Can reliable sub-state emigration estimates be obtained from an administrative population dataset? The case of the Person Level Integrated Data Asset (PLIDA) of Australia

Article


Wilson, Tonm, Wu, Gin, Bernard, Aude, Argent, Neil and Kimpton, Anthony. 2024. "Can reliable sub-state emigration estimates be obtained from an administrative population dataset? The case of the Person Level Integrated Data Asset (PLIDA) of Australia." Journal of Population Research. 42. https://doi.org/110.1007/s12546-024-09355-w
Article Title

Can reliable sub-state emigration estimates be obtained from an administrative population dataset? The case of the Person Level Integrated Data Asset (PLIDA) of Australia

ERA Journal ID40226
Article CategoryArticle
AuthorsWilson, Tonm, Wu, Gin, Bernard, Aude, Argent, Neil and Kimpton, Anthony
Journal TitleJournal of Population Research
Journal Citation42
Article Number6
Number of Pages21
Year2024
PublisherSpringer
Place of PublicationNetherlands
ISSN1443-2447
1835-9469
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/110.1007/s12546-024-09355-w
Web Address (URL)https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12546-024-09355-w
Abstract

To fully understand and forecast local and regional population change, it is necessary to obtain data for all the demographic components of change—births, deaths, internal migration, and overseas migration. In Australia, and many other countries, high-quality and geographically detailed data is available for most demographic components, but not emigration. The Australian Bureau of Statistics publishes good quality estimates of immigration and emigration at the national and State scales, but available sub-state emigration data is heavily modelled and suffers from quality issues. Good quality sub-state immigration data is available from the census. The aim of this study was to evaluate the quality of sub-state emigration data for Australia extracted from a large administrative population dataset, the Person Level Integrated Data Asset (PLIDA), which links several administrative datasets. We compared State and sub-state emigration flows from PLIDA to available emigration data, as well as sub-state immigration flows from PLIDA to census-derived immigration flows. We found PLIDA-based emigration flows to be considerably lower in volume than official State emigration estimates, likely due to undercoverage in PLIDA of temporary migrants and residents of remote regions. We discovered sizeable geographical, temporal, age, and visa/citizenship variations in emigration coverage relative to available emigration statistics. Our view is that PLIDA does not yet allow sub-state emigration estimates of sufficient quality for most uses. But we are hopeful that improvements to the population coverage of PLIDA will allow this in the future.

Contains Sensitive ContentDoes not contain sensitive content
ANZSRC Field of Research 20204403. Demography
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Byline AffiliationsUniversity of Melbourne
University of Queensland
University of New England
University of Southern Queensland
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