Simulating the impact of developers' capital possession on urban development across a megacity: An agent-based approach
Article
Wahyudi, Agung, Liu, Yan and Corcoran, Jonathan. 2021. "Simulating the impact of developers' capital possession on urban development
across a megacity: An agent-based approach." Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science. 48 (2), pp. 376-391. https://doi.org/10.1177/2399808319875983
| Article Title | Simulating the impact of developers' capital possession on urban development |
|---|---|
| ERA Journal ID | 20859 |
| Article Category | Article |
| Authors | Wahyudi, Agung, Liu, Yan and Corcoran, Jonathan |
| Journal Title | Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science |
| Journal Citation | 48 (2), pp. 376-391 |
| Number of Pages | 16 |
| Year | 2021 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Ltd |
| Place of Publication | United Kingdom |
| ISSN | 2399-8083 |
| 2399-8091 | |
| Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1177/2399808319875983 |
| Web Address (URL) | https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2399808319875983 |
| Abstract | The spatial decisions of land developers are known to play a significant role in driving urban expansion into previously undeveloped areas. This is especially the case in developing country contexts. Using the Jakarta Metropolitan Area as the case study context, we model the impact of capital possession by land developers on the location selection and unveil the way in which this exerts an effect on the spatial patterns of urban development. Through a hybrid agent-based and microeconomic modelling approach, different scenarios of capital possession and loans are simulated. Results show that areas with high values of return and low development costs are most likely to emerge as targeted locales. In order to result in measurable impact on the Jakarta Metropolitan Area urban footprint, developers need to possess a minimum capital investment of US$375 m allied with a 75% lending capacity. Results also reveal that the impact of the large land developers – those with in excess of US$750 m in capital that bring higher levels of lending leverage – extend the urban footprint in more predictable ways compared to land developers with less capital and lending capacity. Our study demonstrates the value of adopting an agent-based model to explore how human decisions at the individual scale can influence the emergence of new urban forms in a rapidly developing metropolitan region. |
| Keywords | Agent-based model; megacity; land developer; lending leverage; urban land cover; Indonesia |
| Public Notes | Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions. |
| Byline Affiliations | University of Queensland |
| Library Services |
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Zolkafli, Amirulikhsan, Brown, Greg and Liu, Yan. 2017. "An Evaluation of Participatory GIS (PGIS) for Land Use Planning in Malaysia." The Electronic Journal of Information Systems in Developing Countries. 83 (1), pp. 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1681-4835.2017.tb00610.xSpatially explicit assessment of land ecological security with spatial variables and logistic regression modeling in Shanghai, China
Feng, Yongjiu, Liu, Yan and Liu, Yu. 2017. "Spatially explicit assessment of land ecological security with spatial variables and logistic regression modeling in Shanghai, China." Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 31 (9), pp. 2235-2249. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1330-7Detection of spatial hot spots and variation for the neon flying squid Ommastrephes bartramii resources in the northwest Pacific Ocean
Feng, Yongjiu, Chen, Xinjun and Liu, Yan. 2017. "Detection of spatial hot spots and variation for the neon flying squid Ommastrephes bartramii resources in the northwest Pacific Ocean." Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology. 35 (4), pp. 921-935. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-017-6036-2Bridging the knowledge divide between public and experts using PGIS for land use planning in Malaysia
Zolkafli, Amirulikhsan, Liu, Yan and Brown, Greg. 2017. "Bridging the knowledge divide between public and experts using PGIS for land use planning in Malaysia." Applied Geography. 83, pp. 107-117. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.03.013Time-delayed influence of urban landscape change on the susceptibility of koalas to chlamydiosis
