370101. Adverse weather events
| Title | 370101. Adverse weather events |
|---|---|
| Parent | 3701. Atmospheric sciences |
Latest research outputs
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Insights from the Northern Australia Climate Program: droughts, floods, and hot cows
Cowan, T.. "Insights from the Northern Australia Climate Program: droughts, floods, and hot cows." Center for Climate Research Singapore. Singapore 28 - 28 Apr 2025Presentation
Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia
Cowan, T.. "Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia." Forecasting Cattle Comfort In Northern Australia. A NACP Webinar. online 20 - 20 Feb 2025Presentation
Forecasting cattle thermal stress in northern Australia
Cowan, T.. 2025. "Forecasting cattle thermal stress in northern Australia." 24th Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-24). Phnom Penh, Cambodia 24 - 25 Apr 2025Presentation
Development and verification of thermal stress forecasts for cattle in Australia's Rangelands
Cowan, T., Hinds, E., Marshall, AG, Wheeler, MC and Cobon, DH. 2025. "Development and verification of thermal stress forecasts for cattle in Australia's Rangelands." McDonald, S., Hacker, R., Pressland, T., Silcock, J., Reseigh, J. and Beutel, T. (ed.) 12th International Rangeland Congress. Adelaide, Australia 02 - 06 Jun 2025 Australia.Paper
Climate forecasts for Decision-Making
Cowan, T.. "Climate forecasts for Decision-Making." Virtual workshop for Bell. online 13 - 13 Sep 2024Presentation
Supporting beef producers through the Northern Australia Climate Program
Cowan, T.. "Supporting beef producers through the Northern Australia Climate Program." Bureau of Meteorology Environmental Prediction Services training. 23 - 23 Jul 2024Conference or Workshop item
Beef Stew(ing) – what might the future look like for northern Australian beef in a warmer world?
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Marshall, A., Gaughan, J. and Cobon, D.. "Beef Stew(ing) – what might the future look like for northern Australian beef in a warmer world? " 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024Presentation
Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?
Cowan, T.. "Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?" 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024Presentation
Pre- and post-flowering impacts of natural heatwaves on yield components in wheat
Ullah, Najeeb, Collins, Brian, Christopher, John T., Frederiks, Troy and Chenu, Karine. 2024. "Pre- and post-flowering impacts of natural heatwaves on yield components in wheat." Field Crops Research. 316. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2024.109489Article
Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry
Luo, Qunying, Wen, Li, Cowan, Tim and Schilling, Dale. 2024. "Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110005Article
Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Cobon, David H., Gaughan, John B., Marshall, Andrew G., Sharples, Wendy, McCulloch, Jillian and Jarvis, Chelsea. 2024. "Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 63 (5), pp. 645-663. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0082.1Article
A fuzzy-based cascade ensemble model for improving extreme wind speeds prediction
Pelaez-Rodriguez, C., Perez-Aracil, J., Prieto-Godino, L., Ghimire, S., Deo, R. and Salcedo-sanz, S.. 2023. "A fuzzy-based cascade ensemble model for improving extreme wind speeds prediction." Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics. 240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2023.105507Article
Evaluating the use of a Net-Metering mechanism in microgrids to reduce power generation costs with a swarm-intelligent algorithm
Marcelino, C.G., Leite, G.M.C., Wanner, E.F., Jiménez-Fernández, S. and Salcedo-sanz, S.. 2023. "Evaluating the use of a Net-Metering mechanism in microgrids to reduce power generation costs with a swarm-intelligent algorithm." Energy. 266. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.126317Article
A drought monitor for Australia
Guillory, Laura, Pudmenzky, Christa, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Cobon, David and Stone, Roger. 2023. "A drought monitor for Australia." Environmental Modelling and Software. 170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105852Article
Madden-Julian Oscillation Impacts on Australian Temperatures and Extremes
Marshall, Andrew G., Wheeler, Mathew C. and Cowan, Tim. 2023. "Madden-Julian Oscillation Impacts on Australian Temperatures and Extremes." Journal of Climate. 36 (2), pp. 335-357. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0413.1Article
Flash flood-risk areas zoning using integration of decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory, GIS-based analytic network process and satellite-derived information
