Rainfall variability of decadal and longer time scales: signal or noise?

Article


Meinke, Holger, deVoil, Peter, Hammer, Graeme L., Power, Scott, Allan, Robert J., Stone, Roger C., Folland, Chris K. and Potgieter, Andries B.. 2005. "Rainfall variability of decadal and longer time scales: signal or noise?" Journal of Climate. 18 (1), pp. 89-90. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-3263.1
Article Title

Rainfall variability of decadal and longer time scales: signal or noise?

ERA Journal ID1978
Article CategoryArticle
AuthorsMeinke, Holger (Author), deVoil, Peter (Author), Hammer, Graeme L. (Author), Power, Scott (Author), Allan, Robert J. (Author), Stone, Roger C. (Author), Folland, Chris K. (Author) and Potgieter, Andries B. (Author)
Journal TitleJournal of Climate
Journal Citation18 (1), pp. 89-90
Number of Pages2
Year2005
PublisherAmerican Meteorological Society
Place of PublicationBoston, MA. United States
ISSN0894-8755
1520-0442
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-3263.1
Web Address (URL)http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-3263.1
Abstract

Rainfall variability occurs over a wide range of temporal scales. Knowledge and understanding of such variability can lead to improved risk management practices in agricultural and other industries. Analyses of temporal patterns in 100 yr of observed monthly global sea surface temperature and sea level pressure data show that the single most important cause of explainable, terrestrial rainfall variability resides within the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) frequency domain (2.5–8.0 yr), followed by a slightly weaker but highly significant decadal signal (9–13 yr), with some evidence of lesser but significant rainfall variability at interdecadal time scales (15–18 yr). Most of the rainfall variability significantly linked to frequencies lower than ENSO occurs in the Australasian region, with smaller effects in North and South America, central and southern Africa, and western Europe. While low-frequency (LF) signals at a decadal frequency are dominant, the variability evident was ENSO-like in all the frequency domains considered. The extent to which such LF variability is (i) predictable and (ii) either part of the overall ENSO variability or caused by independent processes remains an as yet unanswered question. Further progress can only he made through mechanistic studies using a variety of models.

Keywordsrainfall variability; El Nino; Southern Oscillation
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020370108. Meteorology
370202. Climatology
300201. Agricultural hydrology
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Byline AffiliationsDepartment of Primary Industries, Queensland
University of Queensland
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Met Office, United Kingdom
Department of Primary Industries and Fisheries, Queensland
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Davey, M. K., Huddleston, M., Sperber, K. R., Braconnot, P., Bryan, F., Chen, D., Colman, R. A., Cooper, C., Cubasch, U., Delecluse, P., DeWitt, D., Fairhead, L., Flato, G., Gordon, C., Hogan, T., Ji, M., Kimoto, M., Kitoh, A., Knutson, T. R., ..., Zebiak, S. E.. 2002. "STOIC: A study of coupled model climatology and variability in tropical ocean regions." Climate Dynamics. 18 (5), pp. 403-420. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-001-0188-6
The seasonal cycle in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models
Covey, C., Abe-Ouchi, A., Boer, G. J., Boville, B. A., Cubasch, U., Fairhead, L., Flato, G. M., Gordon, H., Guilyardi, E., Jiang, X., Johns, T. C., Le Treut, H., Madec, G., Meehl, G. A., Miller, R., Noda, A., Power, S. B., Roeckner, E., Russell, G., ..., von Storch, J.-S.. 2000. "The seasonal cycle in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models." Climate Dynamics. 16 (10-11), pp. 775-787. https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820000081
Annual mean meridional energy transport modelled by a general circulation model for present and 2 x CO2 equilibrium climates
Colman, R. A., McAvaney, B. J., Fraser, J. R. and Power, S. B.. 1994. "Annual mean meridional energy transport modelled by a general circulation model for present and 2 x CO2 equilibrium climates." Climate Dynamics. 10 (4-5), pp. 221-229. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00208989
The Predictability of Interdecadal Changes in ENSO Activity and ENSO Teleconnections
Power, Scott B., Haylock, Malcolm, Colman, Rob and Wang, Xiangdong. 2006. "The Predictability of Interdecadal Changes in ENSO Activity and ENSO Teleconnections." Journal of Climate. 19 (19), pp. 4755-4771. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3868.1
The Response of a Stochastically Forced ENSO Model to Observed Off-Equatorial Wind Stress Forcing
McGregor, Shayne, Holbrook, Neil J. and Power, Scott B.. 2009. "The Response of a Stochastically Forced ENSO Model to Observed Off-Equatorial Wind Stress Forcing." Journal of Climate. 22 (10), pp. 2512-2525. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2387.1
The Modulation of ENSO Variability in CCSM3 by Extratropical Rossby Waves
McGregor, Shayne, Gupta, Alex Sen, Holbrook, Neil J. and Power, Scott B.. 2009. "The Modulation of ENSO Variability in CCSM3 by Extratropical Rossby Waves." Journal of Climate. 22 (22), pp. 5839-5853. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2922.1
Evaluation of the South Pacific Convergence Zone in IPCC AR4 Climate Model Simulations of the Twentieth Century
Brown, Josephine R., Power, Scott B., Delage, Francois P., Colman, Robert A., Moise, Aurel F. and Murphy, Bradley F.. 2011. "Evaluation of the South Pacific Convergence Zone in IPCC AR4 Climate Model Simulations of the Twentieth Century." Journal of Climate. 24 (6), pp. 1565-1582. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3942.1
What Caused the Observed Twentieth-Century Weakening of the Walker Circulation
Power, Scott B. and Kociuba, Greg. 2011. "What Caused the Observed Twentieth-Century Weakening of the Walker Circulation." Journal of Climate. 24 (24), pp. 6501-6514. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4101.1
Consensus on Twenty-First-Century Rainfall Projections in Climate Models More Widespread than Previously Thought
Power, Scott B., Delage, Francois, Colman, Robert and Moise, Aurel. 2012. "Consensus on Twenty-First-Century Rainfall Projections in Climate Models More Widespread than Previously Thought." Journal of Climate. 25 (11), pp. 3792-3809. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00354.1
Unambiguous warming in the western tropical Pacific primarily caused by anthropogenic forcing
Wang, Guomin, Power, Scott B. and McGree, Simon. 2015. "Unambiguous warming in the western tropical Pacific primarily caused by anthropogenic forcing." International Journal of Climatology. 36 (2), pp. 933-944. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4395
Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere
Power, Scott, Saurral, Ramiro, Chung, Christine, Colman, Rob, Kharin, Viatcheslav, Boer, George, Gergis, Joelle, Henley, Benjamin, McGregor, Shayne, Arblaster, Julie, Holbrook, Neil and Liguori, Giovanni. 2017. "Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere." Past Global Changes Magazine. 25 (1), pp. 32-40. https://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.1.32
A cross-scale analysis to understand and quantify effects of photosynthetic enhancement on crop growth and yield across environments
Wu, Alex, Brider, Jason, Busch, Florian A., Chen, Min, Chenu, Karine, Clarke, Victoria C., Collins, Brian, Ermakova, Maria, Evans, John R., Farquhar, Graham D., Forster, Britta, Furbank, Robert T., Groszmann, Michael, Hernandez‐Prieto, Miguel A., Long, Benedict M., McLean, Greg, Potgieter, Andries, Price, G. Dean, Sharwood, Robert E., ..., Hammer, Graeme L.. 2022. "A cross-scale analysis to understand and quantify effects of photosynthetic enhancement on crop growth and yield across environments." Plant, Cell and Environment. 46 (1), pp. 23-44. https://doi.org/10.1111/pce.14453
Pen portraits of Presidents – Professor Raymond Hide, CBE, ScD, FRS
Folland, Chris K. and Read, Peter L.. 2022. "Pen portraits of Presidents – Professor Raymond Hide, CBE, ScD, FRS." Weather. 77 (3), pp. 103-107. https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4105
Annual Mean Arctic Amplification 1970–2020: Observed and Simulated by CMIP6 Climate Models
Chylek, Petr, Folland, Chris, Klett, James D., Wang, Muyin, Hengartner, Nick, Lesins, Glen and Dubey, Manvendra K.. 2022. "Annual Mean Arctic Amplification 1970–2020: Observed and Simulated by CMIP6 Climate Models." Geophysical Research Letters. 49 (13). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099371
Australian Drought Monitor
Cobon, David, Gacenga, Francis, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Pudmenzky, Christa, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Stone, Roger, Guillory, Laura, Jackson, J, Svoboda, M., Swigart, J. and Meat & Livestock Australia. 2022. Australian Drought Monitor. Toowoomba. https://doi.org/10.26192/dmek-v625
Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate
