Preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on design rainfall IFD curves

Paper


Bates, Bryson C., Argueso, Daniel, Evans, Jason, Green, Janice, Griesser, Aurel, Jakob, Dorte, Seed, Alan, Lau, Rex, Lehmann, Eric, Phatak, Aloke, Abbs, Deborah, Lavender, Sally, Nguyen, Kim, Rafter, Tony, Thatcher, Marcus, Zheng, Feifei, Westra, Seth and Leonard, Michael. 2015. "Preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on design rainfall IFD curves." 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The Art and Science of Water (HWRS 2015). Hobart, Australia 07 - 10 Dec 2015 Barton, Australia.
Paper/Presentation Title

Preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on design rainfall IFD curves

Presentation TypePaper
AuthorsBates, Bryson C. (Author), Argueso, Daniel (Author), Evans, Jason (Author), Green, Janice (Author), Griesser, Aurel (Author), Jakob, Dorte (Author), Seed, Alan (Author), Lau, Rex (Author), Lehmann, Eric (Author), Phatak, Aloke (Author), Abbs, Deborah (Author), Lavender, Sally (Author), Nguyen, Kim (Author), Rafter, Tony (Author), Thatcher, Marcus (Author), Zheng, Feifei (Author), Westra, Seth (Author) and Leonard, Michael (Author)
Journal or Proceedings TitleProceedings of the 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The Art and Science of Water (HWRS 2015), vol. 1
ERA Conference ID42881
Journal Citation1, pp. 9-16
Number of Pages8
Year2015
Place of PublicationBarton, Australia
ISBN9781922107497
Web Address (URL) of Paperhttps://search.informit.com.au/documentSummary;dn=814600367416057;res=IELENG
Conference/Event36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The Art and Science of Water (HWRS 2015)
Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium
Event Details
Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium
Rank
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
Event Details
36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The Art and Science of Water (HWRS 2015)
Event Date
07 to end of 10 Dec 2015
Event Location
Hobart, Australia
Abstract

The new edition of Australian Rainfall and Runoff (hereafter designated ARR 2015) contains completely revised design rainfall Intensity-Frequency-Duration (IFD) curves prepared by the Bureau of Meteorology. These curves are estimated from current climate observations. The Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change states that 'extreme precipitation events over most of the mid-latitude land masses and over wet tropical regions will very likely become more intense and more frequent by the end of this century, as global mean surface temperature increases.' This suggests that the current-climate IFD curves may become unsuitable for infrastructure design in future decades. While ARR 2015 includes an interim guideline on incorporating climate change into design flood estimation, the guidance is based on a 'broad brush' approach due to the paucity of published regionally specific results. As a first step towards bridging this gap, a pilot project titled 'Rainfall Intensity-Frequency-Duration (IFD) Relationships under Climate Change' was commissioned in June 2013 and administered by Engineers Australia. Its principal aim was to provide insight into how the new design rainfall IFD curves might be affected by anthropogenic climate change. This paper describes the background for and components of the investigation, the challenges involved, the major research findings and recommendations for further action. © 2015, Engineers Australia. All rights reserved.

Keywordsair navigation; atmospheric temperature; design; hydrology; precipitation (meteorology); rain; water resources
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020410402. Environmental assessment and monitoring
370108. Meteorology
410404. Environmental management
Public Notes

Copyright© (2015) by Engineers Australia. All rights reserved.

Byline AffiliationsCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Australia
University of New South Wales
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Australia
University of Adelaide
Institution of OriginUniversity of Southern Queensland
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