370101. Adverse weather events


Title370101. Adverse weather events
Parent3701. Atmospheric sciences

Latest research outputs

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A drought monitor for Australia
Guillory, Laura, Pudmenzky, Christa, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Cobon, David and Stone, Roger. 2023. "A drought monitor for Australia." Environmental Modelling and Software. 170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105852

Article

A fuzzy-based cascade ensemble model for improving extreme wind speeds prediction
Pelaez-Rodriguez, C., Perez-Aracil, J., Prieto-Godino, L., Ghimire, S., Deo, R. and Salcedo-sanz, S.. 2023. "A fuzzy-based cascade ensemble model for improving extreme wind speeds prediction." Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics. 240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2023.105507

Article

A New Index for Tropical Cyclone Development from Sea Surface Temperature and Evaporation Fields
Bye, John A.T., Cai, Wenju and Cowan, Tim. 2010. "A New Index for Tropical Cyclone Development from Sea Surface Temperature and Evaporation Fields ." Hurricanes and Climate Change. United States. Springer. pp. 101-120

Edited book (chapter)

A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Nagler, Thomas, Khaung, Ye, Aung, Thee Su Su, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben and Stone, Roger. 2022. "A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar." Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment. 26, pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2022.100733

Article

Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe
Domeisen, Daniela I. V., White, Christopher J., Afargan-Gerstman, Hilla, Munoz, Angel G., Janiga, Matthew A., Vitart, Frederic, Wulff, C. Ole, Antoine, Salome, Ardilouze, Constantin, Batte, Lauriane, Bloomfield, Hannah C., Brayshaw, David J., Camargo, Suzana J., Charlton-Perez, Andrew, Collins, Dan, Cowan, Tim, del Mar Chaves, Maria, Ferranti, Laura, Gomez, Rosario, ..., Tian, Di. 2022. "Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103 (6), pp. E1473-E1501. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0221.1

Article

Analysis on heat characteristics for summer maize cropping in a semi-arid region
Wang, Zhiwei, Sun, Weiwei, Liu, Xiaoli, Li, Yangyang, Collins, Brian, Ullah, Najeeb and Song, Youhong. 2022. "Analysis on heat characteristics for summer maize cropping in a semi-arid region." Agronomy. 12 (6). https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy12061435

Article

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with Southern Australian heat waves: A CMIP5 analysis
Purich, Ariaan, Cowan, Tim, Cai, Wenju, van Rensch, Peter, Uotila, Petteri, Pezza, Alexandre, Boschat, Ghyslaine and Perkins, Sarah. 2014. "Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with Southern Australian heat waves: A CMIP5 analysis." Journal of Climate. 27 (20), pp. 7807-7829. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00098.1

Article

Beef Stew(ing) – what might the future look like for northern Australian beef in a warmer world?
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C, Marshall, Andrew, Gaughan, John and Cobon, David. 2025. "Beef Stew(ing) – what might the future look like for northern Australian beef in a warmer world? " 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024 Australia.

Presentation

Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?
Cowan, Tim, Hinds, Emily, Marshall, Andrew, Wheeler, Matthew and de Burgh-Day, Catherine. 2024. "Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?" 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024 Australia.

Presentation

Cattle and Heat: a case for developing a cattle-specific heat stress forecast product
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Griffiths, M., Jackson, J. and Gaughan, J.. 2022. "Cattle and Heat: a case for developing a cattle-specific heat stress forecast product ." 29th Annual Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Adelaide, Australia 28 Nov - 01 Dec 2022

Presentation

Climate forecasts for Decision-Making
Cowan, T.. 2024. "Climate forecasts for Decision-Making." Virtual workshop for Bell. 13 - 13 Sep 2024

Presentation

Comment on "On the recent warming in the Murray-Darling Basin: Land surface interactions misunderstood" by Lockart et al
Cai, Wenju, Cowan, Tim, Braganza, Karl, Jones, David and Risbey, James. 2010. "Comment on "On the recent warming in the Murray-Darling Basin: Land surface interactions misunderstood" by Lockart et al." Geophysical Research Letters. 37 (10). https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL042254

Notes or commentaries

Compound weather conditions that caused the north Queensland floods in February 2019: observations and predictions
Cowan, T. and Wheeler, M.. 2021. "Compound weather conditions that caused the north Queensland floods in February 2019: observations and predictions." 28th Annual Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. online 08 - 12 Feb 2021

