Visioning 2035: the future of the higher education sector in the UK

Article

Blass, Eddie, Jasman, Anne and Shelley, Steve. 2010. "Visioning 2035: the future of the higher education sector in the UK." Futures. 42 (5), pp. 445-453. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.029

Article Title	Visioning 2035: the future of the higher education sector in the UK
ERA Journal ID	18535
Article Category	Article
Authors	Blass, Eddie (Author), Jasman, Anne (Author) and Shelley, Steve (Author)
Journal Title	Futures
Journal Citation	42 (5), pp. 445-453
Number of Pages	9
Year	2010
Publisher	Elsevier
Place of Publication	Oxford, United Kingdom
ISSN	0016-3287
	1873-6378
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.029
Web Address (URL)	http://intranet.iisd.ca/shared/administration/ic files/minisis pdfs/Blass.pdf
Abstract	The concept of 'university' has been around for centuries and yet the majority of British Universities have yet to reach their 50th birthday. The higher education sector has been through extensive change over a relatively short period of time and this is likely to continue in the future. This paper presents the results of a futures study focussed on the Higher Education sector in the UK in 10 and 25 years time. Following an extensive, broad ranging literature review covering business, education, futures, and socio-political texts and studies, a series of scenarios were developed for the future of the sector as a whole. This study differs from other studies in its field as it is does not focus on individual institutions, but rather at the environmental factors that are going to impact on the sector, setting out a range of scenarios within which institutions will need to shape their individual futures. Five scenarios are presented in this paper with their underlying driving factors, and their implications for the academic workforce being employed in the sector.
Keywords	futures; academic workforce; higher education; scenarios; scenario planning
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020	390201. Education policy
	390303. Higher education
	359999. Other commerce, management, tourism and services not elsewhere classified
Public Notes	Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions.
Byline Affiliations	University of Hertfordshire, United Kingdom
Institution of Origin	University of Southern Queensland

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