Preparing Colombian coffee production for climate change: Integrated spatial modelling to identify potential robusta coffee (Coffea canephora P.) growing areas

Article


González-Orozco, Carlos E., Porcel, Mario, Mittahalli Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Rahn, Eric, Cardona, William A., Salinas Velandia, Diego A. Salinas, Araujo-Carrillo, Gustavo A. and Kath, Jarrod. 2024. "Preparing Colombian coffee production for climate change: Integrated spatial modelling to identify potential robusta coffee (Coffea canephora P.) growing areas." Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 177 (4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03717-2
Article Title

Preparing Colombian coffee production for climate change: Integrated spatial modelling to identify potential robusta coffee (Coffea canephora P.) growing areas

ERA Journal ID1965
Article CategoryArticle
AuthorsGonzález-Orozco, Carlos E., Porcel, Mario, Mittahalli Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Rahn, Eric, Cardona, William A., Salinas Velandia, Diego A. Salinas, Araujo-Carrillo, Gustavo A. and Kath, Jarrod
Journal TitleClimatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change
Journal Citation177 (4)
Number of Pages26
Year2024
PublisherSpringer
Place of PublicationNetherlands
ISSN0165-0009
1573-1480
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03717-2
Web Address (URL)https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-024-03717-2
AbstractMeeting future demand for coffee under climate change is a challenge. Approaches that can inform where coffee may grow best under current and future climate scenarios are needed. Robusta coffee (Coffea canephora P.) is planted in many tropical areas and makes up around 40% of the world’s coffee supply. However, as the climate shifts, current robusta areas may become less productive, while in other areas new growing regions for robusta may emerge. Colombia is one of the world’s most important Arabica coffee producer, famous for its high-quality coffee. Although robusta coffee is not yet a commercial crop in Colombia, it could be one of the future bastions for robusta coffee in South America contributing to meeting the increasing demand, but this remains unexplored. We aimed to identify areas with highest biophysical and socio-economic potential to grow robusta coffee in Colombia. An integrated modelling approach was used, combining climate suitability and crop-yield modelling for current and future climate scenarios, soil constraints, pest risk assessment and socio-economic constraints to identify the regions with the highest potential productivity and the lowest pest and climate change risks with good market access and low security risks which don’t further expand the agricultural frontier. Our results showed that parts of the foothills along the eastern Andean Mountain ranges, the high plains of the Orinoquía region and the wet parts of the Caribbean region are the best candidates for the potential development of robusta coffee plantations in Colombia. The crop-yield model indicated highest yields of green coffee on the foothills of the eastern Andean Mountain range with an estimated average yield of 2.6 t ha−1 (under rain-fed conditions) which is projected to occur at elevations below 600 m avoiding interference with the traditional and established Arabica coffee regions in Colombia. Under a 2 °C global warming scenario climate change is projected to have the largest impacts on the Caribbean region. Therefore, larger scale irrigated production system could be an appropriate option in the Caribbean region, while diversified smallholder robusta coffee agroforestry systems are considered more favourable in the Orinoquía region.
