Climate models and their evaluation

Edited book (chapter)


Randall, David A., Wood, Richard A., Bony, Sandrine, Colman, Robert, Fichefet, Thierry, Fyfe, John, Kattsov, Vladimir, Pitman, Andrew, Shukla, Jagadish, Srinivasan, Jayaraman, Stouffer, Ronald J., Sumi, Akimasa and Taylor, K.E.. 2007. "Climate models and their evaluation." Solomon, Susan, Dahe, Qin, Manning, Martin, Marquis, Melinda, Averyt, Kristen, Tignor, Melinda M. B., Miller, Henry LeRoy and Chen, Zhenlin (ed.) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom. Cambridge University Press. pp. 589-662
Chapter Title

Climate models and their evaluation

Book Chapter CategoryEdited book (chapter)
ERA Publisher ID1418
Book TitleClimate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
AuthorsRandall, David A. (Author), Wood, Richard A. (Author), Bony, Sandrine (Author), Colman, Robert (Author), Fichefet, Thierry (Author), Fyfe, John (Author), Kattsov, Vladimir (Author), Pitman, Andrew (Author), Shukla, Jagadish (Author), Srinivasan, Jayaraman (Author), Stouffer, Ronald J. (Author), Sumi, Akimasa (Author) and Taylor, K.E. (Author)
EditorsSolomon, Susan, Dahe, Qin, Manning, Martin, Marquis, Melinda, Averyt, Kristen, Tignor, Melinda M. B., Miller, Henry LeRoy and Chen, Zhenlin
Page Range589-662
Chapter Number8
Number of Pages74
Year2007
PublisherCambridge University Press
Place of PublicationCambridge, United Kingdom
ISBN9780521880091
Web Address (URL)https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/ar4-wg1-chapter8-1.pdf
Abstract

This chapter assesses the capacity of the global climate
models used elsewhere in this report for projecting future
climate change. Confi dence in model estimates of future climate evolution has been enhanced via a range of advances since the IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR).

Keywordsclimate change
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020370202. Climatology
Public Notes

Published for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Journal TitleClimate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC (FAR)
Institution of OriginUniversity of Southern Queensland
Byline AffiliationsNo affiliation
Sorbonne University, France
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
No affiliation
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, United States
Permalink -

https://research.usq.edu.au/item/q6wxy/climate-models-and-their-evaluation

  • 71
    total views
  • 3
    total downloads
  • 0
    views this month
  • 0
    downloads this month