Kushnir, Yochanan, Scaife, Adam A., Arritt, Raymond, Balsamo, Gianpaolo, Boer, George, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Hawkins, Ed, Kimoto, Masahide, Kolli, Rupa Kumar, Kumar, Arun, Matei, Daniela, Matthes, Katja, Muller, Wolfgang A., O’Kane, Terence, Perlwitz, Judith, Power, Scott, Raphael, Marilyn, Shimpo, Akihiko, Smith, Doug, ..., Wu, Bo. 2019. "Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate." Nature Climate Change. 9 (2), pp. 94-101. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7
Decadal climate variability simulated in a coupled general circulation model
Walland, D. J., Power, S. B. and Hirst, A. C.. 2000. "Decadal climate variability simulated in a coupled general circulation model." Climate Dynamics. 16 (2-3), pp. 201-211. https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050013
Non-linear climate feedback analysis in an atmospheric general circulation model
Colman, R. A., Power, S. B. and McAvaney, B. J.. 1997. "Non-linear climate feedback analysis in an atmospheric general circulation model." Climate Dynamics. 13 (10), pp. 717-731. https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050193
Variability and decline in the number of severe tropical cyclones making land-fall over eastern Australia since the late nineteenth century
Callaghan, Jeff and Power, Scott B.. 2011. "Variability and decline in the number of severe tropical cyclones making land-fall over eastern Australia since the late nineteenth century." Climate Dynamics. 37 (3-4), pp. 647-662. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0883-2
Inter-decadal modulation of the impact of ENSO on Australia
Power, S., Casey, T., Folland, C., Colman, A. and Mehta, V.. 1999. "Inter-decadal modulation of the impact of ENSO on Australia." Climate Dynamics. 15 (5), pp. 319-324. https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050284
Atmospheric radiative feedbacks associated with transient climate change and climate variability
Colman, Robert A. and Power, Scott B.. 2010. "Atmospheric radiative feedbacks associated with transient climate change and climate variability." Climate Dynamics. 34 (7-8), pp. 919-933. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0541-8
The impact of global warming on the Southern Oscillation Index
Power, Scott B. and Kociuba, Greg. 2011. "The impact of global warming on the Southern Oscillation Index." Climate Dynamics. 37 (9-10), pp. 1745-1754. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0951-7
Nonlinear precipitation response to El Nino and global warming in the Indo-Pacific
Chung, Christine T. Y., Power, Scott B., Arblaster, Julie M., Rashid, Harun A. and Roff, Gregory L.. 2014. "Nonlinear precipitation response to El Nino and global warming in the Indo-Pacific." Climate Dynamics. 42 (7-8), pp. 1837-1856. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1892-8
A new index for variations in the position of the South Pacific convergence zone 1910/11-2011/2012
Salinger, M. J., McGree, Simon, Beucher, Florent, Power, Scott B. and Delage, Francois. 2014. "A new index for variations in the position of the South Pacific convergence zone 1910/11-2011/2012." Climate Dynamics. 43 (3-4), pp. 881-892. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-2035-y
The eastward shift of the Walker Circulation in response to global warming and its relationship to ENSO variability
Bayr, Tobias, Dommenget, Dietmar, Martin, Thomas and Power, Scott B.. 2014. "The eastward shift of the Walker Circulation in response to global warming and its relationship to ENSO variability." Climate Dynamics. 43 (9-10), pp. 2747-2763. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2091-y
Modelled impact of global warming on ENSO-driven precipitation changes in the tropical Pacific
Chung, Christine T.Y. and Power, Scott B.. 2016. "Modelled impact of global warming on ENSO-driven precipitation changes in the tropical Pacific." Climate Dynamics. 47 (3-4), pp. 1303-1323. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2902-9
Past and future changes to inflows into Perth (Western Australia) dams
Smith, Ian and Power, Scott. 2014. "Past and future changes to inflows into Perth (Western Australia) dams." Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies. 2, pp. 84-96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2014.08.005
Major coastal flooding in southeastern Australia 1860-2012, associated deaths and weather systems
Callaghan, Jeff and Power, Scott B.. 2014. "Major coastal flooding in southeastern Australia 1860-2012, associated deaths and weather systems." Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal. 64 (3), pp. 183-214. https://doi.org/10.22499/2.6403.002
Precipitation response to La Nina and global warming in the Indo-Pacific
Chung, Christine T. Y. and Power, Scott B.. 2014. "Precipitation response to La Nina and global warming in the Indo-Pacific." Climate Dynamics. 43 (12), pp. 3293-3307. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2105-9
Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: characteristics, causes, predictability and prospects
Power, Scott, Lengaigne, Matthieu, Capotondi, Antonietta, Khodri, Myriam, Vialard, Jerome, Jebri, Beyrem, Guilyardi, Eric, McGregor, Shayne, Kug, Jong-Seong, Newman, Matthew, McPhaden, Michael J., Meehl, Gerald, Smith, Doug, Cole, Julia, Emile-Geay, Julien, Vimont, Daniel, Wittenberg, Andrew T., Collins, Mat, Kim, Geon-Il, ..., Henley, Benjamin J.. 2021. "Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: characteristics, causes, predictability and prospects." Science. 374 (6563), pp. 48-57. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aay9165
Climate science: expulsion from history
Power, Scott B.. 2014. "Climate science: expulsion from history." Nature. 511 (7507), pp. 38-39. https://doi.org/10.1038/511038a
Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5 °C
Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Hawkins, E., Bilbao, R., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., Caron, L.-P., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Doescher, R., Dunstone, N. J., Eade, R., Hermanson, L., Ishii, M., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Koenigk, T., Kushnir, Y., ..., Yeager, S.. 2018. "Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5 °C." Geophysical Research Letters. 45 (21), pp. 11,895-11,903. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079362
Dynamics and predictability of El Nino-Southern Oscillation: an Australian perspective on progress and challenges
Santoso, Agus, Hendon, Harry, Watkins, Andrew, Power, Scott, Hope, Pandora, Dommenget, Dietmar, England, Matthew H., Frankcombe, Leela, Holbrook, Neil J., Holmes, Ryan, Hope, Pandora, Lim, Eun-Pa, Luo, Jing-Jia, McGregor, Shayne, Neske, Sonja, Nguyen, Hanh, Pepler, Acacia, Rashid, Harun, Gupta, Alex Sen, ..., Delage, Francois. 2019. "Dynamics and predictability of El Nino-Southern Oscillation: an Australian perspective on progress and challenges." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 100 (3), pp. 403-420. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0057.1
Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia?
Timbal, B., Power, S., Colman, R., Viviand, J. and Lirola, S.. 2002. "Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia?" Journal of Climate. 15 (10), pp. 1230-1238. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1230:DSMICV>2.0.CO;2
El Nino–Southern Oscillation complexity
Timmermann, Axel, An, Soon Il, Kug, Jong Seong, Jin, Fei Fei, Cai, Wenju, Capotondi, Antonietta, Cobb, Kim M., Lengaigne, Matthieu, McPhaden, Michael J., Stuecker, Malte F., Stein, Karl, Wittenberg, Andrew T., Yun, Kyung Sook, Bayr, Tobias, Chen, Han-Ching, Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu, Dewitte, Boris, Dommenget, Dietmar, Grothe, Pamela, ..., Zhang, Xuebin. 2018. "El Nino–Southern Oscillation complexity." Nature. 559, pp. 535-545. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6
A Tripole Index for the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
Henley, Benjamin J., Gergis, Joelle, Karoly, David J., Power, Scott, Kennedy, John and Folland, Chris K.. 2015. "A Tripole Index for the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation." Climate Dynamics. 45 (11-12), pp. 3077-3090. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2525-1
A vertical wind structure that leads to extreme rainfall and major flooding in southeast Australia
Callaghan, Jeff and Power, Scott B.. 2017. "A vertical wind structure that leads to extreme rainfall and major flooding in southeast Australia." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 66 (4), pp. 380-401. https://doi.org/10.22499/3.6604.002
Spatial and temporal agreement in climate model simulations of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
Henley, Benjamin J., Meehl, Gerald, Power, Scott B., Folland, Chris K., King, Andrew D., Brown, Jaclyn N., Karoly, David J., Delage, Francois, Gallant, Ailie J. E., Freund, Mandy and Neukom, Raphael. 2017. "Spatial and temporal agreement in climate model simulations of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation." Environmental Research Letters. 12 (4), pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5cc8
Observed and projected changes in surface climate of tropical Pacific Islands
