370101. Adverse weather events
| Title | 370101. Adverse weather events |
|---|---|
| Parent | 3701. Atmospheric sciences |
Latest research outputs
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Beef Stew(ing) – what might the future look like for northern Australian beef in a warmer world?
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C, Marshall, Andrew, Gaughan, John and Cobon, David. 2025. "Beef Stew(ing) – what might the future look like for northern Australian beef in a warmer world? " 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024 Australia.Presentation
Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia
Cowan, Tim, Gaughan, John and McCosker, Kieren. 2025. "Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia." Forecasting Cattle Comfort In Northern Australia. A NACP Webinar. 20 - 20 Feb 2025Presentation
Insights from the Northern Australia Climate Program: droughts, floods, and hot cows
Cowan, T.. 2025. "Insights from the Northern Australia Climate Program: droughts, floods, and hot cows." Center for Climate Research Singapore. Singapore 28 - 28 Apr 2025Presentation
Forecasting cattle thermal stress in northern Australia
Cowan, T.. 2025. "Forecasting cattle thermal stress in northern Australia." 24th Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-24). Phnom Penh, Cambodia 24 - 25 Apr 2025Presentation
Development and verification of thermal stress forecasts for cattle in Australia's Rangelands
Cowan, T., Hinds, E., Marshall, AG, Wheeler, MC and Cobon, DH. 2025. "Development and verification of thermal stress forecasts for cattle in Australia's Rangelands." McDonald, S., Hacker, R., Pressland, T., Silcock, J., Reseigh, J. and Beutel, T. (ed.) 12th International Rangeland Congress. Adelaide, Australia 02 - 06 Jun 2025 Australia.Paper
Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?
Cowan, Tim, Hinds, Emily, Marshall, Andrew, Wheeler, Matthew and de Burgh-Day, Catherine. 2024. "Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?" 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024 Australia.Presentation
Supporting beef producers through the Northern Australia Climate Program
Cowan, T.. 2024. "Supporting beef producers through the Northern Australia Climate Program." Bureau of Meteorology Environmental Prediction Services training. 23 - 23 Jul 2024Paper
Climate forecasts for Decision-Making
Cowan, T.. 2024. "Climate forecasts for Decision-Making." Virtual workshop for Bell. 13 - 13 Sep 2024Presentation
Pre- and post-flowering impacts of natural heatwaves on yield components in wheat
Ullah, Najeeb, Collins, Brian, Christopher, John T., Frederiks, Troy and Chenu, Karine. 2024. "Pre- and post-flowering impacts of natural heatwaves on yield components in wheat." Field Crops Research. 316. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2024.109489Article
Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry
Luo, Qunying, Wen, Li, Cowan, Tim and Schilling, Dale. 2024. "Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110005Article
Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Cobon, David H., Gaughan, John B., Marshall, Andrew G., Sharples, Wendy, McCulloch, Jillian and Jarvis, Chelsea. 2024. "Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 63 (5), pp. 645-663. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0082.1Article
Extreme rainfall in northern Australia: the 2019 Queensland floods and the MJO
Cowan, Tim. 2023. "Extreme rainfall in northern Australia: the 2019 Queensland floods and the MJO." QUAD Space Working Group Technical Workshop on Extreme Precipitation Events. 06 - 10 Feb 2023Presentation
Empowering beef producers to manage climate risk through an innovative approach to research and end user collaboration
Cowan, Tim, Foreman, S. and Jarvis, C.. 2023. "Empowering beef producers to manage climate risk through an innovative approach to research and end user collaboration." Climate Adaptation 2023. Adelaide, Australia 25 - 27 Jul 2023Presentation
Hot And Cold Cattle: Developing Cattle-Specific Thermal Stress Forecast Products
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Cobon, D. and Gaughan, J.. 2023. "Hot And Cold Cattle: Developing Cattle-Specific Thermal Stress Forecast Products." 22nd Biennial Australian Rangeland Society Conference. Broome, Australia 18 - 22 Sep 2023 Australia.Presentation
The Bureau of Meteorology's Newest Multi-Week To Seasonal Forecast Products Targeted To Agriculture
Cowan, T., Hudson, D., Wheeler, M.C. and Cobon, D.. 2023. "The Bureau of Meteorology's Newest Multi-Week To Seasonal Forecast Products Targeted To Agriculture." 22nd Biennial Australian Rangeland Society Conference. Broome, Australia 18 - 22 Sep 2023 Australia.Presentation