Taherizadeh, Mehrnoosh, Niknam, Arman, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Mezősi, Gábor and Sarli, Reza. 2023. "Flash flood-risk areas zoning using integration of decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory, GIS-based analytic network process and satellite-derived information." Natural Hazards. 118 (3), p. 2309–2335. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06089-5Article
Revealing the effect of an industrial flash flood on vegetation area: a case study of Khusheh Mehr in Maragheh-Bonab Plain, Iran
Taherizadeh, Mehrnoosh, Khushemehr, Javid Hojabri, Niknam, Arman, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Mezősi, Gábor. 2023. "Revealing the effect of an industrial flash flood on vegetation area: a case study of Khusheh Mehr in Maragheh-Bonab Plain, Iran." Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment. 32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2023.101016Article
Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe
Domeisen, Daniela I. V., White, Christopher J., Afargan-Gerstman, Hilla, Munoz, Angel G., Janiga, Matthew A., Vitart, Frederic, Wulff, C. Ole, Antoine, Salome, Ardilouze, Constantin, Batte, Lauriane, Bloomfield, Hannah C., Brayshaw, David J., Camargo, Suzana J., Charlton-Perez, Andrew, Collins, Dan, Cowan, Tim, del Mar Chaves, Maria, Ferranti, Laura, Gomez, Rosario, ..., Tian, Di. 2022. "Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103 (6), pp. E1473-E1501. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0221.1Article
Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Nguyen, Hanh and Cobon, David. 2022. "Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019." Scientific Reports. 12 (1), pp. 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09666-zArticle
A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Nagler, Thomas, Khaung, Ye, Aung, Thee Su Su, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben and Stone, Roger. 2022. "A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar." Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment. 26, pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2022.100733Article
Copula-based statistical modelling of synoptic-scale climate indices for quantifying and managing agricultural risks in Australia
Nguyen-Huy, Thong. 2020. "Copula-based statistical modelling of synoptic-scale climate indices for quantifying and managing agricultural risks in Australia." Bulletin of the Australian Mathematical Society. 101 (1), pp. 166-169. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0004972719001217Article
Drought Outlook Products Review
Cobon, David, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Reardon-Smith, Kate. 2019. Drought Outlook Products Review. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.Project report
Skill of ACCESS-S2 in predicting rainfall bursts over Australia
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Hudson, Debra, de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Griffiths, Morwenna and Young, Griffith. 2022. Skill of ACCESS-S2 in predicting rainfall bursts over Australia. Australia. Bureau of Meteorology.Technical report
Subseasonal to Seasonal Climate Forecasts Provide the Backbone of a Near-Real-Time Event Explainer Service
Hope, Pandora, Zhao, Mei, Abhik, S., Tolhurst, Gen, McKay, Roseanna C., Rauniyar, Surendra P., Bettio, Lynette, Ramchurn, Avijeet, Lim, Eun-Pa, Pepler, Acacia S, Cowan, Tim and Watkins, Andrew B.. 2022. "Subseasonal to Seasonal Climate Forecasts Provide the Backbone of a Near-Real-Time Event Explainer Service." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103 (3), pp. S7-S13. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0253.1Article
Analysis on heat characteristics for summer maize cropping in a semi-arid region
Wang, Zhiwei, Sun, Weiwei, Liu, Xiaoli, Li, Yangyang, Collins, Brian, Ullah, Najeeb and Song, Youhong. 2022. "Analysis on heat characteristics for summer maize cropping in a semi-arid region." Agronomy. 12 (6). https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy12061435Article
Drought outlook validation using ACCESS-S2 hindcast
Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Cobon, David. 2022. Drought outlook validation using ACCESS-S2 hindcast. Northern Australia Climate Program (NACP).Other
Systemic risk management in farming - geographic distribution and diversity
Nguyen-Huy, Thong. 2022. "Systemic risk management in farming - geographic distribution and diversity." Future Drought Fund’s 2022 Science to Practice Forum. 07 - 08 Jun 2022 Australia.Presentation
Estimation of maximum seasonal tropical cyclone damage in the Atlantic using climate models
Lavender, Sally L., Walsh, Kevin J. E., Utembe, Steven, Caron, Louis‑Philippe and Guishard, Mark. 2021. "Estimation of maximum seasonal tropical cyclone damage in the Atlantic using climate models." Natural Hazards. 10 (2), pp. 1025-1038. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04977-2Article
Variability and decline in the number of severe tropical cyclones making land-fall over eastern Australia since the late nineteenth century
