370105. Atmospheric dynamics
| Title | 370105. Atmospheric dynamics |
|---|---|
| Parent | 3701. Atmospheric sciences |
Latest research outputs
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Australian Monsoon: Development and Implementation of Operational Services
Cowan, T.. 2025. "Australian Monsoon: Development and Implementation of Operational Services." WCRP/WWRP Webinar Series on Global Monsoons. 30 - 30 Nov 2023Presentation
Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia
Cowan, Tim, Gaughan, John and McCosker, Kieren. 2025. "Forecasting Cattle Comfort in Northern Australia." Forecasting Cattle Comfort In Northern Australia. A NACP Webinar. 20 - 20 Feb 2025Presentation
The IOD and its influence on Southeast Asia
Cowan, T.. 2025. "The IOD and its influence on Southeast Asia." Pre Climate Outlook Forum training. Cambodia 22 - 23 Apr 2025Presentation
Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?
Cowan, Tim, Hinds, Emily, Marshall, Andrew, Wheeler, Matthew and de Burgh-Day, Catherine. 2024. "Can we forecast the retreat of northern Australia's rainy season?" 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024 Australia.Presentation
Observed Associations between Fire Danger and Climate Modes and Their Representation in ACCESS-S2Steven
Taylor, Rachel, Marshall, Andrew G., Crimp, Steven, Cary, Geoffrey J., Paul, Paul and Harris, Sarah. 2024. "Observed Associations between Fire Danger and Climate Modes and Their Representation in ACCESS-S2Steven ." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 63 (11), pp. 1363-1383. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0181.1Article
ACCESS-S2 seasonal forecasts of rainfall and the SAM–rainfall relationship during the grain growing season in south-west Western Australia
Firth, Rebecca, Kala, Jatin, Hudson, Debra, Hawke, Kerryn and Marshall, Andrew. 2024. "ACCESS-S2 seasonal forecasts of rainfall and the SAM–rainfall relationship during the grain growing season in south-west Western Australia." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 74 (3). https://doi.org/10.1071/ES24004Article
Associations between Australian climate drivers and extreme weekly fire danger
Taylor, Rachel, Marshall, Andrew G. Marsha, Crimp, Steven, Cary, Geoffrey J., Harris, Sarah and Sauvage, Samuel. 2024. "Associations between Australian climate drivers and extreme weekly fire danger." International Journal of Wildland Fire. 33 (1). https://doi.org/10.1071/WF23060Article
A Statistical Forecasting Model for Extremes of the Fire Behaviour Index in Australia
Taylor, Rachel, Marshall, Andrew G., Crimp, Steven, Cary, Geoffrey J. and Harris, Sarah. 2024. "A Statistical Forecasting Model for Extremes of the Fire Behaviour Index in Australia." Atmosphere. 15 (4). https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15040470Article
Sub-seasonal to seasonal drivers of regional marine heatwaves around Australia
Gregory, Catherine H., Holbrook, Neil J., Marshall, Andrew G. and Spillman, Claire M.. 2024. "Sub-seasonal to seasonal drivers of regional marine heatwaves around Australia." Climate Dynamics. 62 (7), pp. 6599-6623. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07226-xArticle
Combined Role of the MJO and ENSO in Shaping Extreme Warming Patterns and Coral Bleaching Risk in the Great Barrier Reef
Gregory, Catherine H., Holbrook, Neil J., Spillman, Claire M. and Marshall, Andrew G.. 2024. "Combined Role of the MJO and ENSO in Shaping Extreme Warming Patterns and Coral Bleaching Risk in the Great Barrier Reef." Geophysical Research Letters. 51 (13). https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108810Article
Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry
Luo, Qunying, Wen, Li, Cowan, Tim and Schilling, Dale. 2024. "Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110005Article
Climate Driver Influences on Prediction of the Australian Fire Behaviour Index
Taylor, Rachel, Marshall, Andrew G., Crimp, Steven, Cary, Geoffrey J. and Harris, Sarah. 2024. "Climate Driver Influences on Prediction of the Australian Fire Behaviour Index." Atmosphere. 15 (2). https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15020203Article
Quasi-Biennial Oscillation influence on Australian summer rainfall
Jiang, Xiaoxuan, Holbrook, Neil J., Marshall, Andrew G. and Love, Peter T.. 2024. "Quasi-Biennial Oscillation influence on Australian summer rainfall." Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 7 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00552-7Article
Atmospheric water vapour transport in ACCESS-S2 and the potential for enhancing skill of subseasonal forecasts of precipitation
Reid, Kimberley J., Hudson, Debra, King, Andrew D., Lane, Todd P. and Marshall, Andrew G.. 2024. "Atmospheric water vapour transport in ACCESS-S2 and the potential for enhancing skill of subseasonal forecasts of precipitation." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 150 (758), pp. 68-80. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4585Article
