Modelling land use and land cover change in the Strzelecki Ranges

Paper


Zhang, Z., Peterson, J., Zhu, X. and Wright, W.. 2007. "Modelling land use and land cover change in the Strzelecki Ranges." Oxley, Les and Kulasiri, Don (ed.) 17th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM07). Christchurch, New Zealand 10 - 13 Dec 2007 Canberra, Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand .
Paper/Presentation Title

Modelling land use and land cover change in the Strzelecki Ranges

Presentation TypePaper
AuthorsZhang, Z. (Author), Peterson, J. (Author), Zhu, X. (Author) and Wright, W. (Author)
EditorsOxley, Les and Kulasiri, Don
Journal or Proceedings TitleProceedings of the 17th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM07)
Number of Pages7
Year2007
PublisherModelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand
Place of PublicationCanberra, Australia
ISBN9780975840047
Web Address (URL) of Paperhttp://www.mssanz.org.au/MODSIM07/papers/21_s46/ModellingLand_s46_Zhang_.pdf
Conference/Event17th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM07)
Event Details
17th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM07)
Parent
International Congress on Modelling and Simulation
Delivery
In person
Event Date
10 to end of 13 Dec 2007
Event Location
Christchurch, New Zealand
Abstract

Land use and land cover change (LUCC) has been
recognized as an important driver of environmental
change on all spatial and temporal scales (Turner et
al., 1994). LUCC contributes significantly to earth
atmosphere interactions, forest fragmentation, and
biodiversity loss. It has become one of the major
issues for environmental change monitoring and
natural resource management. In Australia,
modification of land cover since European settlement
has largely been due to land clearing and weed
invasion, as well as to some natural disturbances such
as bushfire. In the Strzelecki Ranges, located in south
eastern Victoria, the wide scale of land clearing,
subsequent agricultural abandonment and fires have
all resulted in severe landscape disturbance in the
Ranges. Land use and land cover have undergone
further significant changes with the establishment of
large scale plantations in the area over the last four
decades. However, details of land use and land cover
change and its influence on the rainforest in this area
is unknown.
The Strzelecki Ranges, along with the southern
uplands of the Otways, the Central Highlands, and
East Gippsland, are recognised as one of the four
major Victorian areas which support cool temperate
rainforest ecosystems. Cool temperate rainforest,
although now very restricted in its distribution, is of
major historical and ecological significance. Areas
bordering cool temperate rainforest in the Eastern
Strzeleckis comprise a mosaic of different land use
patterns and have histories which are affected by both
natural and human disturbances. Different land use
patterns have different influences on imbedded
remnant patches of cool temperate rainforest mainly
through edge effects. When the surrounding
landscape patterns change, the environmental
conditions (e.g. microclimate) produced along these
edges (the boundaries between surrounding forests
and the cool temperate forest) may be modified and
influences the interior cool temperate forest
(Murcia, 1995; Bannerman, 1998).
This study aims to model the long term land use and
land cover changes (from 1954 to 2004) in the
Strzelecki Ranges by integrating remote sensing and
geographical information system (GIS) and to
provide quantitative analysis of LUCC information
in the area. The reconstructed history of land use
and land cover is mainly based on historical aerial
photography with the support of Vicmap Elevation,
Ecological Vegetation Classes (EVCs) map and
stereo models established by using stereo pair of
aerial photographs. Available archived historical
aerial photographs, taken in 1954, 1972 and 1988,
were all scanned and converted to digital format for
digital photogrammetric processing. Scanned aerial
photos, together with digital colour aerial photos
taken in 2004 were used for classification to
identify different land covers.
The results show that land use and land cover in the
study area changed substantially from 1954 to 2004.
Large areas of cleared land and forest regrowth on
previously cleared land were gradually converted to
plantations. Wet forest cover kept increasing during
this period, especially from 1954 to 1988. The area
covered by cool temperate rainforest has remained
relatively stable throughout the period. Large scale
plantation, although not equivalent to native forest
as wildlife habitat, may improve environmental
balances (Lamb, 1998; Loyn, 2000; Cawsey and
Freudenberger, 2003; Kanowski et al., 2003;
Kanowski et al., 2005; MacHunter et al., 2006;
Koskela et al., 2007) and provide refuges for wet
forest and surrounded cool temperate rainforest
fauna, especially in areas of severe disturbance like
that of our study area.

Keywordsland cover change, GIS, rainforest, landscape dynamic
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020410206. Landscape ecology
Public Notes

Responsibility for the contents of these papers rests upon the authors and not on the Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc.

Byline AffiliationsMonash University
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