Export as

Related outputs

Observed climate variability and trends
Collins, Dean, Sen Gupta, Alexander, Power, Scott, Braganza, Karl, Brown, Jaclyn, Brown, Josephine, Cai, Wenju, Church, John, Colman, Robert, Dowdy, Andrew, Durack, Paul, Jones, David, Kuchinke, Mareva, Kuleshov, Yuriy, Lorrey, Andrew, Lucas, Chris, McGree, Simon, McInnes, Kathleen, Moise, Auriel, ..., White, Neil. 2011. "Observed climate variability and trends." Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research. Australia. Australian Bureau of Meteorology / CSIRO Publishing. pp. 51-77
A recent change in the mean state of the Pacific basin climate: Observational evidence and atmospheric and oceanic responses
Kleeman, Richard, Colman, Robert A., Smith, Neville R. and Power, Scott B.. 1996. "A recent change in the mean state of the Pacific basin climate: Observational evidence and atmospheric and oceanic responses." Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 101 (C9), pp. 20483-20499. https://doi.org/10.1029/96JC01795
Stochastic variability at the air‐sea interface on decadal timescales
Power, S. B., Tseitkin, F., Dix, M., Kleeman, R., Colman, R. and Holland, D.. 1995. "Stochastic variability at the air‐sea interface on decadal timescales." Geophysical Research Letters. 22 (19), pp. 2593-2596. https://doi.org/10.1029/95GL02655
A non‐flux corrected transient CO2 experiment using the BMRC Coupled Atmosphere/Ocean GCM
Colman, R. A., Power, S. B., McAvaney, B. J. and Dahni, R. R.. 1995. "A non‐flux corrected transient CO2 experiment using the BMRC Coupled Atmosphere/Ocean GCM." Geophysical Research Letters. 22 (22), pp. 3047-3050. https://doi.org/10.1029/95GL01727
Evaluating global climate models for the Pacific island region
Irving, Damien B., Perkins, Sarah E., Brown, Josephine R., Gupta, Alex Sen, Moise, Aurel F., Murphy, Bradley F., Muir, Les C., Colman, Robert A., Power, Scott B., Delage, Francois P. and Brown, Jaclyn N.. 2011. "Evaluating global climate models for the Pacific island region." Climate Research. 49 (3), pp. 169-187. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01028
CMIP3 ensemble climate projections over the western tropical Pacific based on model skill
Perkins, Sarah E., Irving, Damien B., Brown, Josephine R., Power, Scott B., Moise, Aurel F., Colman, Robert A. and Smith, Ian. 2012. "CMIP3 ensemble climate projections over the western tropical Pacific based on model skill." Climate Research. 51 (1), pp. 35-58. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01046
Modeling the Surface Heat Flux Response to Long-Lived SST Anomalies in the North Atlantic
Power, S. B., Kleeman, R., Colman, R. A. and McAvaney, B. J.. 1995. "Modeling the Surface Heat Flux Response to Long-Lived SST Anomalies in the North Atlantic." Journal of Climate. 8 (9), pp. 2161-2180. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<2161:MTSHFR>2.0.CO;2
Multi-year predictability in a coupled general circulation model
Power, Scott and Colman, Rob. 2006. "Multi-year predictability in a coupled general circulation model." Climate Dynamics. 26 (2-3), pp. 247-272. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-005-0055-y
STOIC: A study of coupled model climatology and variability in tropical ocean regions
Davey, M. K., Huddleston, M., Sperber, K. R., Braconnot, P., Bryan, F., Chen, D., Colman, R. A., Cooper, C., Cubasch, U., Delecluse, P., DeWitt, D., Fairhead, L., Flato, G., Gordon, C., Hogan, T., Ji, M., Kimoto, M., Kitoh, A., Knutson, T. R., ..., Zebiak, S. E.. 2002. "STOIC: A study of coupled model climatology and variability in tropical ocean regions." Climate Dynamics. 18 (5), pp. 403-420. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-001-0188-6
The seasonal cycle in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models
Covey, C., Abe-Ouchi, A., Boer, G. J., Boville, B. A., Cubasch, U., Fairhead, L., Flato, G. M., Gordon, H., Guilyardi, E., Jiang, X., Johns, T. C., Le Treut, H., Madec, G., Meehl, G. A., Miller, R., Noda, A., Power, S. B., Roeckner, E., Russell, G., ..., von Storch, J.-S.. 2000. "The seasonal cycle in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models." Climate Dynamics. 16 (10-11), pp. 775-787. https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820000081
Annual mean meridional energy transport modelled by a general circulation model for present and 2 x CO2 equilibrium climates
Colman, R. A., McAvaney, B. J., Fraser, J. R. and Power, S. B.. 1994. "Annual mean meridional energy transport modelled by a general circulation model for present and 2 x CO2 equilibrium climates." Climate Dynamics. 10 (4-5), pp. 221-229. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00208989
The Predictability of Interdecadal Changes in ENSO Activity and ENSO Teleconnections
