Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe
Article
Article Title | Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe |
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ERA Journal ID | 122966 |
Article Category | Article |
Authors | Webber, Heidi, Ewert, Frank, Olesen, Jørgen E., Müller, Christoph, Fronzek, Stefan, Ruane, Alex C., Bourgault, Maryse, Martre, Pierre, Ababaei, Behnam, Bindi, Marco, Ferrise, Roberto, Finger, Robert, Fodor, Nándor Fodor, Gabaldón-Leal, Clara, Gaiser, Thomas, Jabloun, Mohamed, Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian, Lizaso, Jon I., Lorite, Ignacio J., Manceau, Loic, Moriondo, Marco, Nendel, Claas, Rodríguez, Alfredo, Ruiz-Ramos, Margarita, Semenov, Mikhail A., Siebert, Stefan, Stella, Tommaso, Stratonovitch, Pierre, Trombi, Giacomo and Wallach, Daniel |
Journal Title | Nature Communications |
Journal Citation | 9 |
Article Number | 4249 |
Number of Pages | 10 |
Year | 2018 |
Publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
Place of Publication | United Kingdom |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06525-2 |
Web Address (URL) | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-06525-2 |
Abstract | Understanding the drivers of yield levels under climate change is required to support adaptation planning and respond to changing production risks. This study uses an ensemble of crop models applied on a spatial grid to quantify the contributions of various climatic drivers to past yield variability in grain maize and winter wheat of European cropping systems (1984–2009) and drivers of climate change impacts to 2050. Results reveal that for the current genotypes and mix of irrigated and rainfed production, climate change would lead to yield losses for grain maize and gains for winter wheat. Across Europe, on average heat stress does not increase for either crop in rainfed systems, while drought stress intensifies for maize only. In low-yielding years, drought stress persists as the main driver of losses for both crops, with elevated CO2 offering no yield benefit in these years. |
Keywords | drought ; climate change |
Article Publishing Charge (APC) Funding | Project Funding |
Contains Sensitive Content | Does not contain sensitive content |
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020 | 4101. Climate change impacts and adaptation |
460207. Modelling and simulation | |
Byline Affiliations | Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Germany |
University of Bonn, Germany | |
Aarhus University, Denmark | |
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany | |
Finnish Environment Institute, Finland | |
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, United States | |
University of Montana, United States | |
University of Montpellier, France | |
Native Trait Research, France | |
University of Queensland | |
University of Florence, Italy | |
ETH Zurich, Switzerland | |
Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Hungary | |
IFAPA-Centro Alameda del Obispo, Spain | |
University of Nottingham, United Kingdom | |
Polytechnic University of Madrid, Spain | |
CNR-IBIMET, Italy | |
University of Castile-La Mancha, Spain | |
Rothamsted Research, United Kingdom | |
University of Gottingen, Germany | |
National Institute of Agricultural Research, France |
https://research.usq.edu.au/item/z78z1/diverging-importance-of-drought-stress-for-maize-and-winter-wheat-in-europe
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