Lough, Janice, Gupta, Alex Sen, Power, Scott B., Grose, Michael R. and McGree, Simon. 2016. "Observed and projected changes in surface climate of tropical Pacific Islands." Taylor, Mary, McGregor, Andrew and Dawson, Brian (ed.) Vulnerability of Pacific island agriculture and forestry to climate change. Noumea Cedex, New Caledonia. Pacific Community. pp. 47-101
The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Nino
Collins, Mat, An, Soon-Il, Cai, Wenju, Ganachaud, Alexandre, Guilyardi, Eric, Jin, Fei Fei, Jochum, Markus, Lengaigne, Matthieu, Power, Scott, Timmermann, Axel, Vecchi, Gabe and Wittenberg, Andrew. 2010. "The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Nino." Nature Geoscience. 3 (6), pp. 391-397. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo868
Inability of CMIP5 models to simulate recent strengthening of the walker circulation: implications for projections
Kociuba, Greg and Power, Scott B.. 2015. "Inability of CMIP5 models to simulate recent strengthening of the walker circulation: implications for projections." Journal of Climate. 28 (1), pp. 20-35. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00752.1
Modelled rainfall response to strong El Nino sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific
Chung, Christine T. Y. and Power, Scott B.. 2015. "Modelled rainfall response to strong El Nino sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific." Journal of Climate. 28 (8), pp. 3133-3151. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00610.1
The frequency of major flooding in coastal southeast Australia has significantly increased since the late 19th century
Power, Scott B. and Callaghan, Jeff. 2016. "The frequency of major flooding in coastal southeast Australia has significantly increased since the late 19th century." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 66 (1), pp. 2-11. https://doi.org/10.22499/3.6601.002
More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century
Maher, Nicola, Power, Scott B. and Marotzke, Jochem. 2021. "More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century." Nature Communications. 12 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20635-w
Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon from CMIP6 Models
Narsey, S. Y., Brown, J. R., Colman, R. A., Delage, F., Power, S. B., Moise, A. F. and Zhang, H.. 2020. "Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon from CMIP6 Models." Geophysical Research Letters. 47 (13), pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086816
ENSO-related rainfall changes over the New Guinea region
Smith, Ian, Moise, Aurel, Inape, Kasis, Murphy, Brad, Colman, Rob, Power, Scott and Chung, Christine. 2013. "ENSO-related rainfall changes over the New Guinea region." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 118 (19), pp. 10,665-10,675. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50818
The varied impacts of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on Pacific Island climates
Murphy, Bradley F., Power, Scott B. and McGree, Simon. 2014. "The varied impacts of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on Pacific Island climates." Journal of Climate. 27 (11), pp. 4015-4036. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00130.1
The non-linear impact of El Nino, La Nina and the Southern Oscillation on seasonal and regional Australian precipitation
Chung, Christine T. Y. and Power, Scott B.. 2017. "The non-linear impact of El Nino, La Nina and the Southern Oscillation on seasonal and regional Australian precipitation." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 67 (1), pp. 25-45. https://doi.org/10.22499/3.6701.003
Humans have already increased the risk of major disruptions to Pacific rainfall
Power, Scott B., Delage, Francois P. D., Chung, Christine T. Y., Ye, Hua and Murphy, Bradley F.. 2017. "Humans have already increased the risk of major disruptions to Pacific rainfall." Nature Communications. 8. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14368
Multiyear variability in the Tasman Sea and impacts on Southern hemisphere climate in CMIP5 models
Chung, Christine T. Y., Power, Scott B., Santoso, Agus and Wang, Guomin. 2017. "Multiyear variability in the Tasman Sea and impacts on Southern hemisphere climate in CMIP5 models." Journal of Climate. 30 (12), pp. 4413-4427. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0862.1
Setting and smashing extreme temperature records over the coming century
Power, Scott B. and Delage, Francois P. D.. 2019. "Setting and smashing extreme temperature records over the coming century." Nature Climate Change. 9 (7), pp. 529-534. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0498-5
The role of the South Pacific in modulating Tropical Pacific variability
Chung, Christine T. Y., Power, Scott B., Sullivan, Arnold and Delage, Francois. 2019. "The role of the South Pacific in modulating Tropical Pacific variability." Scientific Reports. 9 (1), pp. 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-52805-2
ENSO response to greenhouse forcing
Cai, Wenju, Santoso, Agus, Wang, Guojian, Wu, Lixin, Collins, Mat, Lengaigne, Matthieu, Power, Scott and Timmermann, Axel. 2021. "ENSO response to greenhouse forcing." McPhaden, Michael J., Santoso, Agus and Cai, Wenju (ed.) El Nino Southern Oscillation in a changing climate. United States. John Wiley & Sons. pp. 289-307
Apparent limitations in the ability of CMIP5 climate models to simulate recent multi-decadal change in surface temperature: implications for global temperature projections
Power, Scott, Delage, Francois, Wang, Guomin, Smith, Ian and Kociuba, Greg. 2017. "Apparent limitations in the ability of CMIP5 climate models to simulate recent multi-decadal change in surface temperature: implications for global temperature projections." Climate Dynamics. 49 (1-2), pp. 53-69. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3326-x
El Nino-Southern oscillation and associated climatic conditions around the world during the latter half of the twenty-first century
Power, Scott B. and Delage, Francois P.D.. 2018. "El Nino-Southern oscillation and associated climatic conditions around the world during the latter half of the twenty-first century." Journal of Climate. 31 (15), pp. 6189-6207. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0138.1
What can decadal variability tell us about climate feedbacks and sensitivity?
Colman, Robert and Power, Scott B.. 2018. "What can decadal variability tell us about climate feedbacks and sensitivity?" Climate Dynamics. 51 (9-10), pp. 3815-3828. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4113-7
The impact of global warming and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on seasonal precipitation extremes in Australia
Delage, Francois P. D. and Power, Scott B.. 2020. "The impact of global warming and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on seasonal precipitation extremes in Australia." Climate Dynamics. 54 (9-10), pp. 4367-4377. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05235-0
The impact of anthropogenic forcing and natural processes on past, present, and future rainfall over Victoria, Australia
Rauniyar, Surendra P. and Power, Scott B.. 2020. "The impact of anthropogenic forcing and natural processes on past, present, and future rainfall over Victoria, Australia." Journal of Climate. 33 (18), pp. 8087-8106. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0759.1
Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO Metrics Package
Planton, Yann Y., Guilyardi, Eric, Wittenberg, Andrew T., Lee, Jiwoo, Gleckler, Peter J., Bayr, Tobias, McGregor, Shayne, McPhaden, Michael J., Power, Scott, Roehrig, Romain, Vialard, Jerome and Voldoire, Aurore. 2021. "Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO Metrics Package." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 102 (2), pp. E193-E217. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-19-0337.1
Climate services for managing societal risks and opportunities
Hewitt, Chris D. and Stone, Roger. 2021. "Climate services for managing societal risks and opportunities." Climate Services. 23, pp. 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100240
Performance of a process-based model for predicting robusta coffee yield at the regional scale in Vietnam
Kouadio, Louis, Tixier, Philippe, Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Marcussen, Torben, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Rapidel, Bruno and Stone, Roger. 2021. "Performance of a process-based model for predicting robusta coffee yield at the regional scale in Vietnam." Ecological Modelling. 443, pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109469
The UK-China Climate Science to Service Partnership
Scaife, Adam A., Good, Elizabeth, Sun, Ying, Yan, Zhongwei, Dunstone, Nick, Ren, Hong-Li Ren, Li, Chaofan, Lu, Riyu, Wu, Peili, Ke, Zongjian, Ma, Zhuguo, Furtado, Kalli, Wu, Tongwen, Zhou, Tianjuan, Dunbar, Tyrone, Hewitt, Chris, Golding, Nicola, Zhang, Peiqun, Allan, Rob, ..., Belcher, Stephen. 2021. "The UK-China Climate Science to Service Partnership." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0055.1
Future challenges in delivering Agromet outputs to farmers
Stone, Roger and Taylor, James C.. 2009. "Future challenges in delivering Agromet outputs to farmers." 2009 International Workshop on the Content, Communication and Use of Weather and Climate Products and Services to Sustainable Agriculture (WMO 2009). Toowoomba, Australia 18 - 20 May 2009 Geneva, Switzerland.