Power, Scott B., Haylock, Malcolm, Colman, Rob and Wang, Xiangdong. 2006. "The Predictability of Interdecadal Changes in ENSO Activity and ENSO Teleconnections." Journal of Climate. 19 (19), pp. 4755-4771. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3868.1
Evaluation of the South Pacific Convergence Zone in IPCC AR4 Climate Model Simulations of the Twentieth Century
Brown, Josephine R., Power, Scott B., Delage, Francois P., Colman, Robert A., Moise, Aurel F. and Murphy, Bradley F.. 2011. "Evaluation of the South Pacific Convergence Zone in IPCC AR4 Climate Model Simulations of the Twentieth Century." Journal of Climate. 24 (6), pp. 1565-1582. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3942.1
Consensus on Twenty-First-Century Rainfall Projections in Climate Models More Widespread than Previously Thought
Power, Scott B., Delage, Francois, Colman, Robert and Moise, Aurel. 2012. "Consensus on Twenty-First-Century Rainfall Projections in Climate Models More Widespread than Previously Thought." Journal of Climate. 25 (11), pp. 3792-3809. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00354.1
Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere
Power, Scott, Saurral, Ramiro, Chung, Christine, Colman, Rob, Kharin, Viatcheslav, Boer, George, Gergis, Joelle, Henley, Benjamin, McGregor, Shayne, Arblaster, Julie, Holbrook, Neil and Liguori, Giovanni. 2017. "Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere." Past Global Changes Magazine. 25 (1), pp. 32-40. https://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.1.32
Storylines of South Pacific Convergence Zone Changes in a Warmer World
Narsey, Sugata, Brown, Josephine R., Delage, Francois, Boschat, Ghyslaine, Grose, Michael, Colman, Rob and Power, Scott. 2022. "Storylines of South Pacific Convergence Zone Changes in a Warmer World ." Journal of Climate. 35 (20), p. 6549–6567. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0433.1
Non-linear climate feedback analysis in an atmospheric general circulation model
Colman, R. A., Power, S. B. and McAvaney, B. J.. 1997. "Non-linear climate feedback analysis in an atmospheric general circulation model." Climate Dynamics. 13 (10), pp. 717-731. https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050193
Atmospheric radiative feedbacks associated with transient climate change and climate variability
Colman, Robert A. and Power, Scott B.. 2010. "Atmospheric radiative feedbacks associated with transient climate change and climate variability." Climate Dynamics. 34 (7-8), pp. 919-933. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0541-8
Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia?
Timbal, B., Power, S., Colman, R., Viviand, J. and Lirola, S.. 2002. "Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia?" Journal of Climate. 15 (10), pp. 1230-1238. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1230:DSMICV>2.0.CO;2
Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon from CMIP6 Models
Narsey, S. Y., Brown, J. R., Colman, R. A., Delage, F., Power, S. B., Moise, A. F. and Zhang, H.. 2020. "Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon from CMIP6 Models." Geophysical Research Letters. 47 (13), pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086816
ENSO-related rainfall changes over the New Guinea region
Smith, Ian, Moise, Aurel, Inape, Kasis, Murphy, Brad, Colman, Rob, Power, Scott and Chung, Christine. 2013. "ENSO-related rainfall changes over the New Guinea region." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 118 (19), pp. 10,665-10,675. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50818
What can decadal variability tell us about climate feedbacks and sensitivity?
Colman, Robert and Power, Scott B.. 2018. "What can decadal variability tell us about climate feedbacks and sensitivity?" Climate Dynamics. 51 (9-10), pp. 3815-3828. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4113-7
EUREC4A
Stevens, Bjorn, Bony, Sandrine, Farrell, David, Ament, Felix, Blyth, Alan, Fairall, Christopher, Karstensen, Johannes, Quinn, Patricia K., Speich, Sabrina, Acquistapace, Claudia, Aemisegger, Franziska, Albright, Anna Lea, Bellenger, Hugo, Bodenschatz, Eberhard, Caesar, Kathy-Ann, Chewitt-Lucas, Rebecca, de Boer, Gijs, Delanoe, Julien, Denby, Leif, ..., Zoger, Martin. 2021. "EUREC4A." Earth System Science Data. 13 (8), pp. 4067-4119. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-4067-2021
Climate change 2014: Synthesis report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Pachauri, Rajendra K., Allen, Myles R., Barros, Vicente R., Broome, John, Cramer, Wolfgang, Christ, Renate, Church, John A., Clarke, Leon, Dahe, Qin, Dasgupta, Purnamita, Dubash, Navroz K., Edenhofer, Ottmar, Elgizouli, Ismail, Field, Christopher B., Forster, Piers, Friedlingstein, Pierre, Fuglestvedt, Jan, Gomez-Echeverri, Luis, Hallegatte, Stephane, ..., van Ypersele, Jean-Pascal. 2015. Climate change 2014: Synthesis report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva, Switzerland. IPCC.