Centre for Applied Climate Sciences (Operations)


Latest research outputs

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Real world and tropical cyclone world. Part I: high-resolution climate model verification
Sur, Sharmila, Walsh, K. J. E., Thatcher, M., Wales, S. and Utembe, S.. 2020. "Real world and tropical cyclone world. Part I: high-resolution climate model verification." Journal of Climate. 33 (4), pp. 1455-1472. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0078.1

Article

The impact of climate change and variability on coffee production: a systematic review
Pham, Yen, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Cockfield, Geoff. 2019. "The impact of climate change and variability on coffee production: a systematic review." Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 156 (4), pp. 609-630. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02538-y

Article

Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: climatology, variability, predictability, and trends
Chand, Savin S., Dowdy, Andrew J., Ramsay, Hamish A., Walsh, Kevin J. E., Tory, Kevin J., Power, Scott B., Bell, Samuel S., Lavender, Sally L., Ye, Hua and Kuleshov, Yuri. 2019. "Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: climatology, variability, predictability, and trends." WIREs Climate Change. 10 (5), pp. 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.602

Article

Towards an economic decision support system for amelioration of soil constraints in the Northern Grains Region
Ghahramani, Afshin, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Rochecouste, John, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Roberton, Stirling, Bennett, John McLean and Cockfield, Geoff. 2018. Towards an economic decision support system for amelioration of soil constraints in the Northern Grains Region. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.

Technical report

Spatial variability in regional scale drought index insurance viability across Australia’s wheat growing regions
Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Henry, Ross, Adeyinka, Adewuyi Ayodele, Stone, Roger, Marcussen, Torben and Kouadio, Louis. 2019. "Spatial variability in regional scale drought index insurance viability across Australia’s wheat growing regions." Climate Risk Management. 24, pp. 13-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2019.04.002

Article

Forecasting the extreme rainfall, low temperatures, and strong winds associated with the northern Queensland floods of February 2019
Cowan, T., Wheeler, M. C., Alves, O., Narsey, S., de Burgh-Day, C., Griffiths, M., Jarvis, C., Cobon, D. H. and Hawcroft, M. K.. 2019. "Forecasting the extreme rainfall, low temperatures, and strong winds associated with the northern Queensland floods of February 2019." Weather and Climate Extremes. 26, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100232

Article

Hazards, food insecurity and human displacement in rural riverine Bangladesh: implications for policy
Alam, G. M. Monirul, Alam, Khorshed, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Sarker, Md Nazirul Islam and Hossain, Moazzem. 2020. "Hazards, food insecurity and human displacement in rural riverine Bangladesh: implications for policy." International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 43, pp. 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101364

Article

Probabilistic seasonal rainfall forecasts using semiparametric d-vine copula-based quantile regression
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Khan, Shahjahan. 2020. "Probabilistic seasonal rainfall forecasts using semiparametric d-vine copula-based quantile regression." Samui, Pijush, Bui, Dieu Tien, Chakraborty, Subrata and Deo, Ravinesh C. (ed.) Handbook of probabilistic models. Oxford, United Kingdom. Elsevier. pp. 203-227

Edited book (chapter)

Key risks for Australian macadamia growers and potential insurance options to manage financial losses
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod, Marcussen, Torbin, Roberts, Julian, Wilkinson, Claire, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2019. Key risks for Australian macadamia growers and potential insurance options to manage financial losses. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.

Technical report

Value of seasonal climate forecasts in reducing economic losses for grazing enterprises: Charters Towers case study
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Reardon-Smith, Kate, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cobon, David, Kodur, Shreevatsa and Stone, Roger. 2019. "Value of seasonal climate forecasts in reducing economic losses for grazing enterprises: Charters Towers case study." The Rangeland Journal. 41 (3), pp. 165-175. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ18004

Article

Sustainable production of Robusta coffee under a changing climate: a 10-year monitoring of fertilizer management in coffee farms in Vietnam and Indonesia
Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Stone, Roger. 2019. "Sustainable production of Robusta coffee under a changing climate: a 10-year monitoring of fertilizer management in coffee farms in Vietnam and Indonesia." Agronomy. 9, pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy9090499

Article

Evaluating the shifts in rainfall and pasture-growth variabilities across the pastoral zone of Australia during 1910–2010
Cobon, David, Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Jarvis, Chelsea, Carter, John, Stone, Grant and Davis, Peter. 2019. "Evaluating the shifts in rainfall and pasture-growth variabilities across the pastoral zone of Australia during 1910–2010." Crop and Pasture Science. 70 (7), pp. 634-647. https://doi.org/10.1071/CP18482

Article

Copula statistical models for analyzing stochastic dependencies of systemic drought risk and potential adaptation strategies
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Khan, Shahjahan. 2019. "Copula statistical models for analyzing stochastic dependencies of systemic drought risk and potential adaptation strategies." Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 33 (3), pp. 779-799. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-019-01662-6