The relationship between the El Niño Southern Oscillation and Australian monsoon rainfall on decadal time-scales
Heidemann, H., Joachim Ribbe, Cowan, T., Henley, B., Pudmenzky, C., Stone, R. and Cobon, D.. 2021. "The relationship between the El Niño Southern Oscillation and Australian monsoon rainfall on decadal time-scales." 23rd EGU General Assembly. 19 - 30 Apr 2021 https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-10482
Win-win: Improved irrigation management saves water and increases yield for robusta coffee farms in Vietnam
Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Kouadio, Louis, Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Rafiei, Vahid, Scobie, Michael and Stone, Roger. 2020. "Win-win: Improved irrigation management saves water and increases yield for robusta coffee farms in Vietnam." Agricultural Water Management. 241, pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106350
Insights from CMIP6 for Australia's future climate
Grose, M. R., Narsey, S., Delage, F. P., Dowdy, A. J., Bador, M., Boschat, G., Chung, C., Kajtar, J. B., Rauniyar, S., Freund, M. B., Lyu, K., Rashid, H., Zhang, X., Wales, S., Trenham, C., Holbrook, N. J., Cowan, T., Alexander, L., Arblaster, J. M. and Power, S.. 2020. "Insights from CMIP6 for Australia's future climate." Earth's Future. 8 (5). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001469
Defining flood risk management strategies: a systems approach
Mai, Thanh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Reardon-Smith, Kate, Webb, Paul, Stone, Roger, Kath, Jarrod and An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2020. "Defining flood risk management strategies: a systems approach." International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101550
Creating positive synergies between risk management and transfer to accelerate food system climate resilience
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod, Stone, Roger, Henry, Ross, Laderach, Peter, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Cobon, David, Marcussen, Torben, Cliffe, Neil, Kristiansen, Paul and Pischke, Frederik. 2020. "Creating positive synergies between risk management and transfer to accelerate food system climate resilience." Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 161 (3), pp. 465-478. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02679-5
Using the evaporative stress index to monitor flash drought in Australia
Nguyen, Hanh, Wheeler, Matthew C., Otkin, Jason A., Cowan, Tim, Frost, Andrew and Stone, Roger. 2019. "Using the evaporative stress index to monitor flash drought in Australia." Environmental Research Letters. 14 (6), pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab2103
Changes in the future summer Mediterranean climate: contribution of teleconnections and local factors
Barcikowska, Monika J., Kapnick, Sarah B., Krishnamurty, Lakshmi, Russo, Simone, Cherchi, Annalisa and Folland, Chris K.. 2020. "Changes in the future summer Mediterranean climate: contribution of teleconnections and local factors." Earth System Dynamics. 11 (1), pp. 161-181. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-161-2020
Integrating El Nino-Southern Oscillation information and spatial diversification to minimize risk and maximize profit for Australian grazing enterprises
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cobon, David, Stone, Gordon and Stone, Roger. 2020. "Integrating El Nino-Southern Oscillation information and spatial diversification to minimize risk and maximize profit for Australian grazing enterprises." Agronomy for Sustainable Development: sciences des productions vegetales et de l'environnement. 40, pp. 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13593-020-0605-z
CMIP5 climate models overestimate cooling by volcanic aerosols
Chylek, Petr, Folland, Chris, Klett, James D. and Dubey, Manvendra K.. 2020. "CMIP5 climate models overestimate cooling by volcanic aerosols." Geophysical Research Letters. 47. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087047
Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: climatology, variability, predictability, and trends
Chand, Savin S., Dowdy, Andrew J., Ramsay, Hamish A., Walsh, Kevin J. E., Tory, Kevin J., Power, Scott B., Bell, Samuel S., Lavender, Sally L., Ye, Hua and Kuleshov, Yuri. 2019. "Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: climatology, variability, predictability, and trends." WIREs Climate Change. 10 (5), pp. 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.602
Unlocking pre-1850 instrumental meteorological records: a global inventory
Bronnimann, Stefan, Allan, Rob, Ashcroft, Linden, Baer, Saba, Barriendos, Mariano, Brazdil, Rudolf, Brugnara, Yuri, Brunet, Manola, Brunetti, Michele, Chimani, Barbara, Cornes, Richard, Dominguez-Castro, Fernando, Filipiak, Janusz, Founda, Dimitra, Garcia Herrera, Ricardo, Gergis, Joelle, Grab, Stefan, Hannak, Lisa, Huhtamaa, Heli, ..., Wyszynski, Przemysław. 2019. "Unlocking pre-1850 instrumental meteorological records: a global inventory." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 100 (12), pp. ES389-ES413. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-00
Spatial variability in regional scale drought index insurance viability across Australia’s wheat growing regions
Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Henry, Ross, Adeyinka, Adewuyi Ayodele, Stone, Roger, Marcussen, Torben and Kouadio, Louis. 2019. "Spatial variability in regional scale drought index insurance viability across Australia’s wheat growing regions." Climate Risk Management. 24, pp. 13-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2019.04.002
Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system
Slivinski, Laura C., Compo, Gilbert P., Whitaker, Jeffrey S., Sardeshmukh, Prashant D., Giese, Benjamin S., McColl, Chesley, Allan, Rob, Yin, Xungang, Vose, Russell, Titchner, Holly, Kennedy, John, Spencer, Lawrence J., Ashcroft, Linden, Bronnimann, Stefan, Brunet, Manola, Camuffo, Dario, Cornes, Richard, Cram, Thomas A., Crouthamel, Richard, ..., Wyszynski, Przemysław. 2019. "Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 145 (724), pp. 2876-2908. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3598
Value of seasonal climate forecasts in reducing economic losses for grazing enterprises: Charters Towers case study
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Reardon-Smith, Kate, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cobon, David, Kodur, Shreevatsa and Stone, Roger. 2019. "Value of seasonal climate forecasts in reducing economic losses for grazing enterprises: Charters Towers case study." The Rangeland Journal. 41 (3), pp. 165-175. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ18004
Building and Delivering Real-World, Integrated Sustainability Solutions: Insights, Methods and Case-Study Applications
Newlands, Nathaniel K., Porcelli, Tracy A., Potgieter, Andries B., Kouadio, Louis, Huete, Alfredo and Guo, Wei. 2019. "Building and Delivering Real-World, Integrated Sustainability Solutions: Insights, Methods and Case-Study Applications." Frontiers in Environmental Science. 7, pp. 1-3. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2019.00071
Sustainable production of Robusta coffee under a changing climate: a 10-year monitoring of fertilizer management in coffee farms in Vietnam and Indonesia
Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Stone, Roger. 2019. "Sustainable production of Robusta coffee under a changing climate: a 10-year monitoring of fertilizer management in coffee farms in Vietnam and Indonesia." Agronomy. 9, pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy9090499
Value of seasonal forecasting for sugarcane farm irrigation planning
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Attard, Steve, Cobon, David and Stone, Roger. 2019. "Value of seasonal forecasting for sugarcane farm irrigation planning." European Journal of Agronomy. 104, pp. 37-48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2019.01.005
Tropical cyclone insurance for Queensland agriculture
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod, Stone, Roger, Marcussen, Torben, Roberts, Julian, Wilkinson, Claire, Mehmet, Russell and Henry, Ross. 2018. Tropical cyclone insurance for Queensland agriculture. University of Southern Queensland. University of Southern Queensland.
Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: summary report
Mushtaq, Shabaz, Marcussen, Torben, Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar, Stone, Roger, Roberts, Julian, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2018. Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: summary report. University of Southern Queensland.
Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: final report
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben, Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar, Stone, Roger, Roberts, Julian, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2017. Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: final report. University of Southern Queensland.
Index insurance benefits agricultural producers exposed to excessive rainfall risk
Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Henry, Ross, Adeyinka, Adewuyi and Stone, Roger. 2018. "Index insurance benefits agricultural producers exposed to excessive rainfall risk." Weather and Climate Extremes. 22, pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.10.003
Atmospheric circulation. 1. Mean sea level pressure and related modes of variability
Allan, R. and Folland, C. K.. 2018. "Atmospheric circulation. 1. Mean sea level pressure and related modes of variability." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 99 (8), pp. S39-S41. https://doi.org/10.1175/2018BAMSStateoftheClimate.1
Improving the use of climate information in decision-making
Hewitt, Chris D., Stone, Roger C. and Tait, Andrew B.. 2017. "Improving the use of climate information in decision-making." Nature Climate Change. 7 (9), pp. 614-616. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3378
Sweet success: virtual world tools enhance real world decision making in the Australian sugar industry
Reardon-Smith, Kate, Farley, Helen, Cliffe, Neil, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Stone, Roger, Doyle, Joanne, Martin, Neil, Ostini, Jenny, Maraseni, Tek, Marcussen, Torben, Loch, Adam and Lindesay, Janette. 2014. "Sweet success: virtual world tools enhance real world decision making in the Australian sugar industry." ICELW 2014: International Conference on e-Learning in the Workplace. New York, United States 11 - 13 Jun 2014
Connecting the dots - climate information has no value unless it changes a management decision: Some illustrative cases
Stone, Roger C.. 2009. "Connecting the dots - climate information has no value unless it changes a management decision: Some illustrative cases." Wesley, Michael, Xinsheng, Wang and McMillen, Don (ed.) Non-traditional security in PRC - Australia relations: GLOBAL issues of common concern (2009). Guangzhou, China 02 - 04 Jul 2009 Brisbane, Australia.
Economic assessment of various levels of improved wheat post head-emergence frost (PHEF) tolerance breeding options: final technical report
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Stone, Roger C., Christopher, Mandy, Chenu, Karine, Christopher, Jack T., Frederiks, Troy M., Zheng, Bangyou and Chapman, Scott. 2016. Economic assessment of various levels of improved wheat post head-emergence frost (PHEF) tolerance breeding options: final technical report. Australia. Grains Research and Development Corporation.
Investigating the value of seasonal climate forecast for beef grazing enterprises: Charters Towers case study
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Reardon-Smith, Kate, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cobon, David, Kodur, Shreevatsa and Stone, Roger. 2017. "Investigating the value of seasonal climate forecast for beef grazing enterprises: Charters Towers case study." 19th Biennial Conference of the Australian Rangeland Society. Port Augusta, Australia 25 - 28 Sep 2017 Australia.
Toward a stochastic precipitation generator conditioned on ENSO phase for eastern Australia
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Stone, Roger, Ngo-Cong, Duc and Marcussen, Torben. 2017. "Toward a stochastic precipitation generator conditioned on ENSO phase for eastern Australia." Syme, G., Hatton MacDonald, D., Fulton, B. and Piantadosi, J. (ed.) 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2017). Hobart, Australia 03 - 08 Dec 2017 Hobart, Tasmania, Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand .
Developing the capacity of farmers to understand and apply seasonal climate forecasts through collaborative learning processes
Cliffe, Neil, Stone, Roger, Coutts, Jeff, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2016. "Developing the capacity of farmers to understand and apply seasonal climate forecasts through collaborative learning processes." Journal of Agricultural Education and Extension: international journal on changes in agricultural knowledge and action systems. 22 (4), pp. 311-325. https://doi.org/10.1080/1389224X.2016.1154473
Queensland Cloud Seeding Research Program - QCSRP
Craig, Ian and Stone, Roger. 2008. "Queensland Cloud Seeding Research Program - QCSRP." USQ Research Showcase (2008). Toowoomba, Australia 05 Nov 2008
Economic assessment of wheat breeding options for potential improved levels of post head-emergence frost tolerance
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Christopher, Mandy, Zheng, Bangyou, Chenu, Karine, Chapman, Scott C., Christopher, Jack T., Stone, Roger C., Frederiks, Troy M. and Alam, G. M. Monirul. 2017. "Economic assessment of wheat breeding options for potential improved levels of post head-emergence frost tolerance." Field Crops Research. 213, pp. 75-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2017.07.021
Future strategies for climate services in agriculture: GFCS and collaborative implementation Australia / Western Pacific - national / regional implementation strategies
Stone, Roger. 2012. "Future strategies for climate services in agriculture: GFCS and collaborative implementation Australia / Western Pacific - national / regional implementation strategies." Joint International Symposium: ISAM 2012 and WMO-CAgM Climate Services for Agriculture: Best Practices and Future Strategies. Osaka, Japan 13 - 17 Mar 2012
Summer North Atlantic Oscillation (SNAO) variability on decadal to palaeoclimate time scales
Linderholm, Hans W. and Folland, Chris K.. 2017. "Summer North Atlantic Oscillation (SNAO) variability on decadal to palaeoclimate time scales." Past Global Changes Magazine. 25 (1), pp. 57-60. https://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.1.57
Current climate data rescue activities in Australia
Ashcroft, Linden, Allan, Rob, Bridgman, Howard, Gergis, Joelle, Pudmenzky, Christa and Thornton, Ken. 2016. "Current climate data rescue activities in Australia." Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 33 (12), pp. 1323-1324. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-016-6189-5
Global meteorological influences on the record UK rainfall of winter 2013–14
Knight, Jeff R., Maidens, Anna, Watson, Peter A. G., Andrews, Martin, Belcher, Stephen, Brunet, Gilbert, Fereday, David, Folland, Chris K., Scaife, Adam A. and Slingo, Julia. 2017. "Global meteorological influences on the record UK rainfall of winter 2013–14." Environmental Research Letters. 12 (7). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa693c
Managing pest species under climate change: risks and opportunities
Reardon-Smith, Kathryn M., Stone, Roger C. and Le Brocque, Andrew F.. 2012. "Managing pest species under climate change: risks and opportunities." 4th Queensland Pest Animal Symposium. Caloundra, Queensland 30 Jul - 02 Aug 2012 Queensland, Australia.
Robusta coffee model: an integrated model for coffee production at a regional scale
Kouadio, Louis, Stone, Roger, Tixier, Philippe, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Marcussen, Torben. 2015. "Robusta coffee model: an integrated model for coffee production at a regional scale." Tropical Agriculture Conference 2015: Meeting the Productivity Challenge in the Tropics (TropAg2015). Brisbane, Australia 16 - 18 Nov 2015
Exploring the potential impacts of climate variability on spring wheat yield with the APSIM decision support tool
Kouadio, Louis, Newlands, Nathaniel, Potgieter, Andries, McLean, Greg and Hill, Harvey. 2015. "Exploring the potential impacts of climate variability on spring wheat yield with the APSIM decision support tool." Agricultural Sciences. 6 (7), pp. 686-698. https://doi.org/10.4236/as.2015.67066
Virtual discussions to support climate risk decision making on farms
Reardon-Smith, Kate, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Farley, Helen S., Cliffe, Neil, Stone, Roger C., Ostini, Jenny, Doyle, Joanne, Martin, Neil, Loch, Adam, Maraseni, Tek, Marcussen, Torben and Lindesay, Janette. 2015. "Virtual discussions to support climate risk decision making on farms." Journal of Economic and Social Policy. 17 (2).
Putting virtual worlds to work to support improved climate risk decision-making on real world farms
Reardon-Smith, Kate, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Stone, Roger, Cliffe, Neil, Farley, Helen, Ostini, Jenny, Doyle, Joanne, Martin, Neil and Loch, Adam. 2015. "Putting virtual worlds to work to support improved climate risk decision-making on real world farms." 2nd International Conference on Global Food Security. Cornell University, Ithaca, United States 11 - 14 Oct 2015
Virtual world technologies to enhance climate risk management on Australian sugar cane farms
Reardon-Smith, Kate, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Stone, Roger, Cliffe, Neil, Farley, Helen, Ostini, Jenny, Doyle, Joanne, Martin, Neil, Maraseni, Tek, Marcussen, Torben, Loch, Adam and Lindesay, Janette. 2014. "Virtual world technologies to enhance climate risk management on Australian sugar cane farms." Climate Adaptation (NCCARF 2014): Future Challenges. Gold Coast, Australia 30 Sep - 02 Oct 2014 Gold Coast, Australia.
Climate change 2014: Synthesis report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Pachauri, Rajendra K., Allen, Myles R., Barros, Vicente R., Broome, John, Cramer, Wolfgang, Christ, Renate, Church, John A., Clarke, Leon, Dahe, Qin, Dasgupta, Purnamita, Dubash, Navroz K., Edenhofer, Ottmar, Elgizouli, Ismail, Field, Christopher B., Forster, Piers, Friedlingstein, Pierre, Fuglestvedt, Jan, Gomez-Echeverri, Luis, Hallegatte, Stephane, ..., van Ypersele, Jean-Pascal. 2015. Climate change 2014: Synthesis report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva, Switzerland. IPCC.
An integrated, probabilistic model for improved seasonal forecasting of agricultural crop yield under environmental uncertainty
Newlands, Nathaniel K., Zamar, David S., Kouadio, Louis A., Zhang, Yinsuo, Chipanshi, Aston, Potgieter, Andries, Toure, Souleymane and Hill, Harvey S. J.. 2014. "An integrated, probabilistic model for improved seasonal forecasting of agricultural crop yield under environmental uncertainty." Frontiers in Environmental Science. 2, pp. 1-21. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2014.00017
The development of virtual world tools to enhance learning and real world decision making in the Australian sugar farming industry
Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Farley, Helen, Cliffe, Neil, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Stone, Roger, Doyle, Joanne, Martin, Neil, Ostini, Jenny, Maraseni, Tek, Marcussen, Torben, Loch, Adam and Lindesay, Janette. 2014. "The development of virtual world tools to enhance learning and real world decision making in the Australian sugar farming industry." International Journal of Advanced Corporate Learning. 7 (3), pp. 17-23. https://doi.org/10.3991/ijac.v7i3.4002
Constructing a framework for national drought policy: the way forward: the way Australia developed and implemented the national drought policy
Stone, Roger C.. 2014. "Constructing a framework for national drought policy: the way forward: the way Australia developed and implemented the national drought policy." Weather and Climate Extremes. 3, pp. 117-125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2014.02.001
Using a virtual world to enable real world decision making
Reardon-Smith, Kate, Farley, Helen, Stone, Roger, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cliffe, Neil, Doyle, Joanne, Martin, Neil, Maraseni, Tek, Marcussen, Torben, Lindesay, Janette, Loch, Adam and Kealley, Matt. 2013. "Using a virtual world to enable real world decision making." Lamb, David (ed.) 1st Digital Rural Futures Conference: Smart Farms - Smart Regions (DRF 2013). Armidale, Australia 26 - 28 Jun 2013 Armidale, Australia.
Decadal climate variability and cross-scale interactions: ICCL 2013 Expert Assessment Workshop
Holbrook, Neil J., Li, Jianping, Collins, Matthew, Di Lorenzo, Emanuele, Jin, Fei-Fei, Knutson, Thomas, Latif, Mojib, Li, Chongyin, Power, Scott B., Huang, Rhonghui and Wu, Guoxiong. 2014. "Decadal climate variability and cross-scale interactions: ICCL 2013 Expert Assessment Workshop." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 95 (8), pp. 155-158. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00201.1
A blueprint for sustainable groundwater management in Balochistan, Pakistan
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Stone, Roger and Khair, Syed Mohammad. 2013. "A blueprint for sustainable groundwater management in Balochistan, Pakistan." Griffiths, Jacqui and Lambert, Rebecca (ed.) Free flow: reaching water security through cooperation . Paris, France. Unesco. pp. 222-224
Trialling a web-based 'discussion-support' tool in the Australian sugar industry: stakeholder responses are encouraging
Cliffe, Neil, Stone, Roger, Coutts, Jeff, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Reardon-Smith, Kathryn. 2013. "Trialling a web-based 'discussion-support' tool in the Australian sugar industry: stakeholder responses are encouraging." Westbrooke, Victoria (ed.) Australia-Pacific Extension Network International Conference (APEN ICNZ 2013): Transformative Change: Chosen or Unchosen Pathways to Innovation, Resilience and Prosperity . Christchurch, New Zealand 26 - 28 Aug 2013
Scientific research in the drought policy process
Stone, Roger and Cockfield, Geoff. 2013. "Scientific research in the drought policy process." Botterill, Linda Courtenay and Cockfield, Geoff (ed.) Drought, risk management, and policy: decision-making under uncertainty. Boca Raton, FL. United States. CRC Press. pp. 105-116
El Nino-Southern oscillation influence on the dust storm activity in Australia: can the past provide an insight into the future?
Pudmenzky, Christa, Stone, Roger, Butler, Harry and Allan, Robert. 2011. "El Nino-Southern oscillation influence on the dust storm activity in Australia: can the past provide an insight into the future?" 4th Atmospheric Circulation Reconstructions over the Earth Workshop (ACRE 2011). De Bilt, The Netherlands 21 - 23 Sep 2011
Food and water security issues - Australia
Stone, Roger C. and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2012. "Food and water security issues - Australia." Symposium on Synergistic Approaches to Food and Water Security (ISSAFWS 2012). Fairfax, United States 17 - 19 Oct 2012 Fairfax, VA. United States.