KeywordsAndean region
Contains Sensitive ContentDoes not contain sensitive content
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020300299. Agriculture, land and farm management not elsewhere classified
Byline AffiliationsCorporación Colombiana de Investigación Agropecuaria (AGROSAVIA), Colombia
IFAPA-Centro Alameda del Obispo, Spain
Centre for Applied Climate Sciences
Centre for Applied Climate Sciences (Research)
School of Agriculture and Environmental Science
Permalink -

https://research.usq.edu.au/item/z84wx/preparing-colombian-coffee-production-for-climate-change-integrated-spatial-modelling-to-identify-potential-robusta-coffee-coffea-canephora-p-growing-areas

Download files


Published Version
s10584-024-03717-2.pdf
License: CC BY 4.0
File access level: Anyone

  • 5
    total views
  • 3
    total downloads
  • 2
    views this month
  • 1
    downloads this month

Export as

Related outputs

Assessing scale-dependency of climate risks in coffee-based agroforestry systems
Byrareddy, Vivekananda M., Kath, Jarrod, Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Geethalakshmi, Vellingiri. 2024. "Assessing scale-dependency of climate risks in coffee-based agroforestry systems." Scientific Reports. 14 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58790-5
Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Kouadio, Louis, King, Rachel, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Barratt, Jonathan. 2024. "Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers." Sustainable Futures. 8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100249
Understanding Constraints and Enablers of Climate Risk Management Strategies: Evidence from Smallholder Dairy Farmers in Regional South India
Shantharaju, Anupama, Islam, Md Aminul, Kath, Jarrod M., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Muniyappa, Arun and Singh-Peterson, Lila. 2024. "Understanding Constraints and Enablers of Climate Risk Management Strategies: Evidence from Smallholder Dairy Farmers in Regional South India." Sustainability. 16 (5), p. 2018. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16052018
Are Vietnamese coffee farmers willing to pay for weather index insurance?
Lan, Le, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Wang, Qingxia (Jenny), Barlis, Angelica, Deniau, Aline, Mittahalli Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Anh, Huynh Tan and Swaans, Kees. 2024. "Are Vietnamese coffee farmers willing to pay for weather index insurance?" International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104185
Plant and soil fungal community responses to cultural burning
Birnbaum, Christina, Kath, J, Dearnaley, J and Reardon-Smith, K. 2023. "Plant and soil fungal community responses to cultural burning." 65th Annual Symposium for International Association for Vegetation Science (IAVS 2023). Coffs Harbour, Australia 03 - 08 Sep 2023 Australia.
Spatial modelling of agro-ecologically significant grassland species using the INLA-SPDE approach
Fichera, Andrew, King, Rachel, Kath, Jarrod, Cobon, David and Reardon-Smith, Kathryn. 2023. "Spatial modelling of agro-ecologically significant grassland species using the INLA-SPDE approach." Scientific Reports. 13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32077-7
A systematic review of emerging environmental markets: Potential pathways to creating shared value for communities
Mittahalli Byrareddy, Vivekananda M, Islam, Md Aminul, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Slaughter, Geoff. 2023. "A systematic review of emerging environmental markets: Potential pathways to creating shared value for communities ." Heliyon. 9 (9). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19754
Early flowering changes robusta coffee yield responses to climate stress and managementv
Kath, Jarrod, Byrareddy, Vivekananda Mittahalli, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2023. "Early flowering changes robusta coffee yield responses to climate stress and managementv." Science of the Total Environment. 856 (Part 1), pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158836
Innovations for a climate resilient sustainable agricultural sector
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Reardon-Smith, Kathryn. 2022. "Innovations for a climate resilient sustainable agricultural sector." The Australian Farmer: A Digital Publication and Knowledge Tool for the Forward-Thinking Farmer. II, pp. 237-238.
Fast estimation and choice of confidence interval methods for step regression
Hua, Shuangcheng, Fong, Youyi and Kath, Jarrod. 2022. "Fast estimation and choice of confidence interval methods for step regression." Environmental and Ecological Statistics. 29 (4), pp. 779-799. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-022-00547-2
Vapour pressure deficit determines critical thresholds for global coffee production under climate change
Kath, Jarrod, Craparo, Alessandro, Fong, Youyi, Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Davis, Aaron P., King, Rachel, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, van Asten, Piet J. A., Marcussen, Torben, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Stone, Roger and Power, Scott. 2022. "Vapour pressure deficit determines critical thresholds for global coffee production under climate change." Nature Food. 3, pp. 871-880. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00614-8
A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Nagler, Thomas, Khaung, Ye, Aung, Thee Su Su, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben and Stone, Roger. 2022. "A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar." Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment. 26, pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2022.100733
Coping with drought: Lessons learned from robusta coffee growers in Vietnam
Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Stone, Roger. 2021. "Coping with drought: Lessons learned from robusta coffee growers in Vietnam." Climate Services. 22, pp. 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100229
Global disparities in agricultural climate index-based insurance research
Adeyinka, Adewuyi Ayodele, Kath, Jarrod, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Souvignet, Maxime, Range, Matthias and Barratt, Jonathan. 2022. "Global disparities in agricultural climate index-based insurance research." Climate Risk Management. 35, pp. 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2022.100394
‘Dig Up Dirt’, using citizen science to understand the diversity of beneficial fungi in Australian agroecosystems
Heuck, M.K., Birnbaum, C., Kath, J., Powell, J. and Frew, A.. 2022. "‘Dig Up Dirt’, using citizen science to understand the diversity of beneficial fungi in Australian agroecosystems." 2022 Conference of the Ecological Society of Australia (ESA 2022). Wollongong, Australia 28 Nov - 02 Dec 2022 Australia.