Article

Marine heat waves and the influence of El Nino off southeast Queensland, Australia
Heidemann, Hanna and Ribbe, Joachim. 2019. "Marine heat waves and the influence of El Nino off southeast Queensland, Australia." Frontiers in Marine Science. 6, pp. 1-15. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00056

Article

Diverse drivers of unsustainable groundwater extraction behaviour operate in an unregulated water scarce region
Khair, Syed Muhammad, Mushtaq, Shabaz, Reardon-Smith, Kate and Ostini, Jenny. 2019. "Diverse drivers of unsustainable groundwater extraction behaviour operate in an unregulated water scarce region." Journal of Environmental Management. 236, pp. 340-350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.12.077

Article

Value of seasonal forecasting for sugarcane farm irrigation planning
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Attard, Steve, Cobon, David and Stone, Roger. 2019. "Value of seasonal forecasting for sugarcane farm irrigation planning." European Journal of Agronomy. 104, pp. 37-48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2019.01.005

Article

Recent poleward shift of tropical cyclone formation linked to Hadley cell expansion
Sur, Sharmila and Walsh, K. J. E.. 2018. "Recent poleward shift of tropical cyclone formation linked to Hadley cell expansion." Nature Climate Change. 8 (8), pp. 730-736. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0227-5

Article

Developing products for use in drought monitoring: improved crop yield and production forecasts (multi-crop models approach)
Kouadio, Louis, Marcussen, Torben and McRae, David. 2017. Developing products for use in drought monitoring: improved crop yield and production forecasts (multi-crop models approach). Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.

Project report

Crop production modelling under climate change and regional adaptation
Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben and Cockfield, Geoff. 2017. Crop production modelling under climate change and regional adaptation. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.

Project report

A systems thinking approach to water trade: finding leverage for sustainable development
Mai, Thanh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Loch, Adam, Reardon-Smith, K. and An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2019. "A systems thinking approach to water trade: finding leverage for sustainable development." Land Use Policy: the international journal covering all aspects of land use. 82, pp. 595-608. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.01.004

Article

Valuing seasonal climate forecasts in Australian agriculture: northern grains case study
Darbyshire, R., Crean, J., Kouadio, L., Cashen, M., Anwar, M. and Cobon, D.. 2018. Valuing seasonal climate forecasts in Australian agriculture: northern grains case study. Nnew South Wales, Australia. NSW Department of Primary Industries.

Technical report

An investigation of farm-scale adaptation options for cotton production in the face of future climate change and water allocation policies in southern Queensland, Australia
Williams, Allyson, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kouadio, Louis, Power, Brendan, Marcussen, Torben, McRae, David and Cockfield, Geoff. 2018. "An investigation of farm-scale adaptation options for cotton production in the face of future climate change and water allocation policies in southern Queensland, Australia." Agricultural Water Management. 196, pp. 124-132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2017.10.026

Article

History of drought management in Australia
Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Williams, Allyson, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cobon, David, McRae, David and Kouadio, Louis. 2017. "History of drought management in Australia." Eslamien, Saied and Eslamien, Faezeh (ed.) Handbook of Drought and Water Scarcity: Management of Drought and Water Scarcity. United States. CRC Press. pp. 423-448

Edited book (chapter)

Influence of socio-demographic factors on mobile phone adoption in rural Bangladesh: policy implications
Alam, G. M. Monirul, Alam, Khorshed, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Khatun, Most Nilufa and Mamun, M. S. Arifeen Khan. 2019. "Influence of socio-demographic factors on mobile phone adoption in rural Bangladesh: policy implications." Information Development: the international journal for librarians, archivists and information specialists. 35 (5), pp. 739-748. https://doi.org/10.1177/0266666918792040

Article

Tropical cyclone insurance for Queensland agriculture
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod, Stone, Roger, Marcussen, Torben, Roberts, Julian, Wilkinson, Claire, Mehmet, Russell and Henry, Ross. 2018. Tropical cyclone insurance for Queensland agriculture. University of Southern Queensland. University of Southern Queensland.

Government report

Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: summary report
Mushtaq, Shabaz, Marcussen, Torben, Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar, Stone, Roger, Roberts, Julian, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2018. Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: summary report. University of Southern Queensland.

Government report

Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: final report
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben, Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar, Stone, Roger, Roberts, Julian, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2017. Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: final report. University of Southern Queensland.

Government report

Early warning and response systems in the Pacific and Timor-Leste: How to make a lasting difference on the ground
Power, Scott, Alexander, Karen and Hoebreck, Cedric. 2019. Early warning and response systems in the Pacific and Timor-Leste: How to make a lasting difference on the ground. Australia. Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.

