 33 (4), pp. 1473-1486. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0079.1

Article

Causes of climate change over the historical record
Hegerl, Gabriele C., Bronnimann, Stefan, Cowan, Tim, Friedman, Andrew R., Hawkins, Ed, Iles, Carley, Muller, Wolfgang, Schurer, Andrew and Undorf, Sabine. 2019. "Causes of climate change over the historical record." Environmental Research Letters. 14 (12), pp. 1-25. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab4557

Article

Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: climatology, variability, predictability, and trends
Chand, Savin S., Dowdy, Andrew J., Ramsay, Hamish A., Walsh, Kevin J. E., Tory, Kevin J., Power, Scott B., Bell, Samuel S., Lavender, Sally L., Ye, Hua and Kuleshov, Yuri. 2019. "Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: climatology, variability, predictability, and trends." WIREs Climate Change. 10 (5), pp. 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.602

Article

Climate driver impacts on global ocean surface wave variability and extremes
Marshall, A., Hendon, H., Hemer, M., McInnes, K. and Durrant, T.. 2020. "Climate driver impacts on global ocean surface wave variability and extremes." 27th AMOS Annual Conference and International Conference on Indian Ocean Meteorology and Oceanography (AMOS 2020. Fremantle, Australia 10 - 14 Feb 2020

Presentation

Australian blocking impacts on ocean surface waves
Marshall, Andrew G, Hemer, Mark A. and McInnes, Kathleen L. M. 2020. "Australian blocking impacts on ocean surface waves." Climate Dynamics. 54 (3-4), pp. 1281-1294. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05058-8

Article

Sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction of rainfall extremes in Australia
King, Andrew D., Hudson, Debra, Lim, Eun-Pa, Marshall, Andrew G., Hendon, Harry H., Lane, Todd P. and Alves, Oscar. 2020. "Sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction of rainfall extremes in Australia." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 146 (730), pp. 2228-2249. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3789

Article

Influence of the Pacific-South American modes on the global spectral wind-wave climate
Echevarria, E. R., Hemer, M. A., Holbrook, N. J. and Marshall, A. G.. 2020. "Influence of the Pacific-South American modes on the global spectral wind-wave climate." Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 125 (8). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016354

Article

Predicting the extreme conditions in northern Australia associated with the February 2019 rainfall event
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Alves, O., Narsey, S., de Burgh-Day, C., Griffiths, M., Jarvis, C., Cobon, D. and Hawcroft, D.M.. 2020. "Predicting the extreme conditions in northern Australia associated with the February 2019 rainfall event." Bureau of Meteorology Climate Training 2020. Melbourne, Australia 12 - 12 Mar 2020

Presentation

Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system
Slivinski, Laura C., Compo, Gilbert P., Whitaker, Jeffrey S., Sardeshmukh, Prashant D., Giese, Benjamin S., McColl, Chesley, Allan, Rob, Yin, Xungang, Vose, Russell, Titchner, Holly, Kennedy, John, Spencer, Lawrence J., Ashcroft, Linden, Bronnimann, Stefan, Brunet, Manola, Camuffo, Dario, Cornes, Richard, Cram, Thomas A., Crouthamel, Richard, ..., Wyszynski, Przemysław. 2019. "Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 145 (724), pp. 2876-2908. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3598

Article

Disentangling the causes of the 1816 European year without a summer
Schurer, Andrew P., Hegerl, Gabriele C., Luterbacher, Jurg, Bronnimann, Stefan, Cowan, Tim, Tett, Simon F. B., Zanchettin, Davide and Timmreck, Claudia. 2019. "Disentangling the causes of the 1816 European year without a summer." Environmental Research Letters. 14 (094019), pp. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab3a10

Article

Circulation analogues and uncertainty in the time‑evolution of extreme event probabilities: evidence from the 1947 Central European heatwave
Harrington, Luke J., Otto, Friederike E. L., Cowan, Tim and Hegerl, Gabriele C.. 2019. "Circulation analogues and uncertainty in the time‑evolution of extreme event probabilities: evidence from the 1947 Central European heatwave." Climate Dynamics. 53 (3-4), pp. 2229-2247. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04820-2

Article

Streamflow and soil moisture forecasting with hybrid data intelligent machine learning approaches: case studies in the Australian Murray-Darling basin
Prasad, Ramendra. 2018. Streamflow and soil moisture forecasting with hybrid data intelligent machine learning approaches: case studies in the Australian Murray-Darling basin . PhD Thesis Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland. https://doi.org/10.26192/5f6974e4dccd5

