Centre for Applied Climate Sciences (Operations)
| University | Centre for Applied Climate Sciences |
|---|---|
| Head | Prof Shahbaz Mushtaq |
| Director of Research | Prof Shahbaz Mushtaq |
Latest research outputs
395 results found
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Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5 °C
Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Hawkins, E., Bilbao, R., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., Caron, L.-P., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Doescher, R., Dunstone, N. J., Eade, R., Hermanson, L., Ishii, M., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Koenigk, T., Kushnir, Y., ..., Yeager, S.. 2018. "Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5 °C." Geophysical Research Letters. 45 (21), pp. 11,895-11,903. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079362Article
Dynamics and predictability of El Nino-Southern Oscillation: an Australian perspective on progress and challenges
Santoso, Agus, Hendon, Harry, Watkins, Andrew, Power, Scott, Hope, Pandora, Dommenget, Dietmar, England, Matthew H., Frankcombe, Leela, Holbrook, Neil J., Holmes, Ryan, Hope, Pandora, Lim, Eun-Pa, Luo, Jing-Jia, McGregor, Shayne, Neske, Sonja, Nguyen, Hanh, Pepler, Acacia, Rashid, Harun, Gupta, Alex Sen, ..., Delage, Francois. 2019. "Dynamics and predictability of El Nino-Southern Oscillation: an Australian perspective on progress and challenges." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 100 (3), pp. 403-420. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0057.1Article
Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia?
Timbal, B., Power, S., Colman, R., Viviand, J. and Lirola, S.. 2002. "Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia?" Journal of Climate. 15 (10), pp. 1230-1238. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1230:DSMICV>2.0.CO;2Article
El Nino–Southern Oscillation complexity
Timmermann, Axel, An, Soon Il, Kug, Jong Seong, Jin, Fei Fei, Cai, Wenju, Capotondi, Antonietta, Cobb, Kim M., Lengaigne, Matthieu, McPhaden, Michael J., Stuecker, Malte F., Stein, Karl, Wittenberg, Andrew T., Yun, Kyung Sook, Bayr, Tobias, Chen, Han-Ching, Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu, Dewitte, Boris, Dommenget, Dietmar, Grothe, Pamela, ..., Zhang, Xuebin. 2018. "El Nino–Southern Oscillation complexity." Nature. 559, pp. 535-545. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6Article
A Tripole Index for the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
Henley, Benjamin J., Gergis, Joelle, Karoly, David J., Power, Scott, Kennedy, John and Folland, Chris K.. 2015. "A Tripole Index for the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation." Climate Dynamics. 45 (11-12), pp. 3077-3090. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2525-1Article
A vertical wind structure that leads to extreme rainfall and major flooding in southeast Australia
Callaghan, Jeff and Power, Scott B.. 2017. "A vertical wind structure that leads to extreme rainfall and major flooding in southeast Australia." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 66 (4), pp. 380-401. https://doi.org/10.22499/3.6604.002Article
Spatial and temporal agreement in climate model simulations of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
Henley, Benjamin J., Meehl, Gerald, Power, Scott B., Folland, Chris K., King, Andrew D., Brown, Jaclyn N., Karoly, David J., Delage, Francois, Gallant, Ailie J. E., Freund, Mandy and Neukom, Raphael. 2017. "Spatial and temporal agreement in climate model simulations of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation." Environmental Research Letters. 12 (4), pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5cc8Article
Observed and projected changes in surface climate of tropical Pacific Islands
Lough, Janice, Gupta, Alex Sen, Power, Scott B., Grose, Michael R. and McGree, Simon. 2016. "Observed and projected changes in surface climate of tropical Pacific Islands." Taylor, Mary, McGregor, Andrew and Dawson, Brian (ed.) Vulnerability of Pacific island agriculture and forestry to climate change. Noumea Cedex, New Caledonia. Pacific Community. pp. 47-101Edited book (chapter)
The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Nino
Collins, Mat, An, Soon-Il, Cai, Wenju, Ganachaud, Alexandre, Guilyardi, Eric, Jin, Fei Fei, Jochum, Markus, Lengaigne, Matthieu, Power, Scott, Timmermann, Axel, Vecchi, Gabe and Wittenberg, Andrew. 2010. "The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Nino." Nature Geoscience. 3 (6), pp. 391-397. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo868Article
Inability of CMIP5 models to simulate recent strengthening of the walker circulation: implications for projections
Kociuba, Greg and Power, Scott B.. 2015. "Inability of CMIP5 models to simulate recent strengthening of the walker circulation: implications for projections." Journal of Climate. 28 (1), pp. 20-35. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00752.1Article
Modelled rainfall response to strong El Nino sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific
Chung, Christine T. Y. and Power, Scott B.. 2015. "Modelled rainfall response to strong El Nino sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific." Journal of Climate. 28 (8), pp. 3133-3151. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00610.1Article
The frequency of major flooding in coastal southeast Australia has significantly increased since the late 19th century
Power, Scott B. and Callaghan, Jeff. 2016. "The frequency of major flooding in coastal southeast Australia has significantly increased since the late 19th century." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 66 (1), pp. 2-11. https://doi.org/10.22499/3.6601.002Article