Probabilistic yield forecasting of robusta coffee at the farm scale using agroclimatic and remote sensing derived indices
Kouadio, Louis, Byrareddy, Vivekananda M., Sawadogo, Alidou and Newlands, Nathaniel K.. 2021. "Probabilistic yield forecasting of robusta coffee at the farm scale using agroclimatic and remote sensing derived indices." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 306, pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108449
Temperature and rainfall impacts on robusta coffee bean characteristics
Kath, Jarrod, Byrareddy, Vivek, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Craparo, Aleesandro and Porcel, Mario. 2021. "Temperature and rainfall impacts on robusta coffee bean characteristics." Climate Risk Management. 32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2021.100281
Performance of a process-based model for predicting robusta coffee yield at the regional scale in Vietnam
Kouadio, Louis, Tixier, Philippe, Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Marcussen, Torben, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Rapidel, Bruno and Stone, Roger. 2021. "Performance of a process-based model for predicting robusta coffee yield at the regional scale in Vietnam." Ecological Modelling. 443, pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109469
Statistical comparison of additive regression tree methods on ecological grassland data
Plant, Emily, King, Rachel and Kath, Jarrod. 2021. "Statistical comparison of additive regression tree methods on ecological grassland data." Ecological Informatics. 61, pp. 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2020.101198
Agricultural climate risk management and global food security: recent progress in South-East Asia
Kouadio, Louis and Rahn, Eric. 2021. "Agricultural climate risk management and global food security: recent progress in South-East Asia." Lyubchich, Vyacheslav, Gel, Yulia R., Kilbourne, K. Halimeda, Miller, Thomas J., Newlands, Nathaniel K. and Smith, Adam B. (ed.) Evaluating climate change impacts. Boca Raton, FL, USA. CRC Press. pp. 347-362
Integrating seasonal climate forecasts with Robusta coffee model across the agricultural landscapes of Vietnam
Byrareddy, Vivekananda Mittahalli. 2020. Integrating seasonal climate forecasts with Robusta coffee model across the agricultural landscapes of Vietnam. PhD Thesis Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland. https://doi.org/10.26192/k1v4-0907
Win-win: Improved irrigation management saves water and increases yield for robusta coffee farms in Vietnam
Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Kouadio, Louis, Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Rafiei, Vahid, Scobie, Michael and Stone, Roger. 2020. "Win-win: Improved irrigation management saves water and increases yield for robusta coffee farms in Vietnam." Agricultural Water Management. 241, pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106350
Not so robust: robusta coffee production is highly sensitive to temperature
Kath, Jarrod, Byrareddy, Vivekananda M., Craparo, Alessandro, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cao, Loc and Bossolasco, Laurent. 2020. "Not so robust: robusta coffee production is highly sensitive to temperature." Global Change Biology. 26 (6), pp. 3677-3688. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15097
Defining flood risk management strategies: a systems approach
Mai, Thanh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Reardon-Smith, Kate, Webb, Paul, Stone, Roger, Kath, Jarrod and An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2020. "Defining flood risk management strategies: a systems approach." International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101550
Creating positive synergies between risk management and transfer to accelerate food system climate resilience
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod, Stone, Roger, Henry, Ross, Laderach, Peter, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Cobon, David, Marcussen, Torben, Cliffe, Neil, Kristiansen, Paul and Pischke, Frederik. 2020. "Creating positive synergies between risk management and transfer to accelerate food system climate resilience." Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 161 (3), pp. 465-478. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02679-5
Integrating El Nino-Southern Oscillation information and spatial diversification to minimize risk and maximize profit for Australian grazing enterprises
