Application of CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton model for cultivars and optimum planting dates: Evaluation in changing semi-arid climate

Article


Rahman, Muhammad Habib ur, Ahmad, Ashfaq, Wajid, Aftab, Hussain, Manzoor, Rasul, Fahd, Ishaque, Wajid, Islam, Aminul, Shelia, Vakhtang, Awais, Muhammad, Ullah, Asmat, Wahid, Abdul, Sultana, Syeda Refat, Saud, Shah, Khan, Shahbaz, Fahad, Shah, Hussain, Manzoor, Hussain, Saddam and Nasim, Wajid. 2019. "Application of CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton model for cultivars and optimum planting dates: Evaluation in changing semi-arid climate." Field Crops Research. 238, pp. 139-152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2017.07.007
Article Title

Application of CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton model for cultivars and optimum planting dates: Evaluation in changing semi-arid climate

ERA Journal ID5309
Article CategoryArticle
AuthorsRahman, Muhammad Habib ur, Ahmad, Ashfaq, Wajid, Aftab, Hussain, Manzoor, Rasul, Fahd, Ishaque, Wajid, Islam, Aminul, Shelia, Vakhtang, Awais, Muhammad, Ullah, Asmat, Wahid, Abdul, Sultana, Syeda Refat, Saud, Shah, Khan, Shahbaz, Fahad, Shah, Hussain, Manzoor, Hussain, Saddam and Nasim, Wajid
Journal TitleField Crops Research
Journal Citation238, pp. 139-152
Number of Pages14
Year2019
PublisherElsevier
ISSN0378-4290
1872-6852
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2017.07.007
Web Address (URL)https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378429017311395
Abstract

Simulation models are widely used for making decision support especially under sub-optimal climatic conditions for yield improvement. The impact of uncertain weather conditions on cotton production can be explored with the aid of such models. Cotton, being the queen of fibers, enjoys itself a predominant position amongst all other cash crops and has the potential to narrow the gap between production and consumption of fiber and edible oil. The goal of the study was to evaluate the performance of Cropping System Model CROPGRO-Cotton for examining temporal variation in cultivars and to determine the potential impact of planting dates. The model was calibrated using a diverse range of field observation for phenology, growth and seed cotton yield (SCY) and its components of 20-April planting date, genetic coefficients were estimated using Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) and sensitivity analysis sub modules in CSM-DSSAT. Calibrated and evaluated results were reasonably good for phenology, growth, boll weight, SCY and yield attributes with good statistics. Simulation and observed data revealed the decreasing trend with delayed planting for all cultivars. Phenological phases were predicted well with high d-index (>0.94 and >0.85), and the dynamics of time series for LAI and biomass were predicted also well (d > 0.96 and >0.98), respectively during model evaluation for all planting dates and cultivars. Seed cotton yield was simulated with lower RMSE (137–382) at final picking, while dynamics of time series for SCY were predicted reasonably well with high values of d-index (0.95–0.99) for all cultivars during model evaluation. Planting date analyses of the years (1980–2013) agreed with observed SCY trend, showed decrease of 27% for delayed planting from 20-April to 21-June while first too early planting (10-March) had also faced 8% reduction for all cultivars. Cultivars [MNH-886, NIAB-9811 (NIAB-Kiran) and NIAB-112] outperformed with higher SCY predominantly due to longer appropriate growing season by utilizing optimal weather conditions, attained optimum growth at all key phenological phases. Cultivar NIAB-112 performed well being a short duration and attained high SCY for late planting (1-June) as well during the growing years. Cotton cultivars planting during 1-April–10-May can be suggested for the farmer’s field to avoid weather stress and to improve utilization of resources for sustainable cotton production in the region. Result demonstrated the model potential for decision support for cotton management practices in the region, including identifying optimum planting dates for cotton production.

KeywordsDSSATTemporal variationCalibrationEvaluationApplicationPakistan
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020410199. Climate change impacts and adaptation not elsewhere classified
3002. Agriculture, land and farm management
Public Notes

Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions.

Byline AffiliationsMuhammad Nawaz Shareef University of Agriculture, Pakistan
Washington State University, United States
University of Agriculture Faisalabad, Pakistan
Nuclear Institute for Agriculture and Biology (NIAB), Pakistan
Department of Agricultural Extension, Bangladesh
Institute for Sustainable Food Systems (ISFS), United States
Islamia University of Bahwalpur, Pakistan
Ayub Agricultural Research Institute (AARI), Pakistan
Bahauddin Zakariya University (BZU), Pakistan
COMSATS University Islamabad, Pakistan
Northeast Agricultural University Harbin, China
Huazhong Agricultural University, China
Abdul Wali Khan University, Pakistan
International Centre for Advanced Mediterranean Agronomic (CIHEAM), France
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Australia
Permalink -

https://research.usq.edu.au/item/yzvw5/application-of-csm-cropgro-cotton-model-for-cultivars-and-optimum-planting-dates-evaluation-in-changing-semi-arid-climate

