The Taylor rule in Australia, 1989-2014
Article
Article Title | The Taylor rule in Australia, 1989-2014 |
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ERA Journal ID | 211566 |
40538 | |
Article Category | Article |
Authors | Elston, Frank (Author) and Pensiero, Domenico (Author) |
Journal Title | Academy of Taiwan Business Management Review |
Academy of Taiwan Business Management Revie | |
Journal Citation | 12 (1), pp. 12-19 |
Number of Pages | 8 |
Year | 2016 |
Publisher | Taiwan Institute of Business Administration |
Place of Publication | Taiwan |
ISSN | 1813-0534 |
Web Address (URL) | http://www.jtiba.com |
Abstract | The Taylor rule is a rules based monetary policy whereby the policy maker reacts to inflation and output gaps in setting the policy instrument, usually a short term interest rate. It can be prescriptive or descriptive. This study examines whether the Taylor rule describes the behaviour of the Reserve Bank of Australia since 1989, a period encompassing the last three Governors of the RBA. Using the traditional gap coefficients of .5 we find the implied Taylor cash rate, which then can be compared with the actual cash rate. The Taylor rule describes well the policymaking during the era of Governor Glenn Stevens, but does not describe as well the policymaking during the two predecessors. The study also determines the least squares estimates of the coefficients and finds that both the inflation and output coefficients exceed .5. A supplementary finding is that lagging the output and inflation gaps did not make any material difference. |
Keywords | Taylor rule; monetary policy; inflation gap; output gap |
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020 | 380112. Macroeconomics (incl. monetary and fiscal theory) |
Byline Affiliations | School of Commerce |
Institution of Origin | University of Southern Queensland |
https://research.usq.edu.au/item/q2549/the-taylor-rule-in-australia-1989-2014
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