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cobon, David, Stone, Gordon and Stone, Roger. 2020. "Integrating El Nino-Southern Oscillation information and spatial diversification to minimize risk and maximize profit for Australian grazing enterprises." Agronomy for Sustainable Development: sciences des productions vegetales et de l'environnement. 40, pp. 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13593-020-0605-z
Spatial variability in regional scale drought index insurance viability across Australia’s wheat growing regions
Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Henry, Ross, Adeyinka, Adewuyi Ayodele, Stone, Roger, Marcussen, Torben and Kouadio, Louis. 2019. "Spatial variability in regional scale drought index insurance viability across Australia’s wheat growing regions." Climate Risk Management. 24, pp. 13-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2019.04.002
Key risks for Australian macadamia growers and potential insurance options to manage financial losses
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod, Marcussen, Torbin, Roberts, Julian, Wilkinson, Claire, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2019. Key risks for Australian macadamia growers and potential insurance options to manage financial losses. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.
Sustainable production of Robusta coffee under a changing climate: a 10-year monitoring of fertilizer management in coffee farms in Vietnam and Indonesia
Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Stone, Roger. 2019. "Sustainable production of Robusta coffee under a changing climate: a 10-year monitoring of fertilizer management in coffee farms in Vietnam and Indonesia." Agronomy. 9, pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy9090499
A soil temperature decision support tool for agronomic research and management under climate variability: adapting to earlier and more variable planting conditions
Kath, Jarrod and Pembleton, Keith. 2019. "A soil temperature decision support tool for agronomic research and management under climate variability: adapting to earlier and more variable planting conditions." Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. 162, pp. 783-792. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2019.05.030
Copula statistical models for analyzing stochastic dependencies of systemic drought risk and potential adaptation strategies
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Khan, Shahjahan. 2019. "Copula statistical models for analyzing stochastic dependencies of systemic drought risk and potential adaptation strategies." Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 33 (3), pp. 779-799. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-019-01662-6
Remotely sensed agricultural grassland productivity responses to land use and hydro-climatic drivers under extreme drought and rainfall
Kath, Jarrod, Le Brocque, Andrew, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn and Apan, Armando. 2019. "Remotely sensed agricultural grassland productivity responses to land use and hydro-climatic drivers under extreme drought and rainfall." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 268, pp. 11-22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.01.007
A conceptual framework for ecological responses to groundwater regime alteration (FERGRA)
Kath, Jarrod, Boulton, Andrew J., Harrison, Evan T. and Dyer, Fiona J.. 2018. "A conceptual framework for ecological responses to groundwater regime alteration (FERGRA)." Ecohydrology. 11 (7), pp. 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1002/eco.2010
Tropical cyclone insurance for Queensland agriculture
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod, Stone, Roger, Marcussen, Torben, Roberts, Julian, Wilkinson, Claire, Mehmet, Russell and Henry, Ross. 2018. Tropical cyclone insurance for Queensland agriculture. University of Southern Queensland. University of Southern Queensland.
Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: summary report
Mushtaq, Shabaz, Marcussen, Torben, Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar, Stone, Roger, Roberts, Julian, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2018. Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: summary report. University of Southern Queensland.
Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: final report
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben, Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar, Stone, Roger, Roberts, Julian, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2017. Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: final report. University of Southern Queensland.
