A hybrid framework: singular value decomposition and kernel ridge regression optimized using mathematical-based fine-tuning for enhancing river water level forecasting
Article
Article Title | A hybrid framework: singular value decomposition and kernel ridge regression optimized using mathematical-based fine-tuning for enhancing river water level forecasting |
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ERA Journal ID | 201487 |
Article Category | Article |
Authors | Ahmadianfar, Iman, Farooque, Aitazaz Ahsan, Ali, Mumtaz, Jamei, Mehdi, Jamei, Mozhdeh and Yaseen, Zaher Mundher |
Journal Title | Scientific Reports |
Journal Citation | 15 |
Article Number | 7596 |
Number of Pages | 34 |
Year | 2025 |
Publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
Place of Publication | United Kingdom |
ISSN | 2045-2322 |
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-90628-6 |
Web Address (URL) | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-90628-6 |
Abstract | The precise monitoring and timely alerting of river water levels represent critical measures aimed at safeguarding the well-being and assets of residents in river basins. Achieving this objective necessitates the development of highly accurate river water level forecasts. Hence, a novel hybrid model is provided, incorporating singular value decomposition (SVD) in conjunction with kernel-based ridge regression (SKRidge), multivariate variational mode decomposition (MVMD), and the light gradient boosting machine (LGBM) as a feature selection method, along with the Runge–Kutta optimization (RUN) algorithm for parameter optimization. The L-SKRidge model combines the advantages of both the SKRidge and ridge regression techniques, resulting in a more robust and accurate forecasting tool. By incorporating the linear relationship and regularization techniques of ridge regression with the flexibility and adaptability of the SKRidge algorithm, the L-SKRidge model is able to capture complex patterns in the data while also preventing overfitting. The L-SKRidge method is applied to forecast water levels in the Brook and Dunk Rivers in Canada for two distinct time horizons, specifically one- and three days ahead. Statistical criteria and data visualization tools indicates that the L-SKRidge model has superior efficiency in both the Brook (achieving R = 0.970 and RMSE = 0.051) and Dunk (with R = 0.958 and RMSE = 0.039) Rivers, surpassing the performance of other hybrid and standalone frameworks. The results show that the L-SKRidge method has an acceptable ability to provide accurate water level predictions. This capability can be of significant use to academics and policymakers as they develop innovative approaches for hydraulic control and advance sustainable water resource management. |
Keywords | Water level forecasting; Light gradient boosting machine; Kernel ridge regression; Runge–Kutta algorithm; Singular value decomposition |
Contains Sensitive Content | Does not contain sensitive content |
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020 | 461103. Deep learning |
Byline Affiliations | Behbahan Khatam Alanbia University of Technology, Iran |
University of Prince Edward Island, Canada | |
UniSQ College | |
Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Iran | |
Al-Ayen University, Iraq | |
Khuzestan Water and Power Authority, Iran | |
King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Saudi Arabia |
https://research.usq.edu.au/item/zwzvx/a-hybrid-framework-singular-value-decomposition-and-kernel-ridge-regression-optimized-using-mathematical-based-fine-tuning-for-enhancing-river-water-level-forecasting
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A hybrid framework_singular value decomposition and kernel ridge regression optimized.pdf | ||
License: CC BY 4.0 | ||
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