Simulation of the middle miocene climate optimum

Article

You, Y., Huber, M., Muller, R. D., Poulsen, C. J. and Ribbe, J.. 2009. "Simulation of the middle miocene climate optimum." Geophysical Research Letters. 36 (4), p. L04702. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL036571
Article Title

Simulation of the middle miocene climate optimum

ERA Journal ID1874
Article CategoryArticle
AuthorsYou, Y. (Author), Huber, M. (Author), Muller, R. D. (Author), Poulsen, C. J. (Author) and Ribbe, J. (Author)
Journal TitleGeophysical Research Letters
Journal Citation36 (4), p. L04702
Number of Pages5
Year2009
PublisherJohn Wiley & Sons
Place of PublicationUnited States
ISSN0094-8276
1944-8007
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL036571
Web Address (URL)https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2008GL036571
Abstract

Proxy data constraining land and ocean surface paleo-temperatures indicate that the Middle Miocene Climate Optimum (MMCO), a global warming event at ~15 Ma, had a global annual mean surface temperature of 18.4°C, about 3°C higher than present and equivalent to the warming predicted for the next century. We apply the latest National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Atmosphere Model CAM3.1 and Land Model CLM3.0 coupled to a slab ocean to examine sensitivity of MMCO climate to varying ocean heat fluxes derived from paleo sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, using detailed reconstructions of Middle Miocene boundary conditions including paleogeography, elevation, vegetation and surface temperatures. Our model suggests that to maintain MMCO warmth consistent with proxy data, the required atmospheric CO2 concentration is about 460-580 ppmv, narrowed from the most recent estimate of 300-600 ppmv.

Keywordsclimate change; paleoclimatology; modelling; Miocene; carbon dioxide; sea surface temperature
Contains Sensitive ContentDoes not contain sensitive content
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020370201. Climate change processes
370202. Climatology
460207. Modelling and simulation
Public Notes

File reproduced in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher/author.

Byline AffiliationsUniversity of Sydney
Purdue University, United States
University of Michigan, United States
Department of Biological and Physical Sciences
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Donald, Alexis, Ribbe, Joachim, Stone, Roger, Wheeler, Matthew, Meinke, Holger, Harris, Graham and Power, Brendan. 2003. "The Madden Julian Oscillation and its relationship with rainfall in Queensland." Stone, Roger C. and Partridge, Ian (ed.) National Drought Forum 2003: Science for Drought. Brisbane, Australia 15 - 16 Apr 2003 Brisbane, Australia.
Using the real-time mulitvariate Madden Julian oscillation indices to predict rainfall in Queensland
Donald, Alexis, Ribbe, Joachim, Stone, Roger C., Wheeler, Matthew, Meinke, Holger, Harris, Graham and Power, Brendan. 2003. "Using the real-time mulitvariate Madden Julian oscillation indices to predict rainfall in Queensland." 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography 2003: Southern Ocean Weather and Climate Variability: Regional and Global Effects. Wellington, New Zealand 24 - 28 Mar 2003 Boston, MA. United States.
Linking Southern Ocean water masses and Australian rainfall variability
Ribbe, Joachim. 2004. "Linking Southern Ocean water masses and Australian rainfall variability." Australian Marine Sciences Association Hobart Conference (2004). Hobart, Australia 06 - 09 Jul 2004 Australia.
Hervey Bay: a salt fountain in subtropical East Australia
Ribbe, Joachim. 2006. "Hervey Bay: a salt fountain in subtropical East Australia." 2006 International Geographical Union Regional Conference: Spaced in or spaced out. Brisbane, Australia 03 - 07 Jul 2006
Modelling ventilation time scales for Hervey Bay
Ribbe, Joachim. 2006. "Modelling ventilation time scales for Hervey Bay." Australian Marine Sciences Assocation (AMS) 44th Annual Conference. Cairns, Australia 09 - 14 Jul 2006 Australia.
Forecasting with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the applications for risk management
Donald, Alexis, Meinke, Holger, Power, Brendan, Wheeler, Matthew and Ribbe, Joachim. 2004. "Forecasting with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the applications for risk management." 4th International Crop Science Congress (ICSC 2004): New Directions for a Diverse Planet. Brisbane, Australia 26 Sep - 01 Oct 2004 Brisbane, Australia.
Climate change: what is happening in the ocean?
Ribbe, Joachim. 2001. "Climate change: what is happening in the ocean?" Ciencia Al Dia Internacional. 4 (2), pp. 1-18.
An impact assessment for the French nuclear weapon test sites in French Polynesia
Ribbe, Joachim and Tomczak, Matthias. 1990. "An impact assessment for the French nuclear weapon test sites in French Polynesia." Marine Pollution Bulletin. 21, pp. 536-542.
A one-dimensional dispersion model for radionuclides in the marine environment applied to the Chernobyl fallout over the northern Baltic Sea
Ribbe, Joachim, Muller-Navarra, Sylvin H. and Nies, Hartmut. 1991. "A one-dimensional dispersion model for radionuclides in the marine environment applied to the Chernobyl fallout over the northern Baltic Sea." Journal of Environmental Radioactivity. 14 (1), pp. 55-72. https://doi.org/10.1016/0265-931X(91)90015-8
What drives mid-latitudinal convection and the formation of Subantarctic Mode Water
Ribbe, Joachim. 1997. "What drives mid-latitudinal convection and the formation of Subantarctic Mode Water." International WOCE Newsletter. 29, pp. 20-26.
Intermediate water mass production controlled by southern hemisphere winds
Ribbe, Joachim. 2001. "Intermediate water mass production controlled by southern hemisphere winds." Geophysical Research Letters. 28 (3), pp. 535-538. https://doi.org/10.1029/2000GL012242
On wind-driven mid-latitude convection in ocean general circulation models
Ribbe, Joachim. 1999. "On wind-driven mid-latitude convection in ocean general circulation models." Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography. 51, pp. 505-516.
An introduction to Internet based climate science teaching
Ribbe, Joachim. 2002. "An introduction to Internet based climate science teaching." Australian Science Teachers' Journal. 48 (3), pp. 28-35.
Climate modelling for the classroom: applying physics and mathematics in a new context
Ribbe, Joachim. 2005. "Climate modelling for the classroom: applying physics and mathematics in a new context." Teaching Science: The Journal of the Australian Science Teachers Association. 51 (3), pp. 24-37.