The Queensland cloud seeding research program
Tessendorf, Sarah A., Bruintjes, Roelof T., Weeks, Courtney, Wilson, James W., Knight, Charles A., Roberts, Rita D., Peter, Justin R., Collis, Scott, Buseck, Peter R., Freney, Evelyn, Dixon, Michael, Pocernich, Matthew, Ikeda, Kyoko, Axisa, Duncan, Nelson, Eric, May, Peter T., Richter, Harald, Piketh, Stuart, Burger, Roelof P., ..., McRae, David. 2012. "The Queensland cloud seeding research program ." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 93 (1), pp. 75-90. https://doi.org/10.1175/Bams-d-11-00060.1
Application of seasonal prediction on sugar cane
Stone, Roger C., Everingham, Yvette and Marcussen, Torben. 2012. "Application of seasonal prediction on sugar cane." Day, Keith A. (ed.) 6th Annual Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research Workshop (CAWCR 2012): Understanding and Prediction of Monsoon Weather and Climate. Melbourne, Australia 12 - 15 Nov 2012 Melbourne, Australia.
Supporting decision-making in the sugar industry with integrated seasonal climate forecasting
Stone, Roger C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben, Cliffe, Neil, Brunton, Lynda and Everingham, Yvette. 2012. "Supporting decision-making in the sugar industry with integrated seasonal climate forecasting." Global Framework for Climate Services User Conference (GFCS 2012): A Dialogue for Climate Services Users and Providers: Towards Implementation of the GFCS. Geneva, Switzerland 26 - 27 Oct 2012 Geneva, Switzerland.
Supporting decision-making in the sugar industry with integrated seasonal climate forecasting
Stone, Roger C., Cliffe, Neil, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Everingham, Yvette. 2012. "Supporting decision-making in the sugar industry with integrated seasonal climate forecasting." Climate exchange, 2nd ed.. Geneva, Switzerland . Tudor Rose. pp. 46-49
Understanding hydroclimate processes in the Murray-Darling basin for natural resources management
Gallant, A. J. E., Kiem, A. S., Verdon-Kidd, D. C., Stone, R. C. and Karoly, D. J.. 2012. "Understanding hydroclimate processes in the Murray-Darling basin for natural resources management." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 16 (7), pp. 2049-2068. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-2049-2012
Climate variability analysis for Diuron application
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Stone, Roger, Marcussen, Torben, Pudmenzky, Christa and Maraseni, Tek. 2012. Climate variability analysis for Diuron application. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.
Agricultural resilience to extreme weather events: taking stock of and reanalysing dependencies and history in climate risk management
Best, Peter, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Stone, Roger. 2009. "Agricultural resilience to extreme weather events: taking stock of and reanalysing dependencies and history in climate risk management." 2009 International Workshop on the Content, Communication and Use of Weather and Climate Products and Services to Sustainable Agriculture (WMO 2009). Toowoomba, Australia 18 - 20 May 2009 Geneva, Switzerland .
Annex I: Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections
van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan, Collins, Matthew, Arblaster, Julie, Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg, Marotzke, Jochem, Power, Scott B., Rummukainen, Markku and Zhou, Tianjun. 2013. "Annex I: Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections." Stocker, Thomas F., Qin, Dahe, Plattner, Gian-Kasper, Tignor, Melinda M.B., Allen, Simon K., Boschung, Judith, Nauels, Alexander, Xia, Yu, Bex, Vincent and Midgley, Pauline M. (ed.) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. United Kingdom. Cambridge University Press. pp. 1311-1393
Web-based 'discussion-support' agricultural climate information for regional India
Stone, Roger C., Reushle, Shirley and Reddy, Raji. 2012. "Web-based 'discussion-support' agricultural climate information for regional India." APN Science Bulletin.
Principles of short and medium term climate forecasting - what's driving our climate and how accurate have Northern Grains Region forecasts been in the last decade?
Stone, Roger C.. 2011. "Principles of short and medium term climate forecasting - what's driving our climate and how accurate have Northern Grains Region forecasts been in the last decade?" 2011 GRDC Advisor Update, Goondiwindi. Goondiwindi, Australia 02 - 03 Mar 2011 Canberra, Australia.
Estimating winter crop area across seasons and regions using time-sequential MODIS imagery
Potgieter, Andries, Apan, Armando, Hammer, Graeme and Dunn, Peter. 2011. "Estimating winter crop area across seasons and regions using time-sequential MODIS imagery." International Journal of Remote Sensing. 32 (15), pp. 4281-4310. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2010.486415
El Nino-Southern oscillation influence on the dust storm activity in Australia: can the past provide an insight into the future?
Pudmenzky, Christa, Stone, Roger and Butler, Harry. 2011. "El Nino-Southern oscillation influence on the dust storm activity in Australia: can the past provide an insight into the future?" WCRP 2011: Climate Research in Service to Society. Denver, United States 24 - 28 Oct 2011 Geneva, Switzerland.
Climate outlook and review 2 June 2011
Stone, Roger. 2011. "Climate outlook and review 2 June 2011." Climate Outlook and Review.
The international Atmospheric Circulation Reconstructions over the Earth (ACRE) initiative
Allan, Rob, Brohan, Philip, Compo, Gilbert P., Stone, Roger, Luterbacher, Juerg and Bronnimann, Stefan. 2011. "The international Atmospheric Circulation Reconstructions over the Earth (ACRE) initiative." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 92 (11), pp. 1421-1425. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3218.1
El Nino-Southern oscillation
Holbrook, Neil J., Brown, Jaclyn N., Davidson, Julie, Feng, Ming, Hobday, Alistair J., Lough, Janice M., McGregor, Shayne, Power, Scott B. and Risbey, James S.. 2012. "El Nino-Southern oscillation." Poloczanska, Elvira S., Hobday, Alistair J. and Richardson, Anthony J. (ed.) Marine Climate Change in Australia: Impacts and Adaptation Responses - 2012 REPORT CARD. Australia. CSIRO Publishing. pp. 81-112
El Nino – Southern Oscillation
Holbrook, Neil J., Brown, Jaclyn N., Davidson, Julie, Feng, Ming, Hobday, Alistair J., Lough, Janice M., McGregor, Shayne, Power, Scott B. and Risbey, James S.. 2012. "El Nino – Southern Oscillation." Poloczanska, Elvira S., Hobday, Alistair J. and Richardson, Anthony J. (ed.) Marine Climate Change in Australia: Impacts and Adaptation Responses. 2012 Report Card. Australia. CSIRO Publishing. pp. 81-112
Editorial
Stone, Roger, Sivakumar, M. V. K. and Burt, Peter. 2006. "Editorial ." Meteorological Applications. 13 (S1), pp. 3-5. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1350482706002507
Determining broadacre crop area estimates through the use of multi-temporal modis satellite imagery for major Australian winter crops
Potgieter, Andries B.. 2009. Determining broadacre crop area estimates through the use of multi-temporal modis satellite imagery for major Australian winter crops. PhD Thesis Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland.
Positive feedbacks between the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave and the global El Nino-Southern Oscillation
White, Warren B., Chen, Shyh-Chin, Allan, Robert J. and Stone, Roger C.. 2002. "Positive feedbacks between the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave and the global El Nino-Southern Oscillation ." Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 107 (10), pp. 3165-3177. https://doi.org/10.1029/2000JC000581
Is there an Indian Ocean dipole and is it independent of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation?
Allan, Robert J., Chambers, Don, Drosdowsky, Wasyl, Hendon, Harry, Latif, Mojib, Nicholls, Neville, Smith, Ian, Stone, Roger C. and Tourre, Yves. 2001. "Is there an Indian Ocean dipole and is it independent of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation?" CLIVAR Exchanges. 6 (3), pp. 18-22.
Seasonal and inter-annual climate forecasting: The new tool for increasing preparedness to climate variability and change in agricultural planning and operations
Meinke, Holger and Stone, Roger C.. 2005. "Seasonal and inter-annual climate forecasting: The new tool for increasing preparedness to climate variability and change in agricultural planning and operations." Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 70 (1-2), pp. 221-253. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-5948-6
Weather, climate and farmers: an overview
Stone, Roger C. and Meinke, Holger. 2006. "Weather, climate and farmers: an overview." Meteorological Applications. 13 (S1), pp. 7-20. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1350482706002519
Intra-seasonal climate predictions - linking weather and climate forecasts
Donald, Alexis, Meinke, Holger, Power, Brendan, Wheeler, Matthew, Maia, Aline de H. N., White, Neil, Stone, Roger C. and Ribbe, Joachim. 2006. "Intra-seasonal climate predictions - linking weather and climate forecasts." Vera, Carolina (ed.) 8th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography (8ICSHMO): Understanding and Predicting Climate and Water Resources, their Variability and Change in the Southern Hemisphere. Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 24 - 28 Apr 2006 Washington, DC. United States.