  • 23
    total views
  • 0
    total downloads
  • 0
    views this month
  • 0
    downloads this month

Export as

Related outputs

A systematic review of emerging environmental markets: Potential pathways to creating shared value for communities
Mittahalli Byrareddy, Vivekananda M, Islam, Md Aminul, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Slaughter, Geoff. 2023. "A systematic review of emerging environmental markets: Potential pathways to creating shared value for communities ." Heliyon. 9 (9). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19754
Smallholder farmers’ willingness to pay for flood insurance as climate change adaptation strategy in northern Bangladesh
Hossain, Md. Shakhawat, Alam, G.M. Monirul, Fahad, Shah, Sarker, Tanwne, Moniruzzaman, Md and Rabbany, Md. Ghulam. 2022. "Smallholder farmers’ willingness to pay for flood insurance as climate change adaptation strategy in northern Bangladesh." Journal of Cleaner Production. 338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.130584
Contextualisation of salinisation and adaptation preferences in the coastal areas of Bangladesh: Bringing together farmers' salinity perspectives into place-based policy initiatives
Islam, Aminul, de Bruyn, Lisa Lobry, Koech, Richard and Warwick, Nigel. 2022. "Contextualisation of salinisation and adaptation preferences in the coastal areas of Bangladesh: Bringing together farmers' salinity perspectives into place-based policy initiatives." Land Degradation and Development. 33 (18), pp. 3882-3900. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.4431
Exploring the potential areas of research to increase drought resiliency of agricultural industries in Australia
Islam, M A., Slaughter, G. and McVeigh, J.. 2022. "Exploring the potential areas of research to increase drought resiliency of agricultural industries in Australia." International Tropical Agriculture Conference 2022 (TropAg 2022). Brisbane, Australia 31 Oct - 02 Nov 2022 Australia.
Assessing Nitrate Contamination Risks in Groundwater: A Machine Learning Approach
Awais, Muhammad, Aslam, Bilal, Maqsoom, Ahsen, Khalil, Umer, Ullah, Fahim, Azam, Sheheryar and Imran, Muhammad. 2021. "Assessing Nitrate Contamination Risks in Groundwater: A Machine Learning Approach." Applied Sciences. 11 (21), pp. 1-21. https://doi.org/10.3390/app112110034
The chaos in calibrating crop models: lessons learned from a multi-model calibration exercise
Wallach, Daniel, Palosuo, Taru, Thorburn, Peter, Hochman, Zvi, Gourdain, Emmanuelle, Andrianasolo, Fety, Asseng, Senthold, Basso, Bruno, Buis, Samuel, Crout, Neil, Dibari, Camilla, Dumont, Benjamin, Ferrise, Roberto, Gaiser, Thomas, Garcia, Cecile, Gayler, Sebastian, Ghahramani, Afshin, Hiremath, Santosh, Hoek, Steven, ..., Seidel, Sabine J.. 2021. "The chaos in calibrating crop models: lessons learned from a multi-model calibration exercise." Environmental Modelling and Software. 145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105206
How well do crop modeling groups predict wheat phenology, given calibration data from the target population?
Wallach, Daniel, Palosuo, Taru, Thorburn, Peter, Gourdain, Emmanuelle, Asseng, Senthold, Basso, Bruno, Buis, Samuel, Crout, Neil, Dibari, Camilla, Dumont, Benjamin, Ferrise, Roberto, Gaiser, Thomas, Garcia, Cecile, Gayler, Sebastian, Ghahramani, Afshin, Hochman, Zvi, Hoek, Steven, Hoogenboom, Gerrit, Horan, Heidi, ..., Seidel, Sabine J.. 2021. "How well do crop modeling groups predict wheat phenology, given calibration data from the target population?" European Journal of Agronomy. 124, pp. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2020.126195
Bringing farmers’ perceptions into science and policy: Understanding salinity tolerance of rice in southwestern Bangladesh under climate change
Islam, Aminul, Shelia, Vakhtang, Ludwig, Fulco, de Bruyn, Lisa Lobry, Rahman, M. Habib ur and Hoogenboom, Gerrit. 2021. "Bringing farmers’ perceptions into science and policy: Understanding salinity tolerance of rice in southwestern Bangladesh under climate change." Land Use Policy: the international journal covering all aspects of land use. 101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.105159
Salinity-affected threshold yield loss: A signal of adaptation tipping points for salinity management of dry season rice cultivation in the coastal areas of Bangladesh
Islam, Md Aminul, de Bruyn, Lisa Lobry, Warwick, Nigel W.M. and Koech, Richard. 2021. "Salinity-affected threshold yield loss: A signal of adaptation tipping points for salinity management of dry season rice cultivation in the coastal areas of Bangladesh." Journal of Environmental Management. 288. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112413
The importance of farmers' perceptions of salinity and adaptation strategies for ensuring food security: Evidence from the coastal rice growing areas of Bangladesh