A fuzzy-based cascade ensemble model for improving extreme wind speeds prediction
Pelaez-Rodriguez, C., Perez-Aracil, J., Prieto-Godino, L., Ghimire, S., Deo, R. and Salcedo-sanz, S.. 2023. "A fuzzy-based cascade ensemble model for improving extreme wind speeds prediction." Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics. 240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2023.105507Article
Evaluating the use of a Net-Metering mechanism in microgrids to reduce power generation costs with a swarm-intelligent algorithm
Marcelino, C.G., Leite, G.M.C., Wanner, E.F., Jiménez-Fernández, S. and Salcedo-sanz, S.. 2023. "Evaluating the use of a Net-Metering mechanism in microgrids to reduce power generation costs with a swarm-intelligent algorithm." Energy. 266. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.126317Article
A drought monitor for Australia
Guillory, Laura, Pudmenzky, Christa, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Cobon, David and Stone, Roger. 2023. "A drought monitor for Australia." Environmental Modelling and Software. 170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105852Article
Madden-Julian Oscillation Impacts on Australian Temperatures and Extremes
Marshall, Andrew G., Wheeler, Mathew C. and Cowan, Tim. 2023. "Madden-Julian Oscillation Impacts on Australian Temperatures and Extremes." Journal of Climate. 36 (2), pp. 335-357. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0413.1Article
Flash flood-risk areas zoning using integration of decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory, GIS-based analytic network process and satellite-derived information
Taherizadeh, Mehrnoosh, Niknam, Arman, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Mezősi, Gábor and Sarli, Reza. 2023. "Flash flood-risk areas zoning using integration of decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory, GIS-based analytic network process and satellite-derived information." Natural Hazards. 118 (3), p. 2309–2335. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06089-5Article
Revealing the effect of an industrial flash flood on vegetation area: a case study of Khusheh Mehr in Maragheh-Bonab Plain, Iran
Taherizadeh, Mehrnoosh, Khushemehr, Javid Hojabri, Niknam, Arman, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Mezősi, Gábor. 2023. "Revealing the effect of an industrial flash flood on vegetation area: a case study of Khusheh Mehr in Maragheh-Bonab Plain, Iran." Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment. 32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2023.101016Article
Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe
Domeisen, Daniela I. V., White, Christopher J., Afargan-Gerstman, Hilla, Munoz, Angel G., Janiga, Matthew A., Vitart, Frederic, Wulff, C. Ole, Antoine, Salome, Ardilouze, Constantin, Batte, Lauriane, Bloomfield, Hannah C., Brayshaw, David J., Camargo, Suzana J., Charlton-Perez, Andrew, Collins, Dan, Cowan, Tim, del Mar Chaves, Maria, Ferranti, Laura, Gomez, Rosario, ..., Tian, Di. 2022. "Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103 (6), pp. E1473-E1501. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0221.1Article
Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Nguyen, Hanh and Cobon, David. 2022. "Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019." Scientific Reports. 12 (1), pp. 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09666-zArticle
A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Nagler, Thomas, Khaung, Ye, Aung, Thee Su Su, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben and Stone, Roger. 2022. "A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar." Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment. 26, pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2022.100733Article
Copula-based statistical modelling of synoptic-scale climate indices for quantifying and managing agricultural risks in Australia
Nguyen-Huy, Thong. 2020. "Copula-based statistical modelling of synoptic-scale climate indices for quantifying and managing agricultural risks in Australia." Bulletin of the Australian Mathematical Society. 101 (1), pp. 166-169. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0004972719001217Article
Drought Outlook Products Review
Cobon, David, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Reardon-Smith, Kate. 2019. Drought Outlook Products Review. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.Project report
Skill of ACCESS-S2 in predicting rainfall bursts over Australia
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Hudson, Debra, de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Griffiths, Morwenna and Young, Griffith. 2022. Skill of ACCESS-S2 in predicting rainfall bursts over Australia. Australia. Bureau of Meteorology.Technical report