Near-global impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on rainfall
Donald, Alexis, Meinke, Holger, Power, Brendan, Maia, Aline de H. N., Wheeler, Matthew, Stone, Roger C., Ribbe, Joachim and White, Neil. 2006. "Near-global impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on rainfall." Geophysical Research Letters. 33 (9), p. L09704. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GL025155
Submission to the House of Representatives Industry, Science and Innovation Committee Inquiry into long-term meteorological forecasting in Australia. Submission no. 10
Stone, Roger. 2009. "Submission to the House of Representatives Industry, Science and Innovation Committee Inquiry into long-term meteorological forecasting in Australia. Submission no. 10 ." Seasonal forecasting in Australia. Canberra, Australia. Commonwealth of Australia. pp. 1-8
Short and long term weather prospects: recent breakthroughs in the understanding of climate patterns and climate change and their impacts on crop yields
Stone, Roger. 2006. "Short and long term weather prospects: recent breakthroughs in the understanding of climate patterns and climate change and their impacts on crop yields." 1st CropLife Australia Perspectives Conference 2006. Sydney 28 Nov 2006 Canberra, Australia.
The value of an integrated approach to climate applications modelling
Stone, Roger C. and Meinke, Holger. 2006. "The value of an integrated approach to climate applications modelling." Hollis, A. J. and Kariko, A. P. (ed.) 18th Annual Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre Modelling Workshop. The Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS): Challenges and Opportunities (BMRC 2006) . Melbourne, Australia 28 Nov - 01 Dec 2006 Melbourne, Australia.
Drought risks and vulnerability in rainfed agriculture: example of a case study in Australia
Stone, Roger C. and Potgieter, Andries. 2008. "Drought risks and vulnerability in rainfed agriculture: example of a case study in Australia." Options Mediterraneennes.
Impacts and adaptation response of infrastructure and communities to heatwaves: the southern Australian experience of 2009
Best, Peter, Marcussen, Torben, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Stone, Roger C., Reeves, Jim, Foelz, Colleen, Grace, Peter, Loughnan, Margaret, McEvoy, Darryn, Ahmed, Ifte, Mullett, Jane, Haynes, Katharine, Bird, Deanne, Coates, Lucinda and Ling, Megan. 2010. Impacts and adaptation response of infrastructure and communities to heatwaves: the southern Australian experience of 2009. Gold Coast, Australia. National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF).
Twentieth century bipolar seesaw of the Arctic and Antarctic surface air temperatures
Chylek, Petr, Folland, Chris K., Lesins, Glen and Dubey, Manvendra K.. 2010. "Twentieth century bipolar seesaw of the Arctic and Antarctic surface air temperatures." Geophysical Research Letters. 37 (8 (L08703)). https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL042793
A climate reconstruction of Sydney Cove, New South Wales, using weather journal and documentary data, 1788–1791
Gergis, Joelle, Karoly, David J. and Allan, Robert J.. 2009. "A climate reconstruction of Sydney Cove, New South Wales, using weather journal and documentary data, 1788–1791." Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal. 53 (2), pp. 83-98.
Climate outlook and review 5 April 2010
Stone, Roger C.. 2010. "Climate outlook and review 5 April 2010." Climate Outlook and Review.
Early-season crop area estimates for winter crops in NE Australia using MODIS satellite imagery
Potgieter, A. B., Apan, A., Hammer, G. and Dunn, P.. 2010. "Early-season crop area estimates for winter crops in NE Australia using MODIS satellite imagery." ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing. 65 (4), pp. 380-387. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2010.04.004
An application of demerit point approach in selection of most suitable climate models to characterise the potential climate change impact on regional Australia
Stone, Roger C., Marcussen, Torben and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2010. "An application of demerit point approach in selection of most suitable climate models to characterise the potential climate change impact on regional Australia." American Geophysical Union 2010 Fall Meeting. San Francisco, United States 13 - 17 Dec 2010 Washington, DC United States.
Interim report on the Southeast Queensland Cloud Seeding Research Program
Tessendorf, Sarah, Bruintjes, Roelof, Dixon, Mike, Pocernich, Matt, Brandes, Ed, Wilson, Jim, Roberts, Rita, Ikeda, Kyoko, Axisa, Duncan, Craig, Ian, Peter, Justin, May, Peter, Keenan, Tom, Manton, Michael, Stone, Roger C., Yates, David, Towler, Erin, Bringi, V. and Thurai, M.. 2008. Interim report on the Southeast Queensland Cloud Seeding Research Program. Boulder, CO. United States. National Center for Atmospheric Research.
A comparison of two seasonal rainfall forecasting systems for Australia
Fawcett, R. J. B. and Stone, R. C.. 2010. "A comparison of two seasonal rainfall forecasting systems for Australia." Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal. 60 (1), pp. 15-24.
Prospects for and value of long-time series data using global reanalysis data sets in the development of global climate derivatives
Stone, Roger C., Best, Peter and Sosenko, Olena. 2008. "Prospects for and value of long-time series data using global reanalysis data sets in the development of global climate derivatives." 2008 International Conference on Reanalyses Data, Historical Reanalyses and Climate Applications. Zurich, Switzerland 23 - 25 Jun 2008
Assessing the relationship between shire winter crop yield and seasonal variability of the MODIS NDVI and EVI images
Fontana, Denise C., Potgieter, Andries B. and Apan, Armando. 2007. "Assessing the relationship between shire winter crop yield and seasonal variability of the MODIS NDVI and EVI images." Applied Geographic Information Systems (GIS). 3 (7), pp. 1-16.
Climate risk management for agriculture: the Australian experience
Stone, Roger C.. 2010. "Climate risk management for agriculture: the Australian experience." CCl-XV UN World Meteorological Organisation Commission for Climatology: Technical Conference on Changing Climate and Demands for Climate Services for Sustainable Development. Antalya, Turkey 16 - 18 Feb 2010 Geneva, Switzerland.
Actionable climate knowledge: from analysis to synthesis
Meinke, Holger, Nelson, Rohan, Kokic, Phil, Stone, Roger, Selvaraju, Ramasamy and Baethgen, Walter. 2006. "Actionable climate knowledge: from analysis to synthesis." Climate Research. 33 (1), pp. 101-110. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr033101
Inferential, nonparametric statistics to assess the quality of probabilistic forecast systems
Maia, Aline de H. N., Meinke, Holger, Lennox, Sarah and Stone, Roger. 2007. "Inferential, nonparametric statistics to assess the quality of probabilistic forecast systems." Monthly Weather Review. 135 (2), pp. 351-362. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR3291.1
Low-frequency variability of regional sea surface temperature and rainfall in the Austral-Indonesian region
Faqih, Akhmad, Ribbe, Joachim and Meinke, Holger. 2009. "Low-frequency variability of regional sea surface temperature and rainfall in the Austral-Indonesian region." 9th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography. Melbourne, Australia 09 - 13 Feb 2009 United States of America.
El Nino through the 'eyes' of a wheat crop
Potgieter, Andries B., Hammer, Graeme L., Meinke, Holger, Stone, Roger C. and Goddard, Lisa. 2003. "El Nino through the 'eyes' of a wheat crop." Stone, Roger C. and Partridge, Ian (ed.) National Drought Forum 2003: Science for Drought. Brisbane, Australia 15 - 16 Apr 2003 Brisbane, Australia.
Drought and climate forecasting in an Australian context
Stone, Roger C., Fawcett, Robert, Everingham, Yvette L. and Pinington, Greg. 2003. "Drought and climate forecasting in an Australian context." Stone, Roger C. and Partridge, Ian (ed.) Science for drought: proceedings of the National Drought Forum. Brisbane, Australia. Queensland Department of Primary Industries. pp. 41-48
Impact of Multidecadal Fluctuations in the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation on Indo-Pacific Climate Variability in a Coupled GCM
Rashid, Harun A., Power, Scott B. and Knight, Jeff R.. 2010. "Impact of Multidecadal Fluctuations in the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation on Indo-Pacific Climate Variability in a Coupled GCM." Journal of Climate. 23 (14), pp. 4038-4044. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3430.1
An assessment of relationships between the Australian subtropical ridge, rainfall variability, and high-latitude circulation patterns
Williams, Allyson A. J. and Stone, Roger C.. 2009. "An assessment of relationships between the Australian subtropical ridge, rainfall variability, and high-latitude circulation patterns." International Journal of Climatology. 29 (5), pp. 691-709. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1732
Interdecadal variability of regional sea surface temperature and rainfall in the Austral-Indonesian region
Faqih, Akhmad, Ribbe, Joachim and Meinke, Holger. 2008. "Interdecadal variability of regional sea surface temperature and rainfall in the Austral-Indonesian region." WMO 4th International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-IV). Beijing, China 20 - 25 Oct 2008
Assessment of GCM-based rainfall simulations for the Austral-Indonesian region
Faqih, Akhmad, Ribbe, Joachim and Meinke, Holger. 2008. "Assessment of GCM-based rainfall simulations for the Austral-Indonesian region." WMO 4th International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-IV). Beijing, China 20 - 25 Oct 2008
Preliminary observations of cloud and precipitation characteristics in the Brisbane, Australia region
Tessendorf, Sarah, Bruintjes, Roelof, Wilson, James, Brandes, Ed, May, Peter, Peter, Justin, Craig, Ian, Stone, Roger C., Siems, Steve, Manton, Michael and Axisa, Duncan. 2008. "Preliminary observations of cloud and precipitation characteristics in the Brisbane, Australia region." Golden, Joe (ed.) 17th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification (AMS/WMA 2008). Denver, United States 21 - 25 Apr 2008 Boston, MA. United States.