McAlpine, Clive, Brearley, Grant, Rhodes, Jonathan, Bradley, Adrian, Baxter, Greg, Seabrook, Leonie, Lunney, Daniel, Liu, Yan, Cottin, Manuelle, Smith, Andrew G. and Timms, Peter. 2017. "Time-delayed influence of urban landscape change on the susceptibility of koalas to chlamydiosis." Landscape Ecology. 32 (3), pp. 663-679. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-016-0479-2Understanding ‘change’ through spatial thinking using Google Earth in secondary geography
Xiang, X. and Liu, Y.. 2017. "Understanding ‘change’ through spatial thinking using Google Earth in secondary geography." Journal of Computer Assisted Learning. 33 (1), pp. 65-78. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcal.12166Greenspace and Crime: An Analysis of Greenspace Types, Neighboring Composition, and the Temporal Dimensions of Crime
Kimpton, Anthony, Corcoran, Jonathan and Wickes, Rebecca. 2017. "Greenspace and Crime: An Analysis of Greenspace Types, Neighboring Composition, and the Temporal Dimensions of Crime." Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency. 54 (3), pp. 303-337. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022427816666309An Evaluation of the Capacity-building Effects of Participatory GIS (PGIS) for Public Participation in Land Use Planning
Zolkafli, Amirulikhsan, Brown, Greg and Liu, Yan. 2017. "An Evaluation of the Capacity-building Effects of Participatory GIS (PGIS) for Public Participation in Land Use Planning." Planning Practice and Research. 32 (4), pp. 385-401. https://doi.org/10.1080/02697459.2017.1329470Mapping mis-location and housing stress in the private rental sector: A case study of Brisbane, Australia
Liu, Yan, Cheshire, Lynda and Wadley, David. 2016. "Mapping mis-location and housing stress in the private rental sector: A case study of Brisbane, Australia." Applied Geography. 76, pp. 207-216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2016.09.026The effects of changing spatial scales on spatial patterns of CPUE for Ommastrephes bartramii in the northwest Pacific Ocean
Feng, Yongjiu, Chen, Xinjun and Liu, Yan. 2016. "The effects of changing spatial scales on spatial patterns of CPUE for Ommastrephes bartramii in the northwest Pacific Ocean." Fisheries Research. 183, pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2016.05.006Simulating the Impact of Economic and Environmental Strategies on Future Urban Growth Scenarios in Ningbo, China
Liu, Yan and Feng, Yongjiu. 2016. "Simulating the Impact of Economic and Environmental Strategies on Future Urban Growth Scenarios in Ningbo, China." Sustainability. 8 (10), pp. 1-16. https://doi.org/10.3390/su8101045Scenario prediction of emerging coastal city using CA modeling under different environmental conditions: a case study of Lingang New City, China
Feng, Yongjiu and Liu, Yan. 2016. "Scenario prediction of emerging coastal city using CA modeling under different environmental conditions: a case study of Lingang New City, China." Environmental Monitoring and Assessment. 188 (9). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-016-5558-yAn effective 3D meshing approach for fractured rocks
Liu, Yan and Xing, H. L.. 2016. "An effective 3D meshing approach for fractured rocks." International Journal for Numerical Methods in Engineering. 107 (5), pp. 363-376. https://doi.org/10.1002/nme.5166Greenspace and Place Attachment: Do Greener Suburbs Lead to Greater Residential Place Attachment?
Kimpton, Anthony, Wickes, Rebecca and Corcoran, Jonathan. 2014. "Greenspace and Place Attachment: Do Greener Suburbs Lead to Greater Residential Place Attachment? " Urban Policy and Research. 32 (4), pp. 477-497. https://doi.org/10.1080/08111146.2014.908769Baby boomers in Queensland: where are they and where are they moving?
Liu, Yan and Soar, Jeffrey. 2005. "Baby boomers in Queensland: where are they and where are they moving?" Bellman, Chris, Cartwright, William and Shortis, Mark (ed.) 2005 Spatial Sciences Institute Biennial Conference: Spatial Intelligence, Innovation and Praxis (SSC2005). Melbourne, Australia 12 - 16 Sep 2005 Melbourne, Australia.Modelling the driving forces of Sydney's urban development (1971-96) in a cellular environment
Liu, Yan and Phinn, Stuart. 2005. "Modelling the driving forces of Sydney's urban development (1971-96) in a cellular environment." Applied Geographic Information Systems (GIS). 1 (3). https://doi.org/10.2104/ag050027This item comprises data from the following sources: Web of Science