370105. Atmospheric dynamics


Title370105. Atmospheric dynamics
Parent3701. Atmospheric sciences

Latest research outputs

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Sweaty wait for northern monsoon as nervous fishers, farmers eye the skies
Marshall, A.. 2025. "Sweaty wait for northern monsoon as nervous fishers, farmers eye the skies." ABC News.

Newspaper

Enhancing climate resilience through the NACP extension service
Marshall, A., Hinds, E. and Cobon, D.. 2025. "Enhancing climate resilience through the NACP extension service." 12th International Rangeland Congress. Adelaide, Australia 02 - 06 Jun 2025

Paper

Australian Monsoon: Development and Implementation of Operational Services
Cowan, T.. 2025. "Australian Monsoon: Development and Implementation of Operational Services." WCRP/WWRP Webinar Series on Global Monsoons. 30 - 30 Nov 2023

Presentation

Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia
Cowan, Tim, Gaughan, John and McCosker, Kieren. 2025. "Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia." Forecasting Cattle Comfort In Northern Australia. A NACP Webinar. 20 - 20 Feb 2025

Presentation

The IOD and its influence on Southeast Asia
Cowan, T.. 2025. "The IOD and its influence on Southeast Asia." Pre Climate Outlook Forum training. Cambodia 22 - 23 Apr 2025

Presentation

Observed Associations between Fire Danger and Climate Modes and Their Representation in ACCESS-S2
Taylor, Rachel, Marshall, Andrew G., Crimp, Steven, Cary, Geoffrey J., Paul, Paul and Harris, Sarah. 2024. "Observed Associations between Fire Danger and Climate Modes and Their Representation in ACCESS-S2 ." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 63 (11), pp. 1363-1383. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0181.1

Article

BoM clears the fog on climate reporting at AgForce update
Marshall, Andrew. 2024. "BoM clears the fog on climate reporting at AgForce update." Queensland Country Life.

Newspaper

Weather and Climate Forecasting: from Data Collection to Decision Making
Marshall, A., Maclean, A. and Hinds, E.. 2024. "Weather and Climate Forecasting: from Data Collection to Decision Making." 2024 Northern Territory Cattlemen's Association (NTCA) Conference. Alice Springs. Australia 20 - 23 Mar 2024

Keynote

Enhancing climate resilience with the Northern Australia Climate Program
Marshall, A.. 2024. "Enhancing climate resilience with the Northern Australia Climate Program." Beef 2024. Rockhampton, Australia 05 - 11 May 2024

Keynote

Skilful multi-week predictions of tropical cyclone frequency in the Northern Hemisphere using ACCESS-S2
Camp, J., Paul, G., Marshall, A. G. and Wheeler, M. C.. 2024. "Skilful multi-week predictions of tropical cyclone frequency in the Northern Hemisphere using ACCESS-S2." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 150 (762), pp. 2848-2868. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4738

Article

Interannual ENSO diversity, transitions, and projected changes in observations and climate models
Freund, Mandy B, Brown, Josephine R, Marshall, Andrew G, Tozer, Carly R, Henley, Benjamin J, Risbey, James S, Ramesh, Nandini, Lieber, Ruby and Sharmila, S. 2024. "Interannual ENSO diversity, transitions, and projected changes in observations and climate models ." Environmental Research Letters. 19 (11). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad78db

Article

Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?
Cowan, Tim, Hinds, Emily, Marshall, Andrew, Wheeler, Matthew and de Burgh-Day, Catherine. 2024. "Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?" 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024 Australia.

Presentation

ACCESS-S2 seasonal forecasts of rainfall and the SAM–rainfall relationship during the grain growing season in south-west Western Australia
Firth, Rebecca, Kala, Jatin, Hudson, Debra, Hawke, Kerryn and Marshall, Andrew. 2024. "ACCESS-S2 seasonal forecasts of rainfall and the SAM–rainfall relationship during the grain growing season in south-west Western Australia." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 74 (3). https://doi.org/10.1071/ES24004

Article

Associations between Australian climate drivers and extreme weekly fire danger
Taylor, Rachel, Marshall, Andrew G. Marsha, Crimp, Steven, Cary, Geoffrey J., Harris, Sarah and Sauvage, Samuel. 2024. "Associations between Australian climate drivers and extreme weekly fire danger." International Journal of Wildland Fire. 33 (1). https://doi.org/10.1071/WF23060

Article

A Statistical Forecasting Model for Extremes of the Fire Behaviour Index in Australia
Taylor, Rachel, Marshall, Andrew G., Crimp, Steven, Cary, Geoffrey J. and Harris, Sarah. 2024. "A Statistical Forecasting Model for Extremes of the Fire Behaviour Index in Australia." Atmosphere. 15 (4). https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15040470