Assessing Livelihood Vulnerability of Minority Ethnic Groups to Climate Change: A Case Study from the Northwest Mountainous Regions of Vietnam
Tran, Van Thanh, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Cockfield, Geoff and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2021. "Assessing Livelihood Vulnerability of Minority Ethnic Groups to Climate Change: A Case Study from the Northwest Mountainous Regions of Vietnam." Sustainability. 13 (13). https://doi.org/10.3390/su13137106Article
More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century
Maher, Nicola, Power, Scott B. and Marotzke, Jochem. 2021. "More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century." Nature Communications. 12 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20635-wArticle
Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon from CMIP6 Models
Narsey, S. Y., Brown, J. R., Colman, R. A., Delage, F., Power, S. B., Moise, A. F. and Zhang, H.. 2020. "Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon from CMIP6 Models." Geophysical Research Letters. 47 (13), pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086816Article
ENSO-related rainfall changes over the New Guinea region
Smith, Ian, Moise, Aurel, Inape, Kasis, Murphy, Brad, Colman, Rob, Power, Scott and Chung, Christine. 2013. "ENSO-related rainfall changes over the New Guinea region." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 118 (19), pp. 10,665-10,675. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50818Article
Probabilistic yield forecasting of robusta coffee at the farm scale using agroclimatic and remote sensing derived indices
Kouadio, Louis, Byrareddy, Vivekananda M., Sawadogo, Alidou and Newlands, Nathaniel K.. 2021. "Probabilistic yield forecasting of robusta coffee at the farm scale using agroclimatic and remote sensing derived indices." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 306, pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108449Article
The varied impacts of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on Pacific Island climates
Murphy, Bradley F., Power, Scott B. and McGree, Simon. 2014. "The varied impacts of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on Pacific Island climates." Journal of Climate. 27 (11), pp. 4015-4036. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00130.1Article
The non-linear impact of El Nino, La Nina and the Southern Oscillation on seasonal and regional Australian precipitation
Chung, Christine T. Y. and Power, Scott B.. 2017. "The non-linear impact of El Nino, La Nina and the Southern Oscillation on seasonal and regional Australian precipitation." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 67 (1), pp. 25-45. https://doi.org/10.22499/3.6701.003Article
Humans have already increased the risk of major disruptions to Pacific rainfall
Power, Scott B., Delage, Francois P. D., Chung, Christine T. Y., Ye, Hua and Murphy, Bradley F.. 2017. "Humans have already increased the risk of major disruptions to Pacific rainfall." Nature Communications. 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14368Article
Multiyear variability in the Tasman Sea and impacts on Southern hemisphere climate in CMIP5 models
Chung, Christine T. Y., Power, Scott B., Santoso, Agus and Wang, Guomin. 2017. "Multiyear variability in the Tasman Sea and impacts on Southern hemisphere climate in CMIP5 models." Journal of Climate. 30 (12), pp. 4413-4427. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0862.1Article
Setting and smashing extreme temperature records over the coming century
Power, Scott B. and Delage, Francois P. D.. 2019. "Setting and smashing extreme temperature records over the coming century." Nature Climate Change. 9 (7), pp. 529-534. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0498-5Article
The role of the South Pacific in modulating Tropical Pacific variability
Chung, Christine T. Y., Power, Scott B., Sullivan, Arnold and Delage, Francois. 2019. "The role of the South Pacific in modulating Tropical Pacific variability." Scientific Reports. 9 (1), pp. 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-52805-2Article
ENSO response to greenhouse forcing
Cai, Wenju, Santoso, Agus, Wang, Guojian, Wu, Lixin, Collins, Mat, Lengaigne, Matthieu, Power, Scott and Timmermann, Axel. 2021. "ENSO response to greenhouse forcing." McPhaden, Michael J., Santoso, Agus and Cai, Wenju (ed.) El Nino Southern Oscillation in a changing climate. United States. John Wiley & Sons. pp. 289-307Edited book (chapter)
Apparent limitations in the ability of CMIP5 climate models to simulate recent multi-decadal change in surface temperature: implications for global temperature projections
Power, Scott, Delage, Francois, Wang, Guomin, Smith, Ian and Kociuba, Greg. 2017. "Apparent limitations in the ability of CMIP5 climate models to simulate recent multi-decadal change in surface temperature: implications for global temperature projections." Climate Dynamics. 49 (1-2), pp. 53-69. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3326-xArticle
El Nino-Southern oscillation and associated climatic conditions around the world during the latter half of the twenty-first century
Power, Scott B. and Delage, Francois P.D.. 2018. "El Nino-Southern oscillation and associated climatic conditions around the world during the latter half of the twenty-first century." Journal of Climate. 31 (15), pp. 6189-6207. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0138.1Article
What can decadal variability tell us about climate feedbacks and sensitivity?