El Niño, the Madden Julian Oscillation and their influence on southern QLD climate
Cowan, Tim. 2023. "El Niño, the Madden Julian Oscillation and their influence on southern QLD climate." Forecasting for Decision Making Webinar with NACP and SQ Landscapes. 17 - 17 Feb 2023Presentation
Hot And Cold Cattle: Developing Cattle-Specific Thermal Stress Forecast Products
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Cobon, D. and Gaughan, J.. 2023. "Hot And Cold Cattle: Developing Cattle-Specific Thermal Stress Forecast Products." 22nd Biennial Australian Rangeland Society Conference. Broome, Australia 18 - 22 Sep 2023 Australia.Presentation
The Bureau of Meteorology's Newest Multi-Week To Seasonal Forecast Products Targeted To Agriculture
Cowan, T., Hudson, D., Wheeler, M.C. and Cobon, D.. 2023. "The Bureau of Meteorology's Newest Multi-Week To Seasonal Forecast Products Targeted To Agriculture." 22nd Biennial Australian Rangeland Society Conference. Broome, Australia 18 - 22 Sep 2023 Australia.Presentation
The impacts of El Niño on temperatures in the Mackay region (and across QLD)
Cowan, T. and Heidemann, H.. 2023. "The impacts of El Niño on temperatures in the Mackay region (and across QLD)." Reef Catchment Authority webinar. online 16 - 16 Nov 2023Presentation
The Combined Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian Rainfall
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Mathew C. and Marshall, Andrew G.. 2023. "The Combined Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian Rainfall." Journal of Climate. 36 (2), pp. 313-334. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0357.1Article
An Evaluation of the Performance of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Version 3
Slivinski, L. C., Compo, G. P., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Whitaker, J. S., McColl, C., Allan, R., Brohan, P., Yin, X., Smith, C. A., Spencer, L. J., Vose, R. S., Rohrer, M., Conroy, R. P., Schuster, D. C., Kennedy, J. J., Ashcroft, L., Bronnimann, S., Brunet, M., Camuffo, D., ..., Wyszynski, P.. 2021. "An Evaluation of the Performance of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Version 3." Journal of Climate. 34 (4), pp. 1417-1438. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0505.1Article
Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe
Domeisen, Daniela I. V., White, Christopher J., Afargan-Gerstman, Hilla, Munoz, Angel G., Janiga, Matthew A., Vitart, Frederic, Wulff, C. Ole, Antoine, Salome, Ardilouze, Constantin, Batte, Lauriane, Bloomfield, Hannah C., Brayshaw, David J., Camargo, Suzana J., Charlton-Perez, Andrew, Collins, Dan, Cowan, Tim, del Mar Chaves, Maria, Ferranti, Laura, Gomez, Rosario, ..., Tian, Di. 2022. "Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103 (6), pp. E1473-E1501. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0221.1Article
Wet season rainfall onset and flash drought: The case of the northern Australian wet season
Lisonbee, Joel, Ribbe, Joachim, Otkin, Jason A. and Pudmenzky, Christa. 2022. "Wet season rainfall onset and flash drought: The case of the northern Australian wet season." International Journal of Climatology. 42 (12), pp. 6499-6514. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7609Article
Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Nguyen, Hanh and Cobon, David. 2022. "Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019." Scientific Reports. 12 (1), pp. 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09666-zArticle
Improving the seasonal prediction of Northern Australian rainfall onset to help with grazing management decisions
Cowan, Tim, Stone, Roger, Wheeler, Matthew C. and Griffiths, Morwenna. 2020. "Improving the seasonal prediction of Northern Australian rainfall onset to help with grazing management decisions." Climate Services. 19, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100182Article
Skill of ACCESS-S2 in predicting rainfall bursts over Australia
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Hudson, Debra, de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Griffiths, Morwenna and Young, Griffith. 2022. Skill of ACCESS-S2 in predicting rainfall bursts over Australia. Australia. Bureau of Meteorology.Technical report
Modelling secondary organic aerosol formation: from chemical mechanistic modelling to empirical modelling
Singh-Peterson, Lila. 2007. Modelling secondary organic aerosol formation: from chemical mechanistic modelling to empirical modelling. PhD Thesis Doctor of Philosophy. University of New South Wales.PhD Thesis
The Combined Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian Rainfall
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C. and Marshall, Andrew. 2022. "The Combined Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian Rainfall." 19th Annual Meeting of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS 2022) Conference. Singapore 01 - 05 Aug 2022Presentation
The combined influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian rainfall and temperature
