Reference evapotranspiration prediction using high-order response surface method
Article
Article Title | Reference evapotranspiration prediction using high-order response surface method |
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ERA Journal ID | 1991 |
Article Category | Article |
Authors | Keshtegar, Behrooz, Abdullah, Shafika Sultan, Huang, Yuk Feng, Saggi, Mandeep Kaur, Khedher, Khaled Mohamed and Yaseen, Zaher Mundher |
Journal Title | Theoretical and Applied Climatology |
Journal Citation | 148 (1-2), pp. 849-867 |
Number of Pages | 19 |
Year | 2022 |
Publisher | Springer |
Place of Publication | Austria |
ISSN | 0177-798X |
1434-4483 | |
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-03954-4 |
Web Address (URL) | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-022-03954-4 |
Abstract | The precision of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) predictions would vary, depending on the adopted empirical method and the availability of meteorological data. This study aims to enhance the prediction accuracy of ETo using the high-order response surface method (HO-RSM). Daily scale climatological information are used to build the predictive model including maximum temperature (Tmax), maximum humidity (Hmax), wind speed (WS), solar radiation (SR), and vapor pressure deficit (VPD), which are obtained from three observation stations in Burkina Faso, West Africa. Ten models corresponding to ten different input combination sets are evaluated for variability influence by comparing the predicted ETo with the observed ETo. The models presented a similar performance at both Gaoua and Boromo stations with the determination coefficient (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) values ranging between 0.6831–0.9966 (0.0622–0.5065) and 0.7237–0.9948 (0.0722–0.4942), respectively. As for the Dori station, the models showed a lower performance with R2 (RMSE) values ranging between 0.2068 and 0.5229 (0.8292–1.0051), which may be due to the insufficient input variables or the requirement of higher order in RSM modeling for this station. Results also showed that the M10 model that includes all five input variables performed the best at three stations, with respect to the statistical performance. This is followed by the M7 model, which excluded the Hmax in the prediction, suggesting that Hmax has the least influence on the ETo prediction among all the input variables. The insignificant trend in selecting the optimum order of the RSM also showed that HO-RSM is case sensitive and hence precautions are required for generalizing model applications. |
Keywords | evapotranspiration; surface method; wind speed; solar radiation |
Public Notes | Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions. |
Byline Affiliations | University of Zabol, Iran |
Duhok Polytechnic University, Iraq | |
University Tunku Abdul Rahman, Malaysia | |
Thapar Institute of Engineering and Technology, India | |
King Khalid University, Saudi Arabia | |
Mrezgua University Campus, Tunisia | |
School of Mathematics, Physics and Computing | |
South Ural State University, Russia | |
Asia University, Taiwan | |
Al-Ayen University, Iraq | |
MARA University of Technology, Malaysia |
https://research.usq.edu.au/item/z0237/reference-evapotranspiration-prediction-using-high-order-response-surface-method
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