Colman, Robert and Power, Scott B.. 2018. "What can decadal variability tell us about climate feedbacks and sensitivity?" Climate Dynamics. 51 (9-10), pp. 3815-3828. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4113-7Article
The impact of global warming and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on seasonal precipitation extremes in Australia
Delage, Francois P. D. and Power, Scott B.. 2020. "The impact of global warming and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on seasonal precipitation extremes in Australia." Climate Dynamics. 54 (9-10), pp. 4367-4377. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05235-0Article
The impact of anthropogenic forcing and natural processes on past, present, and future rainfall over Victoria, Australia
Rauniyar, Surendra P. and Power, Scott B.. 2020. "The impact of anthropogenic forcing and natural processes on past, present, and future rainfall over Victoria, Australia." Journal of Climate. 33 (18), pp. 8087-8106. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0759.1Article
Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO Metrics Package
Planton, Yann Y., Guilyardi, Eric, Wittenberg, Andrew T., Lee, Jiwoo, Gleckler, Peter J., Bayr, Tobias, McGregor, Shayne, McPhaden, Michael J., Power, Scott, Roehrig, Romain, Vialard, Jerome and Voldoire, Aurore. 2021. "Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO Metrics Package." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 102 (2), pp. E193-E217. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-19-0337.1Article
Climate services for managing societal risks and opportunities
Hewitt, Chris D. and Stone, Roger. 2021. "Climate services for managing societal risks and opportunities." Climate Services. 23, pp. 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100240Article
Climate services for addressing climate change: Indication of a climate livable city in China
Yu-Jie, Wang, Yu, Chen, Hewitt, Chris, Wei-Hua, Ding, Lian-Chun, Song, Wan-Xiu, Ai, Zhen-Yun, Han, Xiu-Cang, Li and Zi-Li, Huang. 2021. "Climate services for addressing climate change: Indication of a climate livable city in China." Advances in Climate Change Research. 12 (5), pp. 744-751. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.accre.2021.07.006Article
Temperature and rainfall impacts on robusta coffee bean characteristics
Kath, Jarrod, Byrareddy, Vivek, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Craparo, Aleesandro and Porcel, Mario. 2021. "Temperature and rainfall impacts on robusta coffee bean characteristics." Climate Risk Management. 32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2021.100281Article
Performance of a process-based model for predicting robusta coffee yield at the regional scale in Vietnam
Kouadio, Louis, Tixier, Philippe, Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Marcussen, Torben, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Rapidel, Bruno and Stone, Roger. 2021. "Performance of a process-based model for predicting robusta coffee yield at the regional scale in Vietnam." Ecological Modelling. 443, pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109469Article
Air quality services on climate time-scales for decision making: An empirical study of China
Wan, Kai, Shackley, Simon, Doherty, Ruth M., Shi, Zongbo, Zhang, Peiqun, Glenk, Klaus, Bo, Xin, Chang, Luyu, Feng, Zhiqiang, Hewitt, Chris D., Wang, Qian, Xu, Jianming and Xu, Jun. 2021. "Air quality services on climate time-scales for decision making: An empirical study of China." Journal of Cleaner Production. 312, pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.127651Article
The UK-China Climate Science to Service Partnership
Scaife, Adam A., Good, Elizabeth, Sun, Ying, Yan, Zhongwei, Dunstone, Nick, Ren, Hong-Li Ren, Li, Chaofan, Lu, Riyu, Wu, Peili, Ke, Zongjian, Ma, Zhuguo, Furtado, Kalli, Wu, Tongwen, Zhou, Tianjuan, Dunbar, Tyrone, Hewitt, Chris, Golding, Nicola, Zhang, Peiqun, Allan, Rob, ..., Belcher, Stephen. 2021. "The UK-China Climate Science to Service Partnership." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0055.1Article
Recommendations for Future Research Priorities for Climate Modeling and Climate Services
Hewitt, C. D., Guglielmo, F., Joussaume, S., Bessembinder, J., Christel, I., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Djurdjevic, V., Garrett, N., Kjellstrom, E., Krzic, A., Costa, M. Manez and St. Clair, A. L.. 2021. "Recommendations for Future Research Priorities for Climate Modeling and Climate Services." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 102 (3), pp. E578 -E588. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0103.1Article
Need for a common typology of climate services
Bessembinder, Janette, Terrado, Marta, Hewitt, Chris, Garrett, Natalie, Kotova, Lola, Buonocore, Mauro and Groenland, Rob. 2019. "Need for a common typology of climate services." Climate Services. 16, pp. 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2019.100135Article
Making Society Climate Resilient: International Progress under the Global Framework for Climate Services
Hewitt, C. D., Allis, E., Mason, S. J., Muth, M., Pulwarty, R., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Bucher, A., Brunet, M., Fischer, A. M., Hama, A. M., Kolli, R. K., Lucio, F., Ndiaye, O. and Tapia, B.. 2020. "Making Society Climate Resilient: International Progress under the Global Framework for Climate Services." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 101 (2), pp. 237-252. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0211.1Article
Improving China’s Resilience to Climate-Related Risks: The China Framework for Climate Services
Wang, Yujie, Song, Lianchun, Hewitt, Chris, Golding, Nicola and Huang, Zili. 2020. "Improving China’s Resilience to Climate-Related Risks: The China Framework for Climate Services." Weather, Climate and Society. 12 (4), pp. 729-744. https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0121.1Article
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