PhD Thesis

Tropical cyclone track direction climatology and its intraseasonal variability in the Australian region
Lavender, Sally L. and Dowdy, Andrew J.. 2016. "Tropical cyclone track direction climatology and its intraseasonal variability in the Australian region." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 121 (22), pp. 13,236-13,249. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025562

Article

Recent poleward shift of tropical cyclone formation linked to Hadley cell expansion
Sur, Sharmila and Walsh, K. J. E.. 2018. "Recent poleward shift of tropical cyclone formation linked to Hadley cell expansion." Nature Climate Change. 8 (8), pp. 730-736. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0227-5

Article

Influence of internal climate variability on Indian Ocean Dipole properties
Ng, Benjamin, Cai, Wenju, Cowan, Tim and Bi, Daohua. 2018. "Influence of internal climate variability on Indian Ocean Dipole properties." Scientific Reports. 8 (1), pp. 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-31842-3

Article

An ensemble-ANFIS based uncertainty assessment model for forecasting multi-scalar standardized precipitation index
Ali, Mumtaz, Deo, Ravinesh C., Downs, Nathan J. and Maraseni, Tek. 2018. "An ensemble-ANFIS based uncertainty assessment model for forecasting multi-scalar standardized precipitation index." Atmospheric Research. 207, pp. 155-180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.02.024

Article

Wavelet analysis–artificial neural network conjunction models for multi-scale monthly groundwater level predicting in an arid inland river basin, northwestern China
Wen, Xiaohu, Feng, Qi, Deo, Ravinesh C., Wu, Min and Si, Jianhua. 2017. "Wavelet analysis–artificial neural network conjunction models for multi-scale monthly groundwater level predicting in an arid inland river basin, northwestern China." Hydrology Research: an international journal. 48 (6), pp. 1710-1729. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2016.396

Article

An efficient neuro-evolutionary hybrid modelling mechanism for the estimation of daily global solar radiation in the Sunshine State of Australia
Salcedo-sanz, Sancho, Deo, Ravinesh C., Cornejo-Bueno, Laura, Camacho-Gomez, Carlos and Ghimire, Sujan. 2018. "An efficient neuro-evolutionary hybrid modelling mechanism for the estimation of daily global solar radiation in the Sunshine State of Australia." Applied Energy. 209, pp. 79-94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.10.076

Article

Synthetic retrieval of hourly net ecosystem exchange using the neural network model with combined MI and GOCI geostationary sensor datasets and ground-based measurements
Yeom, Jong-Min, Deo, Ravinesh, Chun, Junghwa, Hong, Jinkyu, Kim, Dong-Su, Han, Kyung-Soo and Cho, Jaeil. 2017. "Synthetic retrieval of hourly net ecosystem exchange using the neural network model with combined MI and GOCI geostationary sensor datasets and ground-based measurements." International Journal of Remote Sensing. 38 (23), pp. 7441-7456. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2017.1375573

Article

Mapping heatwave vulnerability in Korea
Kim, Do-Woo, Deo, Ravinesh C., Lee, Jong-Seol and Yeom, Jong-Min. 2017. "Mapping heatwave vulnerability in Korea." Natural Hazards. 89 (1), pp. 35-55. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2951-y

Article

Very short-term reactive forecasting of the solar ultraviolet index using an extreme learning machine integrated with the solar zenith angle
Deo, Ravinesh C., Downs, Nathan, Parisi, Alfio V., Adamowski, Jan F. and Quilty, John M.. 2017. "Very short-term reactive forecasting of the solar ultraviolet index using an extreme learning machine integrated with the solar zenith angle." Environmental Research. 155, pp. 141-166. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2017.01.035

Article

The early 20th century warming: Anomalies, causes, and consequences
Hegerl, Gabriele C., Bronnimann, Stefan, Schurer, Andrew and Cowan, Tim. 2018. "The early 20th century warming: Anomalies, causes, and consequences." WIREs Climate Change. 9 (4). https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.522

Article

Forecasting effective drought index using a wavelet extreme learning machine (W-ELM) model
Deo, Ravinesh C., Tiwari, Mukesh K., Adamowski, Jan F. and Quilty, John M.. 2017. "Forecasting effective drought index using a wavelet extreme learning machine (W-ELM) model." Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 31 (5), pp. 1211-1240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1265-z

Article