Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: climatology, variability, predictability, and trends
Article
Article Title | Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: climatology, variability, predictability, and trends |
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ERA Journal ID | 122843 |
Article Category | Article |
Authors | Chand, Savin S. (Author), Dowdy, Andrew J. (Author), Ramsay, Hamish A. (Author), Walsh, Kevin J. E. (Author), Tory, Kevin J. (Author), Power, Scott B. (Author), Bell, Samuel S. (Author), Lavender, Sally L. (Author), Ye, Hua (Author) and Kuleshov, Yuri (Author) |
Journal Title | WIREs Climate Change |
Journal Citation | 10 (5), pp. 1-17 |
Article Number | e602 |
Number of Pages | 17 |
Year | 2019 |
Publisher | John Wiley & Sons |
Place of Publication | United Kingdom |
ISSN | 1757-7780 |
1757-7799 | |
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.602 |
Abstract | Tropical cyclones (TCs) can have severe impacts on Australia. These include extreme rainfall and winds, and coastal hazards such as destructive waves, storm surges, estuarine flooding, and coastal erosion. Various aspects of TCs in the Australian region have been documented over the past several decades. In recent years, increasing emphasis has been placed on human-induced climate change effects on TCs in the Australian region and elsewhere around the globe. However, large natural variability and the lack of consistent long-term TC observations have often complicated the detection and attribution of TC trends. Efforts have been made to improve TC records for Australia over the past decades, but it is still unclear whether such records are sufficient to provide better understanding of the impacts of natural climate variability and climate change. It is important to note that the damage costs associated with tropical cyclones in Australia have increased in recent decades and will continue to increase due to growing coastal settlement and infrastructure development. Therefore, it is critical that any coastal infrastructure planning and engineering decisions, as well as disaster management decisions, strongly consider future risks from tropical cyclones. A better understanding of tropical cyclones in a changing climate will provide key insights that can help mitigate impacts of tropical cyclones on vulnerable communities. An objective assessment of the Australian TCs at regional scale and its link with climate variability and change using improved and up-to-date data records is more imperative now than before. |
Keywords | Australian region; climate change; natural variability; trends; tropical cyclones |
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020 | 370105. Atmospheric dynamics |
370202. Climatology | |
Public Notes | Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions. |
Byline Affiliations | Federation University |
Australian Bureau of Meteorology | |
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Australia | |
University of Melbourne | |
Centre for Applied Climate Sciences | |
Institution of Origin | University of Southern Queensland |
https://research.usq.edu.au/item/q57z1/review-of-tropical-cyclones-in-the-australian-region-climatology-variability-predictability-and-trends
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