Article

Sub-seasonal to seasonal drivers of regional marine heatwaves around Australia
Gregory, Catherine H., Holbrook, Neil J., Marshall, Andrew G. and Spillman, Claire M.. 2024. "Sub-seasonal to seasonal drivers of regional marine heatwaves around Australia." Climate Dynamics. 62 (7), pp. 6599-6623. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07226-x

Article

Combined Role of the MJO and ENSO in Shaping Extreme Warming Patterns and Coral Bleaching Risk in the Great Barrier Reef
Gregory, Catherine H., Holbrook, Neil J., Spillman, Claire M. and Marshall, Andrew G.. 2024. "Combined Role of the MJO and ENSO in Shaping Extreme Warming Patterns and Coral Bleaching Risk in the Great Barrier Reef." Geophysical Research Letters. 51 (13). https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108810

Article

Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry
Luo, Qunying, Wen, Li, Cowan, Tim and Schilling, Dale. 2024. "Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110005

Article

Climate Driver Influences on Prediction of the Australian Fire Behaviour Index
Taylor, Rachel, Marshall, Andrew G., Crimp, Steven, Cary, Geoffrey J. and Harris, Sarah. 2024. "Climate Driver Influences on Prediction of the Australian Fire Behaviour Index." Atmosphere. 15 (2). https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15020203

Article

Quasi-Biennial Oscillation influence on Australian summer rainfall
Jiang, Xiaoxuan, Holbrook, Neil J., Marshall, Andrew G. and Love, Peter T.. 2024. "Quasi-Biennial Oscillation influence on Australian summer rainfall." Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 7 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00552-7

Article

Atmospheric water vapour transport in ACCESS-S2 and the potential for enhancing skill of subseasonal forecasts of precipitation
Reid, Kimberley J., Hudson, Debra, King, Andrew D., Lane, Todd P. and Marshall, Andrew G.. 2024. "Atmospheric water vapour transport in ACCESS-S2 and the potential for enhancing skill of subseasonal forecasts of precipitation." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 150 (758), pp. 68-80. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4585

Article

BoM in the Bush – Linking Climate Science and Decision Making
Marshall, A., Jarvis, C., Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Hendon, H., Yeo, C. and Cobon, D.. 2023. "BoM in the Bush – Linking Climate Science and Decision Making." 22nd Biennial Australian Rangeland Society Conference. Broome, Australia 18 - 22 Sep 2023

Keynote

Madden-Julian Oscillation teleconnections to Australian springtime temperature extremes and their prediction in ACCESS-S1
Marshall, Andrew G., Wang, Guomin, Hendon, Harry H. and Lin, Hai. 2023. "Madden-Julian Oscillation teleconnections to Australian springtime temperature extremes and their prediction in ACCESS-S1." Climate Dynamics. 61, pp. 431-447. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06586-6

Article

Atmospheric Drivers of Tasman Sea Marine Heatwaves
Gregory, Catherine H., Holbrook, Neil J., Marshall, Andrew G. and Spillman, Claire M.. 2023. "Atmospheric Drivers of Tasman Sea Marine Heatwaves." Journal of Climate. 36, pp. 5197-5214. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0538.1

Article

Multi‐week tropical cyclone prediction for the Southern Hemisphere in ACCESS‐S2: maintaining operational skill and continuity of service
Camp, J., Paul, G., Marshall, A. G., Greenslade, J. and Wheeler, M. C.. 2023. "Multi‐week tropical cyclone prediction for the Southern Hemisphere in ACCESS‐S2: maintaining operational skill and continuity of service." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 149, pp. 3401-3422. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4563

Article

El Niño, the Madden Julian Oscillation and their influence on southern QLD climate
Cowan, Tim. 2023. "El Niño, the Madden Julian Oscillation and their influence on southern QLD climate." Forecasting for Decision Making Webinar with NACP and SQ Landscapes. 17 - 17 Feb 2023

Presentation

Hot And Cold Cattle: Developing Cattle-Specific Thermal Stress Forecast Products
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Cobon, D. and Gaughan, J.. 2023. "Hot And Cold Cattle: Developing Cattle-Specific Thermal Stress Forecast Products." 22nd Biennial Australian Rangeland Society Conference. Broome, Australia 18 - 22 Sep 2023 Australia.

Presentation

The Bureau of Meteorology's Newest Multi-Week To Seasonal Forecast Products Targeted To Agriculture
Cowan, T., Hudson, D., Wheeler, M.C. and Cobon, D.. 2023. "The Bureau of Meteorology's Newest Multi-Week To Seasonal Forecast Products Targeted To Agriculture." 22nd Biennial Australian Rangeland Society Conference. Broome, Australia 18 - 22 Sep 2023 Australia.