Other

Index insurance benefits agricultural producers exposed to excessive rainfall risk
Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Henry, Ross, Adeyinka, Adewuyi and Stone, Roger. 2018. "Index insurance benefits agricultural producers exposed to excessive rainfall risk." Weather and Climate Extremes. 22, pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.10.003

Article

Artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of Robusta coffee yield using soil fertility properties
Kouadio, Louis, Deo, Ravinesh C., Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Adamowski, Jan F., Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Nguyen, Van Phuong. 2018. "Artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of Robusta coffee yield using soil fertility properties." Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. 155, pp. 324-338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2018.10.014

Article

Drivers of food security of vulnerable rural households in Bangladesh: implications for policy and development
Alam, G. M. Monirul, Alam, Khorshed and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2018. "Drivers of food security of vulnerable rural households in Bangladesh: implications for policy and development." South Asia Economic Journal. 19 (1), pp. 43-63. https://doi.org/10.1177/1391561418761075

Article

Copula-based agricultural conditional value-at-risk modelling for geographical diversifications in wheat farming portfolio management
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Khan, Shahjahan. 2018. "Copula-based agricultural conditional value-at-risk modelling for geographical diversifications in wheat farming portfolio management." Weather and Climate Extremes. 21, pp. 76-89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.07.002

Article

Modeling the joint influence of multiple synoptic-scale, climate mode indices on Australian wheat yield using a vine copula-based approach
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, An-Vo, Duc-Anh and Khan, Shahjahan. 2018. "Modeling the joint influence of multiple synoptic-scale, climate mode indices on Australian wheat yield using a vine copula-based approach." European Journal of Agronomy. 98, pp. 65-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2018.05.006

Article

Solar, wind and geothermal energy applications in agriculture: back to the future?
Bundschuh, Jochen, Chen, Guangnan, Tomaszewska, Barbara, Ghaffour, Noreddine, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Hamawand, Ihsan, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Maraseni, Tek, Banhazi, Thomas, Mahmoudi, Hacene, Goosen, Mattheus and Antille, Diogones L.. 2017. "Solar, wind and geothermal energy applications in agriculture: back to the future?" Bundschuh, Jochen, Chen, Guangnan, Chandrasekharam, D. and Piechocki, Janusz (ed.) Geothermal, wind and solar energy applications in agriculture and aquaculture. Leiden, Netherlands. CRC Press. pp. 1-32

Textbook (chapter)

Modelling irrigated sugarcane crop under seasonal climate variability: a case study in Burdekin district
An-Vo, D.-A., Mushtaq, S. and Reardon-Smith, K.. 2017. "Modelling irrigated sugarcane crop under seasonal climate variability: a case study in Burdekin district." Syme, G., Hatton MacDonald, D., Fulton, B. and Piantadosi, J. (ed.) 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2017). Hobart, Australia 03 - 08 Dec 2017 Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand . https://doi.org/10.36334/modsim.2017.J6.anvo

Paper

Toward a stochastic precipitation generator conditioned on ENSO phase for eastern Australia
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Stone, Roger, Ngo-Cong, Duc and Marcussen, Torben. 2017. "Toward a stochastic precipitation generator conditioned on ENSO phase for eastern Australia." Syme, G., Hatton MacDonald, D., Fulton, B. and Piantadosi, J. (ed.) 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2017). Hobart, Australia 03 - 08 Dec 2017 Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand . https://doi.org/10.36334/modsim.2017.H11.anvo

Paper

Predicting water allocation trade prices using a hybrid Artificial Neural Network-Bayesian modelling approach
Nguyen-Ky, Tai, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Loch, Adam, Reardon-Smith, Kate, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Ngo-Cong, Duc and Tran-Cong, Thanh. 2018. "Predicting water allocation trade prices using a hybrid Artificial Neural Network-Bayesian modelling approach." Journal of Hydrology. 567, pp. 781-791. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.11.049

Article

Direct and indirect costs of frost in the Australian wheatbelt
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Zheng, Bangyou, Christopher, Jack T., Chapman, Scott C. and Chenu, Karine. 2018. "Direct and indirect costs of frost in the Australian wheatbelt." Ecological Economics. 150, pp. 122-136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.04.008

Article

Strategies and barriers to adaptation of hazard-prone rural households in Bangladesh
Alam, G. M. Monirul, Alam, Khorshed, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Khatun, Most Nilufa and Filho, Walter Leal. 2018. "Strategies and barriers to adaptation of hazard-prone rural households in Bangladesh." Filho, Walter Leal and Nalau, Johanna (ed.) Limits to climate change adaptation. Switzerland. Springer. pp. 11-24

Edited book (chapter)

Improving the use of climate information in decision-making
Hewitt, Chris D., Stone, Roger C. and Tait, Andrew B.. 2017. "Improving the use of climate information in decision-making." Nature Climate Change. 7 (9), pp. 614-616. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3378

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