Index insurance benefits agricultural producers exposed to excessive rainfall risk
Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Henry, Ross, Adeyinka, Adewuyi and Stone, Roger. 2018. "Index insurance benefits agricultural producers exposed to excessive rainfall risk." Weather and Climate Extremes. 22, pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.10.003
Artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of Robusta coffee yield using soil fertility properties
Kouadio, Louis, Deo, Ravinesh C., Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Adamowski, Jan F., Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Nguyen, Van Phuong. 2018. "Artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of Robusta coffee yield using soil fertility properties." Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. 155, pp. 324-338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2018.10.014
Copula-based agricultural conditional value-at-risk modelling for geographical diversifications in wheat farming portfolio management
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Khan, Shahjahan. 2018. "Copula-based agricultural conditional value-at-risk modelling for geographical diversifications in wheat farming portfolio management." Weather and Climate Extremes. 21, pp. 76-89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.07.002
Discretization of continuous predictor variables in Bayesian networks: an ecological threshold approach
Lucena-Moya, Paloma, Brawata, Renee, Kath, Jarrod, Harrison, Evan, El Sawah, Sondoss and Dyer, Fiona. 2015. "Discretization of continuous predictor variables in Bayesian networks: an ecological threshold approach." Environmental Modelling and Software. 66, pp. 36-45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.12.019
Looking beneath the surface: using hydrogeology and traits to explain flow variability effects on stream macroinvertebrates
Kath, Jarrod, Harrison, Evan, Kefford, Ben J., Moore, Leah, Wood, Paul J., Schafer, Ralf B. and Dyer, Fiona. 2016. "Looking beneath the surface: using hydrogeology and traits to explain flow variability effects on stream macroinvertebrates." Ecohydrology. 9 (8), pp. 1480-1495. https://doi.org/10.1002/eco.1741
Interactions among stressors may be weak: Implications for management of freshwater macroinvertebrate communities
Kath, Jarrod, Thomson, James R., Thompson, Ross, Kefford, Ben, Dyer, Fiona and MacNally, Ralph. 2018. "Interactions among stressors may be weak: Implications for management of freshwater macroinvertebrate communities." Diversity and Distributions. 24 (7), pp. 939-950. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12737
Why groundwater matters: an introduction for policy-makers and managers
Kath, Jarrod and Dyer, Fiona. 2017. "Why groundwater matters: an introduction for policy-makers and managers." Policy Studies. 38 (5), pp. 447-461. https://doi.org/10.1080/01442872.2016.1188907
Drivers of grassland resistance and recovery to long term drought
Le Brocque, Andrew F, Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kate and Apan, Armando. 2017. "Drivers of grassland resistance and recovery to long term drought." 6th Joint Conference of the Ecological Society of Australia and the New Zealand Ecological Society (EcoTAS 2017). Pokolbin, Australia 26 Nov - 01 Dec 2017
Chronic groundwater decline: a multi-decadal analysis of groundwater trends under extreme climate cycles
Le Brocque, Andrew F., Kath, Jarrod and Reardon-Smith, Kathryn. 2018. "Chronic groundwater decline: a multi-decadal analysis of groundwater trends under extreme climate cycles." Journal of Hydrology. 561, pp. 976-986. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.04.059
Using a Bayesian network model to assess ecological responses to hydrological factor interactions
Kath, Jarrod M., Le Brocque, Andrew F. and Maron, Martine. 2016. "Using a Bayesian network model to assess ecological responses to hydrological factor interactions." Ecohydrology. 9 (1), pp. 11-20. https://doi.org/10.1002/eco.1597
Groundwater decline and climatic variability: Implications for groundwater linked agro-ecosystems
Le Brocque, Andrew F., Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kate and Apan, Armando. 2016. "Groundwater decline and climatic variability: Implications for groundwater linked agro-ecosystems." 2016 Conference of the Ecological Society of Australia (ESA 2016). Fremantle, Australia 29 Nov - 02 Dec 2016 Australia.