Prediction of global rainfall probabilities using phases of the Southern Oscillation Index
Stone, Roger C., Hammer, Graeme L. and Marcussen, Torben. 1996. "Prediction of global rainfall probabilities using phases of the Southern Oscillation Index." Nature. 384 (6606), pp. 252-255. https://doi.org/10.1038/384252a0
Technologies for climate risk management
Stone, Roger C. and Price, Richard. 2004. "Technologies for climate risk management." 16th Australia New Zealand Climate Forum: Climate and Water (ANZCF2004). Lorne, Australia 08 - 10 Nov 2004 Lorne, Vic, Australia.
The influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation on Queensland's rainfall
Donald, Alexis, Ribbe, Joachim, Stone, Roger, Meinke, Holger, Harris, Graham, Power, Brendan and Wheeler, Matthew. 2003. "The influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation on Queensland's rainfall." 15th Australian New Zealand Climate Forum. Palmerston, New Zealand 19 - 21 Mar 2003 Palmerston, New Zealand.
Contingency planning for drought - a case study in coping with agrometeorological risks and uncertainties
Stone, Roger C. and Meinke, Holger. 2007. "Contingency planning for drought - a case study in coping with agrometeorological risks and uncertainties." Sivakumar, Mannava V. K. and Motha, Raymond P. (ed.) Managing weather and climate risks in agriculture. Heidelberg, Germany. Springer. pp. 415-433
Climate variability, climate forecasting, and improved crop design
Stone, Roger C. and Hammer, Graeme L.. 2004. "Climate variability, climate forecasting, and improved crop design." 5th Princess Chulabhorn Science Congress: Evolving Genetics and Its Global Impact. Bangkok 16 - 20 Aug 2004 New York.
Quality and potential utility of ENSO-based forecasts of spring rainfall and wheat yield in south-eastern Australia
Anwar, M. R., Rodriguez, D., Liu, D. L., Power, S. and O'Leary, G. J.. 2008. "Quality and potential utility of ENSO-based forecasts of spring rainfall and wheat yield in south-eastern Australia." Australian Journal of Agricultural Research. 59 (2), pp. 112-126. https://doi.org/10.1071/AR07061
Enhanced risk management and decision-making capability across the sugarcane industry value chain based on seasonal climate forecasts
Everingham, Y. L., Muchow, R. C., Stone, R. C., Inman-Bamber, N. G., Singels, A. and Bezuidenhout, C. N.. 2002. "Enhanced risk management and decision-making capability across the sugarcane industry value chain based on seasonal climate forecasts." Agricultural Systems. 74 (3), pp. 459-477. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0308-521X(02)00050-1
Using Southern Oscillation index phases to forecast sugarcane yields: a case study for northeastern Australia
Everingham, Y. L., Muchow, R. C., Stone, R. C. and Coomans, D. H.. 2003. "Using Southern Oscillation index phases to forecast sugarcane yields: a case study for northeastern Australia." International Journal of Climatology. 23 (10), pp. 1211-1218. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.920
Three putative types of El Nino revealed by spatial variability in impact on Australian wheat yield
Potgieter, Andries B., Hammer, Graeme L., Meinke, Holger, Stone, Roger C. and Goddard, Lisa. 2005. "Three putative types of El Nino revealed by spatial variability in impact on Australian wheat yield." Journal of Climate. 18 (10), pp. 1566-1574. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3349.1
Operational seasonal forecasting of crop performance
Stone, Roger C. and Meinke, Holger. 2005. "Operational seasonal forecasting of crop performance." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 360 (1463), pp. 2109-2124. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2005.1753
Estimating crop area using seasonal time series of Enhanced Vegetation Index from MODIS satellite imagery
Potgieter, Andries B., Apan, Armando, Dunn, Peter K. and Hammer, Graeme L.. 2007. "Estimating crop area using seasonal time series of Enhanced Vegetation Index from MODIS satellite imagery." Crop and Pasture Science. 58 (4), pp. 316-325. https://doi.org/10.1071/AR06279
20th century rainfall variability and the role of large scale climate events within Indo-Pacific region from IPCC AR4 models, reanalysis and observations
Faqih, Akhmad, Ribbe, Joachim and Meinke, Holger. 2007. "20th century rainfall variability and the role of large scale climate events within Indo-Pacific region from IPCC AR4 models, reanalysis and observations." 14th National Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Adelaide, Australia 05 - 08 Feb 2007 Adelaide, Australia.
Seasonal climate forecasts for more effective raingrown grain-cotton production systems
Harris, Graham, Meinke, Holger, Power, Brendan, Donald, Alexis, deVoil, Peter and Ribbe, Joachim. 2002. "Seasonal climate forecasts for more effective raingrown grain-cotton production systems." 11th Australian Cotton Conference 2002: Field to Fashion. Brisbane, Australia 13 - 15 Aug 2002 Orange, Australia.
Using seasonal climate forecasts for more effective grain-cotton production systems
Harris, Graham, Chudleigh, Fred, Meinke, Holger, Donald, Alexis, Power, Brendan, Ribbe, Joachim, Stone, Roger and Wheeler, Matthew. 2003. "Using seasonal climate forecasts for more effective grain-cotton production systems." Australian Cotton Cooperative Research Centre Annual Science Review 2003. Armidale, Australia 23 - 24 Jul 2003 Armidale, Australia.
The Madden Julian Oscillation and its relationship with rainfall in Queensland
Donald, Alexis, Ribbe, Joachim, Stone, Roger, Wheeler, Matthew, Meinke, Holger, Harris, Graham and Power, Brendan. 2003. "The Madden Julian Oscillation and its relationship with rainfall in Queensland." Stone, Roger C. and Partridge, Ian (ed.) National Drought Forum 2003: Science for Drought. Brisbane, Australia 15 - 16 Apr 2003 Brisbane, Australia.
Using the real-time mulitvariate Madden Julian oscillation indices to predict rainfall in Queensland
Donald, Alexis, Ribbe, Joachim, Stone, Roger C., Wheeler, Matthew, Meinke, Holger, Harris, Graham and Power, Brendan. 2003. "Using the real-time mulitvariate Madden Julian oscillation indices to predict rainfall in Queensland." 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography 2003: Southern Ocean Weather and Climate Variability: Regional and Global Effects. Wellington, New Zealand 24 - 28 Mar 2003 Boston, MA. United States.
Forecasting with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the applications for risk management
Donald, Alexis, Meinke, Holger, Power, Brendan, Wheeler, Matthew and Ribbe, Joachim. 2004. "Forecasting with the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the applications for risk management." 4th International Crop Science Congress (ICSC 2004): New Directions for a Diverse Planet. Brisbane, Australia 26 Sep - 01 Oct 2004 Brisbane, Australia.
Assessing the relationship between shire winter crop yield and multi-temporal MODIS NDVI and EVI images
Fontana, Denise C., Potgieter, Andries B. and Apan, Armando. 2005. "Assessing the relationship between shire winter crop yield and multi-temporal MODIS NDVI and EVI images." Bellman, Chris, Cartwright, William and Shortis, Mark (ed.) 2005 Spatial Sciences Institute Biennial Conference: Spatial Intelligence, Innovation and Praxis (SSC2005). Melbourne, Australia 12 - 16 Sep 2005 Melbourne, Australia.
Spying on the winter wheat crop - generating objective planted area and crop production estimates using MODIS imagery
Potgieter, Andries B., Apan, Armando, Hammer, Graeme L. and Dunn, Peter K.. 2005. "Spying on the winter wheat crop - generating objective planted area and crop production estimates using MODIS imagery." Bellman, Chris, Cartwright, William and Shortis, Mark (ed.) 2005 Spatial Sciences Institute Biennial Conference: Spatial Intelligence, Innovation and Praxis (SSC2005). Melbourne, Australia 12 - 16 Sep 2005
Science for drought: proceedings of the National Drought Forum
Stone, Roger C. and Partridge, Ian. Stone, Roger C. and Partridge, Ian (ed.) 2003. Science for drought: proceedings of the National Drought Forum. Brisbane. Queensland Department of Primary Industries.
Making climate model forecasts more useful
Power, S. B., Plummer, N. and Alford, P.. 2007. "Making climate model forecasts more useful." Australian Journal of Agricultural Research. 58 (10), pp. 945-951. https://doi.org/10.1071/AR06196
Attribution of the Late-Twentieth-Century Rainfall Decline in Southwest Australia
Timbal, Bertrand, Arblaster, Julie M. and Power, Scott. 2006. "Attribution of the Late-Twentieth-Century Rainfall Decline in Southwest Australia." Journal of Climate. 19 (10), pp. 2046-2062. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3817.1
ENSIP: the El Nino simulation intercomparison project
Latif, Mojib, Sperber, K., Arblaster, J., Braconnot, P., Chen, D., Colman, A., Cubasch, U., Cooper, C., Delecluse, P., DeWitt, D., Fairhead, L., Flato, G., Hogan, T., Ji, M., Kimoto, M., Kitoh, A., Knutson, T., Le Treut, H., Li, T., ..., Zebiak, S.. 2001. "ENSIP: the El Nino simulation intercomparison project." Climate Dynamics. 18 (3-4), pp. 255-276. https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820100174