Islam, Md Aminul, Warwick, Nigel, Koech, Richard, Amin, Md Nuru and de Bruyn, Lisa Lobry. 2020. "The importance of farmers' perceptions of salinity and adaptation strategies for ensuring food security: Evidence from the coastal rice growing areas of Bangladesh." Science of the Total Environment. 727. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138674
Farmers’ Perceptions of Salinity for Ensuring Food Security: Evidence from Coastal Rice-Growing Areas of Bangladesh
Islam, Md Aminul, de Bruyn, Lisa Lobry, Warwick, Nigel W. M. and Koech, Richard. 2019. "Farmers’ Perceptions of Salinity for Ensuring Food Security: Evidence from Coastal Rice-Growing Areas of Bangladesh." International Tropical Agriculture Conference 2019 (TropAg 2019). Brisbane, Australia 11 - 13 Nov 2019 Switzerland. https://doi.org/10.3390/proceedings2019036015
Feasibility of Box Creek salinity management to achieve salinity benefits for the Murray River
Khan, Shahbaz, Asghar, Nadeem, Zirilli, Johnny, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Ahmad, Aftab. 2007. Feasibility of Box Creek salinity management to achieve salinity benefits for the Murray River. Wagga Wagga, Australia. Charles Sturt University.
Re-use and cyclic use of water saving in rice cultivation in gravity irrigation system of Philippines
Hafeez, M., Khan, S. and Mushtaq, S.. 2007. "Re-use and cyclic use of water saving in rice cultivation in gravity irrigation system of Philippines." 17th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM07). Christchurch, New Zealand 10 - 13 Dec 2007 Canberra, Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand .
Forecasting water trading prices in the Murray Darling Basin
Khan, Shahbaz, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Hanjra, Munir A. and Dassanayake, Dharma. 2007. "Forecasting water trading prices in the Murray Darling Basin." Donatelli, M., Hatfield, J. and Rizzoli, A. (ed.) International Symposium on Methodologies on Integrated Analysis on Farm Production Systems (2007). Catania, Italy 10 - 12 Sep 2007 Italy.
WaterWorks: a decision support tool for irrigation infrastructure decisions at farm level
Khan, Shahbaz, Chen, Charlie and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2008. "WaterWorks: a decision support tool for irrigation infrastructure decisions at farm level." 2008 Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting . Cairns, Australia 29 Jul - 01 Aug 2008
Role of aquifer storage and recovery for harmonising irrigation with environment in connected systems
Khan, Shahbaz, Rana, Tariq and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2006. "Role of aquifer storage and recovery for harmonising irrigation with environment in connected systems." 10th Murray-Darling Basin Groundwater Workshop: Does the Science Hold Water? . Canberra, Australia 18 - 20 Sep 2006 Canberra, ACT, Australia.
A decision support tool for irrigation infrastructure investments
Khan, Shahbaz, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Chen, Charlie. 2010. "A decision support tool for irrigation infrastructure investments." Irrigation and Drainage. 59 (4), pp. 404-418. https://doi.org/10.1002/ird.501
Energy and economic efficiency analysis of rice and cotton production in China
Khan, Mohammad Azam, Khan, Shahbaz and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2009. "Energy and economic efficiency analysis of rice and cotton production in China." Sarhad Journal of Agriculture. 25 (2), pp. 291-300.
Predicting water allocations and trading prices to assist water markets
Khan, Shahbaz, Dassanayake, Dharma, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Hanjra, Munir A.. 2010. "Predicting water allocations and trading prices to assist water markets." Irrigation and Drainage. 59 (4), pp. 388-403. https://doi.org/10.1002/ird.535
Optimised irrigation productivity and river health through pick and & mix strategies: catchment water cycle management, alternative cropping systems, real water savings and aquifer storage and recovery
Khan, Shahbaz, Malano, Hector, Davidson, Brian, Ahmad, Aftab, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Allan, Catherine. 2007. Optimised irrigation productivity and river health through pick and & mix strategies: catchment water cycle management, alternative cropping systems, real water savings and aquifer storage and recovery. Toowoomba, Australia. IF Technologies P/L.
Water reuse and cost-benefit of pumping at different spatial levels in a rice irrigation system in UPRIIS, Philippines
Hafeez, M. M., Bouman, B. A. M., Van de Giesen, N., Mushtaq, S., Vlek, P. and Khan, S.. 2008. "Water reuse and cost-benefit of pumping at different spatial levels in a rice irrigation system in UPRIIS, Philippines." Physics and Chemistry of the Earth. 33 (1-2), pp. 115-126. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2007.04.011
Estimating potential costs and gains from an aquifer storage and recovery program in Australia
Khan, Shahbaz, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Hanjra, Munir A. and Schaeffer, Jurgen. 2008. "Estimating potential costs and gains from an aquifer storage and recovery program in Australia." Agricultural Water Management. 95 (4), pp. 477-488. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2007.12.002