Groundwater salinization intensifies drought impacts in forests and reduces refuge capacity
Kath, Jarrod, Powell, Sue, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, El Sawah, Sondoss, Jakeman, Anthony J., Croke, Barry F.W. and Dyer, Fiona J.. 2015. "Groundwater salinization intensifies drought impacts in forests and reduces refuge capacity." Journal of Applied Ecology. 52 (5), pp. 1116-1125. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12495
Groundwater thresholds for drought resilience in floodplain woodlands: a case study from the northern Murray-Darling Basin
Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kate, Le Brocque, Andy and Dyer, Fiona. 2014. "Groundwater thresholds for drought resilience in floodplain woodlands: a case study from the northern Murray-Darling Basin." Climate Adaptation (NCCARF 2014): Future Challenges. Gold Coast, Australia 30 Sep - 02 Oct 2014 Gold Coast, Australia.
Identifying groundwater thresholds for drought resilience in floodplain tree species in the northern Murray-Darling Basin
Reardon-Smith, Kate, Kath, Jarrod, Le Brocque, Andy and Dyer, Fiona. 2014. "Identifying groundwater thresholds for drought resilience in floodplain tree species in the northern Murray-Darling Basin." Andersen, Alan (ed.) 2014 Conference of the Ecological Society of Australia (ESA 2014). Alice Springs, Australia 28 Sep - 03 Oct 2014 Canberra, Australia.
Hydrological and land use determinants of Eucalyptus camaldulensis occurrence in floodplain wetlands
Kath, Jarrod, Le Brocque, Andrew, Leyer, Ilona and Mosner, Eva. 2014. "Hydrological and land use determinants of Eucalyptus camaldulensis occurrence in floodplain wetlands." Austral Ecology: a journal of ecology in the Southern Hemisphere. 39 (6), pp. 643-655. https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.12126
Groundwater depth thresholds for tree condition
Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kate, Le Brocque, Andi, Dafny, Elad, Dyer, Fiona, Fritz, L. and Batterham, Megan. 2013. "Groundwater depth thresholds for tree condition." 52nd Australian Society for Limnology Congress (ASL 2013): From Theory to Practice in Water Science. Canberra, Australia 02 - 05 Dec 2013 Canberra, Australia.
Groundwater decline and tree change in floodplain landscapes: identifying non-linear threshold responses in canopy condition
Kath, J., Reardon-Smith, K., Le Brocque, A. F., Dyer, F. J., Dafny, E., Fritz, L. and Batterham, M.. 2014. "Groundwater decline and tree change in floodplain landscapes: identifying non-linear threshold responses in canopy condition." Global Ecology and Conservation. 2, pp. 148-160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2014.09.002
Foraging guild perturbations and ecological homogenization driven by a despotic native bird species
Howes, Alison, MacNally, Ralph, Loyn, Richard, Kath, Jarrod, Bowen, Michiala, McAlpine, Clive and Maron, Martine. 2014. "Foraging guild perturbations and ecological homogenization driven by a despotic native bird species." IBIS: The International Journal of Avian Science. 156 (2), pp. 341-354. https://doi.org/10.1111/ibi.12136
An integrated model to examine the effects of sustainable diversion limits: a case study in the Lower Campaspe catchment
El Sawah, S., Kelly, R. A., Beverly, C., Stott, K., Patrick, M. J., Kath, J., Croke, B. F. W., Qureshi, M. E., Courtney-Barrer, B., Asher, M. J., Roberts, A. and Jakeman, A. J.. 2013. "An integrated model to examine the effects of sustainable diversion limits: a case study in the Lower Campaspe catchment." Piantadosi, J., Anderssen, R. S. and Boland, J. (ed.) 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2013). Adelaide, Australia 01 - 06 Dec 2013 Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand . https://doi.org/10.36334/modsim.2013.K3.elsawah
Integrating hydrology and land use to understand the ecology of floodplain wetlands in the Condamine Catchment, southern Queensland, Australia
Kath, Jarrod Michael. 2012. Integrating hydrology and land use to understand the ecology of floodplain wetlands in the Condamine Catchment, southern Queensland, Australia. PhD Thesis Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland.