Callaghan, Jeff and Power, Scott B.. 2011. "Variability and decline in the number of severe tropical cyclones making land-fall over eastern Australia since the late nineteenth century." Climate Dynamics. 37 (3-4), pp. 647-662. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0883-2Article
Making sense of flash drought: definitions, indicators, and where we go from here
Lisonbee, Joel, Woloszyn, Molly and Skumanich, Marina. 2021. "Making sense of flash drought: definitions, indicators, and where we go from here." Journal of Applied and Service Climatology. 2021 (1), pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.46275/JOASC.2021.02.001Article
Understanding how climate change threatens food security
Nguyen-Huy, Thong. 2021. "Understanding how climate change threatens food security." A compendium of essays for the Allianz Climate Risk Research Award 2021. Germany.Other
Predicting the extreme conditions in northern Australia associated with the February 2019 rainfall event
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Alves, O., Narsey, S., de Burgh-Day, C., Griffiths, M., Jarvis, C., Cobon, D. and Hawcroft, D.M.. 2020. "Predicting the extreme conditions in northern Australia associated with the February 2019 rainfall event." Bureau of Meteorology Climate Training 2020. Melbourne, Australia 12 - 12 Mar 2020Presentation
Heat shocks increasingly impede grain filling but have little effect on grain setting across the Australian Wheatbelt
Collins, Behnam and Chenu, Karine. 2020. "Heat shocks increasingly impede grain filling but have little effect on grain setting across the Australian Wheatbelt." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 284. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107889Article
Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe
Vautard, Robert, Christidis, Nikolaos, Ciavarella, Andrew, Alvarez-Castro, Carmen, Bellprat, Omar, Christiansen, Bo, Colfescu, Ioana, Cowan, Tim, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Eden, Jonathan, Hauser, Mathias, Hegerl, Gabriele, Hempelmann, Nils, Klehmet, Katharina, Lott, Fraser, Nangini, Cathy, Orth, Rene, Radanovics, Sabine, Seneviratne, Sonia I., ..., Yiou, Pascal. 2019. "Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe." Climate Dynamics. 52 (1-2), pp. 1187-1210. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4183-6Article
Was the cold European winter of 2009/10 modified by anthropogenic climate change? An attribution study
Christiansen, Bo, Alvarez-Castro, Carmen, Christidis, Nikolaos, Ciavarella, Andrew, Colfescu, Ioana, Cowan, Timothy, Eden, Jonathan, Hauser, Mathias, Hempelmann, Nils, Klehmet, Katharina, Lott, Fraser, Nangini, Cathy, van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan, Orth, Rene, Stott, Peter, Tett, Simon, Vautard, Robert, Wilcox, Laura and Yiou, Pascal. 2018. "Was the cold European winter of 2009/10 modified by anthropogenic climate change? An attribution study." Journal of Climate. 31 (9), pp. 3387-3410. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0589.1Article
Factors contributing to record-breaking heat waves over the great plains during the 1930s Dust Bowl
Cowan, Tim, Hegerl, Gabriele C., Colfescu, Ioana, Bollasina, Massimo, Purich, Ariaan and Boschat, Ghyslaine. 2017. "Factors contributing to record-breaking heat waves over the great plains during the 1930s Dust Bowl." Journal of Climate. 30 (7), pp. 2437-2461. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0436.1Article
Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., White, C. J., Alexander, L. V., Argueso, D., Boschat, G., Cowan, T., Evans, J. P., Ekstrom, M., Oliver, E. C. J., Phatak, A. and Purich, A.. 2016. "Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves." Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 139 (1), pp. 101-114. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1650-0Article
On the use of composite analyses to form physical hypotheses: An example from heat wave - SST associations
Boschat, Ghyslaine, Simmonds, Ian, Purich, Purich, Cowan, Tim and Pezza, Alexandre Bernardes. 2016. "On the use of composite analyses to form physical hypotheses: An example from heat wave - SST associations." Scientific Reports. 6. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep29599Article
Future projections of Australian heat wave number and intensity based on CMIP5 models
Cowan, Tim, Purich, Ariaan, Boschat, Ghyslaine and Perkins, Sarah. 2014. "Future projections of Australian heat wave number and intensity based on CMIP5 models." Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. 27 (6), pp. 134-139.Article
Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with Southern Australian heat waves: A CMIP5 analysis
Purich, Ariaan, Cowan, Tim, Cai, Wenju, van Rensch, Peter, Uotila, Petteri, Pezza, Alexandre, Boschat, Ghyslaine and Perkins, Sarah. 2014. "Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with Southern Australian heat waves: A CMIP5 analysis." Journal of Climate. 27 (20), pp. 7807-7829. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00098.1Article