Enhancing water productivity at the irrigation system level: a geospatial hydrology application in the Yellow River Basin
Khan, Shahbaz, Hafeez, Mohsin, Rana, Tariq and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2008. "Enhancing water productivity at the irrigation system level: a geospatial hydrology application in the Yellow River Basin." Journal of Arid Environments. 72, pp. 1046-1063. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2007.11.011
Trade-off analysis for restoring environmental flows through irrigation demand management
Khan, S., Mushtaq, S., Ahmad, A. and Hafeez, M.. 2008. "Trade-off analysis for restoring environmental flows through irrigation demand management." Australian Journal of Water Resources. 12 (1), pp. 1-20.
Conjunctive water management options: examples from economic assessment of system-level water savings through Liuyuankou Irrigation System, China
Khan, Shahbaz, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Luo, Yufeng, Dawe, David, Hafeez, Mohsin and Rana, Tariq. 2007. "Conjunctive water management options: examples from economic assessment of system-level water savings through Liuyuankou Irrigation System, China." Irrigation and Drainage. 56, pp. 523-539. https://doi.org/10.1002/ird.321
On-farm options for managing stream salinity in irrigation areas: an example from the Murray Darling Basin, Australia
Khan, Shahbaz, Asghar, Muhammad Nadeem, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Ahmad, Aftab. 2008. "On-farm options for managing stream salinity in irrigation areas: an example from the Murray Darling Basin, Australia." Hydrology Research: an international journal. 39 (2), pp. 157-170. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2008.036
Management of treated pulp and paper mill effluent to achieve zero discharge
Asghar, Muhammad Nadeem, Khan, Shahbaz and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2008. "Management of treated pulp and paper mill effluent to achieve zero discharge." Journal of Environmental Management. 88 (4), pp. 1285-1299. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2007.07.004
Energy and economic efficiency of wheat production using different irrigation supply methods
Khan, Mohammad Azam, Khan, Shahbaz and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2007. "Energy and economic efficiency of wheat production using different irrigation supply methods." Soil and Environment. 26 (2), pp. 20-28.
Regional partnerships to assist public-private investments in irrigation systems
Khan, Shahbaz and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2009. "Regional partnerships to assist public-private investments in irrigation systems." Agricultural Water Management. 96 (5), pp. 839 -846. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2008.11.007
Does reliability of water resources matter in the adoption of water-saving irrigation practices? a case study in the Zhanghe irrigation system, China
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Khan, Shahbaz, Hafeez, Mohsin and Hanjra, Munir A.. 2009. "Does reliability of water resources matter in the adoption of water-saving irrigation practices? a case study in the Zhanghe irrigation system, China." Water Policy. 11 (6), pp. 661-679. https://doi.org/10.2166/wp.2009.033
Evaluating the impact of ponds in sustaining crop production: a case of Zhanghe irrigation system in China
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Khan, Shahbaz and Hafeez, Mohsin. 2009. "Evaluating the impact of ponds in sustaining crop production: a case of Zhanghe irrigation system in China." Water Policy. 11 (2), pp. 236-249. https://doi.org/10.2166/wp.2009.019
Examining economies of scale and cost-benefit of small multi-purpose storage ponds in the Zhanghe irrigation system, China
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Khan, Shahbaz and Hafeez, Mohsin. 2009. "Examining economies of scale and cost-benefit of small multi-purpose storage ponds in the Zhanghe irrigation system, China." Irrigation and Drainage. 58 (2), pp. 131-146. https://doi.org/10.1002/ird.394
Evaluating the impact of tax-for-fee reform (fei gai shui) on water resources and agriculture production in the Zhanghe irrigation system, China
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Khan, Shahbaz, Dawe, David, Hanjra, Munir A., Hafeez, Mohsin and Asghar, Muhammad Nadeem. 2008. "Evaluating the impact of tax-for-fee reform (fei gai shui) on water resources and agriculture production in the Zhanghe irrigation system, China." Food Policy. 33 (6), pp. 576-586. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2008.04.004
Scale effects on water use efficiency and productivity: a case study from UPRIIS, Philippines
Hafeez, M. M., Khan, S. and Mushtaq, S.. 2007. "Scale effects on water use efficiency and productivity: a case study from UPRIIS, Philippines." Oxley, Les and Kulasiri, Don (ed.) 17th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM07). Christchurch, New Zealand 10 - 13 Dec 2007 New Zealand.