Interspecific competition and small bird diversity in an urbanizing landscape
Kath, Jarrod, Maron, Martine and Dunn, Peter K.. 2009. "Interspecific competition and small bird diversity in an urbanizing landscape." Landscape and Urban Planning. 92 (2), pp. 72-79. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2009.02.007
Ephemeral wetlands: their ecological function and resilience and climate change
Kath, Jarrod, Le Brocque, Andrew F. and Miller, Craig. 2008. "Ephemeral wetlands: their ecological function and resilience and climate change." 11th International Riversymposium: A Future of Extremes. Brisbane, Australia 01 - 04 Sep 2008 Brisbane, Australia.
Relative influence of habitat modification and interspecific competition on woodland bird assemblages in eastern Australia
Maron, M., Main, A., Bowen, M., Howes, A., Kath, J., Pillette, C. and McAlpine, C. A.. 2011. "Relative influence of habitat modification and interspecific competition on woodland bird assemblages in eastern Australia." Emu: austral ornithology. 111 (1), pp. 40-51. https://doi.org/10.1071/MU09108
Different landscape factors explain establishment and persistence of river red gum (Eucalyptus camaldulensis) in agricultural landscapes of southeast Queensland
Kath, Jarrod, Le Brocque, Andrew F., Miller, Craig, Leyer, Ilona and Mosner, Eva. 2010. "Different landscape factors explain establishment and persistence of river red gum (Eucalyptus camaldulensis) in agricultural landscapes of southeast Queensland." Lonsdale, Mark (ed.) 2010 Conference of the Ecological Society of Australia (ESA 2010). Canberra, Australia 06 - 10 Dec 2010 Alice Springs, Australia. Ecological Society of Australia.
Mapping habitat of threatened reptiles in Western Downs, Queensland: a spatial modelling approach using 'presence-only' occurrence data
Apan, Armando, Phinn, Stuart, McAlpine, Clive and Kath, Jarrod. 2010. "Mapping habitat of threatened reptiles in Western Downs, Queensland: a spatial modelling approach using 'presence-only' occurrence data." Queensland Surveying and Spatial Conference 2010 (QSSC 2010). Brisbane, Australia 01 - 03 Sep 2010 Brisbane, Australia.
Eco-hydrology of dynamic wetlands in an Australian agricultural landscape: a whole of system approach for understanding climate change impacts
Kath, Jarrod, Le Brocque, Andrew and Miller, Craig. 2010. "Eco-hydrology of dynamic wetlands in an Australian agricultural landscape: a whole of system approach for understanding climate change impacts." BALWOIS 2010: Water Observation and Information System for Decision Support. Ohrid, Macedonia 25 - 29 May 2010 Macedonia.
Wetland hydrology in an agricultural landscape: implications for biodiversity
Kath, Jarrod, Le Brocque, Andrew and Miller, Craig. 2010. "Wetland hydrology in an agricultural landscape: implications for biodiversity." BALWOIS 2010: Water Observation and Information System for Decision Support. Ohrid, Macedonia 25 - 29 May 2010 Macedonia.
Resilience of ephemeral wetlands in production landscapes
Kath, Jarrod, Le Brocque, Andrew F. and Miller, Craig. 2008. "Resilience of ephemeral wetlands in production landscapes." McArthur, Clare (ed.) 2008 Conference of the Ecological Society of Australia (ESA 2008). Sydney, Australia 01 - 05 Dec 2008 Canberra, Australia. Ecological Society of Australia.
Resilience of temporary wetlands in production landscapes and potential impacts of climate change
Kath, Jarrod, Le Brocque, Andrew F. and Miller, Craig. 2009. "Resilience of temporary wetlands in production landscapes and potential impacts of climate change." James, Craig D. (ed.) INTECOL 2010: Ecology in a Changing Climate: Two Hemispheres, One Globe. Brisbane, Australia 16 - 21 Aug 2009 Australia.