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M. and Marshall, A.. 2022. "The combined influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Australian rainfall and temperature." 29th Annual Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Adelaide, Australia 28 Nov - 01 Dec 2022Keynote
Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Sharmila, S., Narsey, Sugata and de Burgh-Day, Catherine. 2021. "Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System." Weather and Forecasting. 37 (1), pp. 23-44. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0046.1Article
Seasonal climate influences on the timing of the Australian monsoon onset
Lisonbee, Joel and Ribbe, Joachim. 2021. "Seasonal climate influences on the timing of the Australian monsoon onset." Weather and Climate Dynamics. 2 (2), pp. 489-506. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-489-2021Article
The benefits of ensemble prediction for forecasting an extreme event: the Queensland floods of February 2019
Hawcroft, Matt, Lavender, Sally, Copsey, Dan, Milton, Sean, Rodriguez, Jose, Tennant, Warren, Webster, Stuart and Cowan, Tim. 2021. "The benefits of ensemble prediction for forecasting an extreme event: the Queensland floods of February 2019." Monthly Weather Review. 149, pp. 2391-2408. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0330.1Case Study
Climatology of Borneo vortices in the HadGEM3-GC3.1 General Circulation Model
Liang, Ju, Catto, Jennifer L., Hawcroft, Matthew, Hodges, Kevin I., Tan, Mou Leong and Haywood, James M.. 2021. "Climatology of Borneo vortices in the HadGEM3-GC3.1 General Circulation Model." Journal of Climate. 34 (9), pp. 3401-3419. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0604.1Article
Walker circulation response to extratropical radiative forcing
Kang, Sarah M., Xie, Shang-Ping, Shin, Yechul, Kim, Hanjun, Hwang, Yen-Ting, Stuecker, Malte F., Xiang, Baoqiang and Hawcroft, Matt. 2020. "Walker circulation response to extratropical radiative forcing." Science Advances. 6 (47). https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd3021Article
Multi-week prediction of northern Australian summer rainfall bursts in ACCESS-S1
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., Sur, S., Narsey, S. and de Burgh-Day, C.. 2021. "Multi-week prediction of northern Australian summer rainfall bursts in ACCESS-S1." 28th Annual Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. online 08 - 12 Feb 2021Presentation
The meteorology and forecast potential of the February 2019 northern Queensland floods
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M., de Burgh-Day, C. and Nguyen, H.. 2021. "The meteorology and forecast potential of the February 2019 northern Queensland floods." NRM in the Rangelands Conference 2021. Longreach, Australia 05 - 08 Oct 2021Presentation
Developing a better understanding of the Australian monsoon and wet season onset climatology
Lisonbee, Joel Raphael. 2021. Developing a better understanding of the Australian monsoon and wet season onset climatology. PhD by Publication Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland. https://doi.org/10.26192/q73yvPhD by Publication
Present-day greenhouse gases could cause more frequent and longer Dust Bowl heatwaves
Cowan, Tim, Indorf, Sabine, Hegerl, Gabriele C., Harrington, Luke J. and Otto, Friederike E. L.. 2020. "Present-day greenhouse gases could cause more frequent and longer Dust Bowl heatwaves." Nature Climate Change. 10 (6), pp. 505-510. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0771-7Article
Ocean and land forcing of the record-breaking Dust Bowl heatwaves across central United States
Cowan, Tim, Hegerl, Gabriele C., Schurer, Andrew, Tett, Simon F. B., Vautard, Robert, Yiou, Pascal, Jezequel, Aglae, Otto, Friederike E. L., Harrington, Luke J. and Ng, Benjamin. 2020. "Ocean and land forcing of the record-breaking Dust Bowl heatwaves across central United States." Nature Communications. 11 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16676-wArticle
Insights from CMIP6 for Australia's future climate
Grose, M. R., Narsey, S., Delage, F. P., Dowdy, A. J., Bador, M., Boschat, G., Chung, C., Kajtar, J. B., Rauniyar, S., Freund, M. B., Lyu, K., Rashid, H., Zhang, X., Wales, S., Trenham, C., Holbrook, N. J., Cowan, T., Alexander, L., Arblaster, J. M. and Power, S.. 2020. "Insights from CMIP6 for Australia's future climate." Earth's Future. 8 (5). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001469Article
Real world and tropical cyclone world. Part II: sensitivity of tropical cyclone formation to uniform and meridionally varying sea surface temperatures under aquaplanet conditions
Walsh, K. J. E., Sur, Sharmila, Thatcher, M., Wales, S., Utembe, S. and Vaughan, A.. 2020. "Real world and tropical cyclone world. Part II: sensitivity of tropical cyclone formation to uniform and meridionally varying sea surface temperatures under aquaplanet conditions." Journal of Climate. 33 (4), pp. 1473-1486. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0079.1Article