Subseasonal to Seasonal Climate Forecasts Provide the Backbone of a Near-Real-Time Event Explainer Service
Hope, Pandora, Zhao, Mei, Abhik, S., Tolhurst, Gen, McKay, Roseanna C., Rauniyar, Surendra P., Bettio, Lynette, Ramchurn, Avijeet, Lim, Eun-Pa, Pepler, Acacia S, Cowan, Tim and Watkins, Andrew B.. 2022. "Subseasonal to Seasonal Climate Forecasts Provide the Backbone of a Near-Real-Time Event Explainer Service." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103 (3), pp. S7-S13. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0253.1Article
Predicting extremes that impact northern Australian livestock
Cowan, T.. 2022. "Predicting extremes that impact northern Australian livestock." Understanding High-Risk Events Mini-Symposium. online 06 - 06 Apr 2022Presentation
Cattle and Heat: a case for developing a cattle-specific heat stress forecast product
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Griffiths, M., Jackson, J. and Gaughan, J.. 2022. "Cattle and Heat: a case for developing a cattle-specific heat stress forecast product ." 29th Annual Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Adelaide, Australia 28 Nov - 01 Dec 2022Presentation
Analysis on heat characteristics for summer maize cropping in a semi-arid region
Wang, Zhiwei, Sun, Weiwei, Liu, Xiaoli, Li, Yangyang, Collins, Brian, Ullah, Najeeb and Song, Youhong. 2022. "Analysis on heat characteristics for summer maize cropping in a semi-arid region." Agronomy. 12 (6). https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy12061435Article
Drought outlook validation using ACCESS-S2 hindcast
Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Cobon, David. 2022. Drought outlook validation using ACCESS-S2 hindcast. Northern Australia Climate Program (NACP).Other
Systemic risk management in farming - geographic distribution and diversity
Nguyen-Huy, Thong. 2022. "Systemic risk management in farming - geographic distribution and diversity." Future Drought Fund’s 2022 Science to Practice Forum. 07 - 08 Jun 2022 Australia.Presentation
Estimation of maximum seasonal tropical cyclone damage in the Atlantic using climate models
Lavender, Sally L., Walsh, Kevin J. E., Utembe, Steven, Caron, Louis‑Philippe and Guishard, Mark. 2021. "Estimation of maximum seasonal tropical cyclone damage in the Atlantic using climate models." Natural Hazards. 10 (2), pp. 1025-1038. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04977-2Article
Variability and decline in the number of severe tropical cyclones making land-fall over eastern Australia since the late nineteenth century
Callaghan, Jeff and Power, Scott B.. 2011. "Variability and decline in the number of severe tropical cyclones making land-fall over eastern Australia since the late nineteenth century." Climate Dynamics. 37 (3-4), pp. 647-662. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0883-2Article
Making sense of flash drought: definitions, indicators, and where we go from here
Lisonbee, Joel, Woloszyn, Molly and Skumanich, Marina. 2021. "Making sense of flash drought: definitions, indicators, and where we go from here." Journal of Applied and Service Climatology. 2021 (1), pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.46275/JOASC.2021.02.001Article
Compound weather conditions that caused the north Queensland floods in February 2019: observations and predictions
Cowan, T. and Wheeler, M.. 2021. "Compound weather conditions that caused the north Queensland floods in February 2019: observations and predictions." 28th Annual Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. online 08 - 12 Feb 2021Presentation
Multi-week prediction of northern Australian summer rainfall bursts in ACCESS-S1
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Sur, S., Narsey, S. and de Burgh-Day, C.. 2021. "Multi-week prediction of northern Australian summer rainfall bursts in ACCESS-S1." 28th Annual Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. online 08 - 12 Feb 2021Presentation
The meteorology and forecast potential of the February 2019 northern Queensland floods
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., de Burgh-Day, C. and Nguyen, H.. 2021. "The meteorology and forecast potential of the February 2019 northern Queensland floods." NRM in the Rangelands Conference 2021. Longreach, Australia 05 - 08 Oct 2021Presentation
Livestock chill conditions associated with the February 2019 Queensland floods
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew, de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Nguyen, Hanh and Cobon, David. 2021. "Livestock chill conditions associated with the February 2019 Queensland floods." 2021 Bureau of Meteorology Annual Research and Development Workshop. 08 - 11 Nov 2021Presentation