Presentation

Copula-based statistical modelling of synoptic-scale climate indices for quantifying and managing agricultural risks in Australia
Nguyen-Huy, Thong. 2020. "Copula-based statistical modelling of synoptic-scale climate indices for quantifying and managing agricultural risks in Australia." Bulletin of the Australian Mathematical Society. 101 (1), pp. 166-169. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0004972719001217

Article

Development and verification of thermal stress forecasts for cattle in Australia's Rangelands
Cowan, T., Hinds, E., Marshall, AG, Wheeler, MC and Cobon, DH. 2025. "Development and verification of thermal stress forecasts for cattle in Australia's Rangelands." McDonald, S., Hacker, R., Pressland, T., Silcock, J., Reseigh, J. and Beutel, T. (ed.) 12th International Rangeland Congress. Adelaide, Australia 02 - 06 Jun 2025 Australia.

Paper

Did climate change-induced rainfall trends contribute to the Australian Millennium drought?
Cai, Wenju, Purich, Ariaan, Cowan, Tim, van Rensch, Peter and Weller, Weller. 2014. "Did climate change-induced rainfall trends contribute to the Australian Millennium drought?" Journal of Climate. 27 (9), pp. 3145-3168. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00322.1

Article

Drought Outlook Products Review
Cobon, David, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Reardon-Smith, Kate. 2019. Drought Outlook Products Review. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.

Project report

Drought outlook validation using ACCESS-S2 hindcast
Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Cobon, David. 2022. Drought outlook validation using ACCESS-S2 hindcast. Northern Australia Climate Program (NACP).

Other

Empowering beef producers to manage climate risk through an innovative approach to research and end user collaboration
Cowan, Tim, Foreman, S. and Jarvis, C.. 2023. "Empowering beef producers to manage climate risk through an innovative approach to research and end user collaboration." Climate Adaptation 2023. Adelaide, Australia 25 - 27 Jul 2023

Presentation

Estimation of maximum seasonal tropical cyclone damage in the Atlantic using climate models
Lavender, Sally L., Walsh, Kevin J. E., Utembe, Steven, Caron, Louis‑Philippe and Guishard, Mark. 2021. "Estimation of maximum seasonal tropical cyclone damage in the Atlantic using climate models." Natural Hazards. 10 (2), pp. 1025-1038. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04977-2

Article

Evaluating the use of a Net-Metering mechanism in microgrids to reduce power generation costs with a swarm-intelligent algorithm
Marcelino, C.G., Leite, G.M.C., Wanner, E.F., Jiménez-Fernández, S. and Salcedo-sanz, S.. 2023. "Evaluating the use of a Net-Metering mechanism in microgrids to reduce power generation costs with a swarm-intelligent algorithm." Energy. 266. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.126317

Article

Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe
Vautard, Robert, Christidis, Nikolaos, Ciavarella, Andrew, Alvarez-Castro, Carmen, Bellprat, Omar, Christiansen, Bo, Colfescu, Ioana, Cowan, Tim, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Eden, Jonathan, Hauser, Mathias, Hegerl, Gabriele, Hempelmann, Nils, Klehmet, Katharina, Lott, Fraser, Nangini, Cathy, Orth, Rene, Radanovics, Sabine, Seneviratne, Sonia I., ..., Yiou, Pascal. 2019. "Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe." Climate Dynamics. 52 (1-2), pp. 1187-1210. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4183-6

Article

Evidence of impacts from rising temperature on inflows to the Murray-Darling Basin
Cai, Wenju and Cowan, Tim. 2008. "Evidence of impacts from rising temperature on inflows to the Murray-Darling Basin." Geophysical Research Letters. 35 (7). https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL033390

Article

Extreme rainfall in northern Australia: the 2019 Queensland floods and the MJO
Cowan, Tim. 2023. "Extreme rainfall in northern Australia: the 2019 Queensland floods and the MJO." QUAD Space Working Group Technical Workshop on Extreme Precipitation Events. 06 - 10 Feb 2023

Presentation

Factors contributing to record-breaking heat waves over the great plains during the 1930s Dust Bowl
Cowan, Tim, Hegerl, Gabriele C., Colfescu, Ioana, Bollasina, Massimo, Purich, Ariaan and Boschat, Ghyslaine. 2017. "Factors contributing to record-breaking heat waves over the great plains during the 1930s Dust Bowl." Journal of Climate. 30 (7), pp. 2437-2461. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0436.1

