Impact of climate change on potential distribution of Chinese caterpillar fungus (Ophiocordyceps sinensis) in Nepal Himalaya

Article

Shrestha, Uttam Babu and Bawa, Kamaljit S.. 2014. "Impact of climate change on potential distribution of Chinese caterpillar fungus (Ophiocordyceps sinensis) in Nepal Himalaya." PLoS One. 9 (9), p. e106405. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0106405
Article Title

Impact of climate change on potential distribution of Chinese caterpillar fungus (Ophiocordyceps sinensis) in Nepal Himalaya

ERA Journal ID39745
Article CategoryArticle
AuthorsShrestha, Uttam Babu (Author) and Bawa, Kamaljit S. (Author)
Journal TitlePLoS One
Journal Citation9 (9), p. e106405
Number of Pages11
Year2014
PublisherPublic Library of Science (PLoS)
Place of PublicationUSA
ISSN1932-6203
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0106405
Web Address (URL)http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0106405
Abstract

Climate change has already impacted ecosystems and species and substantial impacts of climate change in the future are expected. Species distribution modeling is widely used to map the current potential distribution of species as well as to model the impact of future climate change on distribution of species. Mapping current distribution is useful for conservation planning and understanding the change in distribution impacted by climate change is important for mitigation of future biodiversity losses. However, the current distribution of Chinese caterpillar fungus, a flagship species of the Himalaya with very high economic value, is unknown. Nor do we know the potential changes in suitable habitat of Chinese caterpillar fungus caused by future climate change. We used MaxEnt modeling to predict current distribution and changes in the future distributions of Chinese caterpillar fungus in three future climate change trajectories based on representative concentration pathways (RCPs: RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 6.0) in three different time periods (2030, 2050, and
2070) using species occurrence points, bioclimatic variables, and altitude. About 6.02% (8,989 km2) area of the Nepal Himalaya is suitable for Chinese caterpillar fungus habitat. Our model showed that across all future climate change trajectories over three different time periods, the area of predicted suitable habitat of Chinese caterpillar fungus would expand, with 0.11–4.87% expansion over current suitable habitat. Depending upon the representative concentration pathways, we observed both increase and decrease in average elevation of the suitable habitat range of the species.

Keywordsclimate change, Himalayas, Nepal, caterpillar fungus
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020410406. Natural resource management
410401. Conservation and biodiversity
319902. Global change biology
Public Notes

Copyright: © 2014 Shrestha, Bawa. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits
unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

Byline AffiliationsInstitute for Agriculture and the Environment
University of Massachusetts, United States
Institution of OriginUniversity of Southern Queensland
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