A layered approach to horizon scanning: identifying future issues in military and veterans’ health

Article


Palmer, Jane and Ellis, Niki. 2008. "A layered approach to horizon scanning: identifying future issues in military and veterans’ health." Journal of Futures Studies. 12 (4), pp. 77-92.
Article Title

A layered approach to horizon scanning: identifying future issues in military and veterans’ health

ERA Journal ID21975
Article CategoryArticle
AuthorsPalmer, Jane (Author) and Ellis, Niki (Author)
Journal TitleJournal of Futures Studies
Journal Citation12 (4), pp. 77-92
Number of Pages16
Year2008
Place of PublicationTaiwan
ISSN1027-6084
Web Address (URL)http://www.jfs.tku.edu.tw
Abstract

The Centre for Military and Veterans Health, Australia undertook a horizon scanning process to identify issues in military and veterans’ health services delivery for a series of future scenario workshops. Existing writings on global trends, health, military and veterans issues were tabulated using three levels of Causal Layered Analysis (litany, system, worldview) (Inayatullah 2007) in combination with the Push (trends)-Pull (preferred futures)-Weight (history) triangle (Inayatullah 2007). Contradictions and synergies identified by scanning factors within and between levels produced a set of plausible future issues. Tagging all factors enabled a quick-scan process across all levels to revise or confirm each issue description.

Keywordscausal layered analysis, horizon scanning, futures methodology, health futures, military and veterans health
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020441006. Sociological methodology and research methods
520402. Decision making
350505. Occupational and workplace health and safety
420305. Health and community services
440804. Defence studies
Public Notes

No evidence of copyright restrictions preventing access to submitted version.

Byline AffiliationsUniversity of Technology Sydney
University of Queensland
Institution of OriginUniversity of Southern Queensland
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