Presentation

The impacts of El Niño on temperatures in the Mackay region (and across QLD)
Cowan, T. and Heidemann, H.. 2023. "The impacts of El Niño on temperatures in the Mackay region (and across QLD)." Reef Catchment Authority webinar. online 16 - 16 Nov 2023

Presentation

The Combined Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian Rainfall
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Mathew C. and Marshall, Andrew G.. 2023. "The Combined Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian Rainfall." Journal of Climate. 36 (2), pp. 313-334. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0357.1

Article

An Evaluation of the Performance of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Version 3
Slivinski, L. C., Compo, G. P., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Whitaker, J. S., McColl, C., Allan, R., Brohan, P., Yin, X., Smith, C. A., Spencer, L. J., Vose, R. S., Rohrer, M., Conroy, R. P., Schuster, D. C., Kennedy, J. J., Ashcroft, L., Bronnimann, S., Brunet, M., Camuffo, D., ..., Wyszynski, P.. 2021. "An Evaluation of the Performance of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Version 3." Journal of Climate. 34 (4), pp. 1417-1438. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0505.1

Article

Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe
Domeisen, Daniela I. V., White, Christopher J., Afargan-Gerstman, Hilla, Munoz, Angel G., Janiga, Matthew A., Vitart, Frederic, Wulff, C. Ole, Antoine, Salome, Ardilouze, Constantin, Batte, Lauriane, Bloomfield, Hannah C., Brayshaw, David J., Camargo, Suzana J., Charlton-Perez, Andrew, Collins, Dan, Cowan, Tim, del Mar Chaves, Maria, Ferranti, Laura, Gomez, Rosario, ..., Tian, Di. 2022. "Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103 (6), pp. E1473-E1501. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0221.1

Article

Wet season rainfall onset and flash drought: The case of the northern Australian wet season
Lisonbee, Joel, Ribbe, Joachim, Otkin, Jason A. and Pudmenzky, Christa. 2022. "Wet season rainfall onset and flash drought: The case of the northern Australian wet season." International Journal of Climatology. 42 (12), pp. 6499-6514. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7609

Article

Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Nguyen, Hanh and Cobon, David. 2022. "Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019." Scientific Reports. 12 (1), pp. 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09666-z

Article

Improving the seasonal prediction of Northern Australian rainfall onset to help with grazing management decisions
Cowan, Tim, Stone, Roger, Wheeler, Matthew C. and Griffiths, Morwenna. 2020. "Improving the seasonal prediction of Northern Australian rainfall onset to help with grazing management decisions." Climate Services. 19, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100182

Article

Skill of ACCESS-S2 in predicting rainfall bursts over Australia
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Hudson, Debra, de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Griffiths, Morwenna and Young, Griffith. 2022. Skill of ACCESS-S2 in predicting rainfall bursts over Australia. Australia. Bureau of Meteorology.

Technical report

Modelling secondary organic aerosol formation: from chemical mechanistic modelling to empirical modelling
Singh-Peterson, Lila. 2007. Modelling secondary organic aerosol formation: from chemical mechanistic modelling to empirical modelling. PhD Thesis Doctor of Philosophy. University of New South Wales.

PhD Thesis

Subseasonal drivers of extreme fire weather in Australia and its prediction in ACCESS-S1 during spring and summer
Marshall, Andrew G., Gregory, Paul A., de Burgh-Day, Catherine O. and Griffiths, Morwenna. 2022. "Subseasonal drivers of extreme fire weather in Australia and its prediction in ACCESS-S1 during spring and summer." Climate Dynamics. 58 (1), pp. 523-553. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05920-8

Article

ACCESS-S2: The upgraded Bureau of Meteorology multi-week to seasonal prediction system
Wedd, Robin, Alves, Oscar, de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Down, Christopher, Griffiths, Morwenna, Hendon, Harry H., Hudson, Debra, Li, Shuhua, Lim, Eun-Pa, Marshall, Andrew G., Shi, Li, Smith, Paul, Smith, Grant, Spillman, Claire M., Wang, Guomin, Wheeler, Matthew C., Yan, Hailin, Yin, Yonghong, Young, Griffith, ..., Zhou, Xiaobing. 2022. "ACCESS-S2: The upgraded Bureau of Meteorology multi-week to seasonal prediction system." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 72, pp. 218-242. https://doi.org/10.1071/ES22026

Article

The Combined Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian Rainfall
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C. and Marshall, Andrew. 2022. "The Combined Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian Rainfall." 19th Annual Meeting of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS 2022) Conference. Singapore 01 - 05 Aug 2022

Presentation