Article

Flash flood-risk areas zoning using integration of decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory, GIS-based analytic network process and satellite-derived information
Taherizadeh, Mehrnoosh, Niknam, Arman, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Mezősi, Gábor and Sarli, Reza. 2023. "Flash flood-risk areas zoning using integration of decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory, GIS-based analytic network process and satellite-derived information." Natural Hazards. 118 (3), p. 2309–2335. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06089-5

Article

Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia
Cowan, Tim, Gaughan, John and McCosker, Kieren. 2025. "Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia." Forecasting Cattle Comfort In Northern Australia. A NACP Webinar. 20 - 20 Feb 2025

Presentation

Forecasting cattle thermal stress in northern Australia
Cowan, T.. 2025. "Forecasting cattle thermal stress in northern Australia." 24th Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Climate Outlook Forum (ASEANCOF-24). Phnom Penh, Cambodia 24 - 25 Apr 2025

Presentation

Future projections of Australian heat wave number and intensity based on CMIP5 models
Cowan, Tim, Purich, Ariaan, Boschat, Ghyslaine and Perkins, Sarah. 2014. "Future projections of Australian heat wave number and intensity based on CMIP5 models." Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. 27 (6), pp. 134-139.

Article

Heat shocks increasingly impede grain filling but have little effect on grain setting across the Australian Wheatbelt
Collins, Behnam and Chenu, Karine. 2020. "Heat shocks increasingly impede grain filling but have little effect on grain setting across the Australian Wheatbelt." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 284. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107889

Article

Hot And Cold Cattle: Developing Cattle-Specific Thermal Stress Forecast Products
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Cobon, D. and Gaughan, J.. 2023. "Hot And Cold Cattle: Developing Cattle-Specific Thermal Stress Forecast Products." 22nd Biennial Australian Rangeland Society Conference. Broome, Australia 18 - 22 Sep 2023 Australia.

Presentation

Insights from the Northern Australia Climate Program: droughts, floods, and hot cows
Cowan, T.. 2025. "Insights from the Northern Australia Climate Program: droughts, floods, and hot cows." Center for Climate Research Singapore. Singapore 28 - 28 Apr 2025

Presentation

Livestock chill conditions associated with the February 2019 Queensland floods
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew, de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Nguyen, Hanh and Cobon, David. 2021. "Livestock chill conditions associated with the February 2019 Queensland floods." 2021 Bureau of Meteorology Annual Research and Development Workshop. 08 - 11 Nov 2021

Presentation

Madden-Julian Oscillation Impacts on Australian Temperatures and Extremes
Marshall, Andrew G., Wheeler, Mathew C. and Cowan, Tim. 2023. "Madden-Julian Oscillation Impacts on Australian Temperatures and Extremes." Journal of Climate. 36 (2), pp. 335-357. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0413.1

Article

Making sense of flash drought: definitions, indicators, and where we go from here
Lisonbee, Joel, Woloszyn, Molly and Skumanich, Marina. 2021. "Making sense of flash drought: definitions, indicators, and where we go from here." Journal of Applied and Service Climatology. 2021 (1), pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.46275/JOASC.2021.02.001

Article

More frequent, longer, and hotter heat waves for Australia in the Twenty-First Century
Cowan, Tim, Purich, Ariaan, Perkins, Sarah, Pezza, Alexandre, Boschat, Ghyslaine and Sadler, Katherine. 2014. "More frequent, longer, and hotter heat waves for Australia in the Twenty-First Century." Journal of Climate. 27 (15), pp. 5851-5871. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00092.1

Article

Multi-week prediction of northern Australian summer rainfall bursts in ACCESS-S1
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Sur, S., Narsey, S. and de Burgh-Day, C.. 2021. "Multi-week prediction of northern Australian summer rainfall bursts in ACCESS-S1." 28th Annual Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. online 08 - 12 Feb 2021

Presentation

Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Nguyen, Hanh and Cobon, David. 2022. "Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019." Scientific Reports. 12 (1), pp. 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09666-z

Article

Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., White, C. J., Alexander, L. V., Argueso, D., Boschat, G., Cowan, T., Evans, J. P., Ekstrom, M., Oliver, E. C. J., Phatak, A. and Purich, A.. 2016. "Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves." Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 139 (1), pp. 101-114. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1650-0

Article

Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Cobon, David H., Gaughan, John B., Marshall, Andrew G., Sharples, Wendy, McCulloch, Jillian and Jarvis, Chelsea. 2024. "Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 63 (5), pp. 645-663. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0082.1

Article