Native pastures and beef cattle show a spatially variable response to a changing climate in Queensland, Australia
Article
Cobon, David H., Stone, Grant, Carter, John, McKeon, Greg, Zhang, Baisen and Heidemann, Hanna. 2020. "Native pastures and beef cattle show a spatially variable response to a changing climate in Queensland, Australia." European Journal of Agronomy. 114 (126002), pp. 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2020.126002
| Article Title | Native pastures and beef cattle show a spatially variable response to a changing climate in Queensland, Australia |
|---|---|
| ERA Journal ID | 5307 |
| Article Category | Article |
| Authors | Cobon, David H. (Author), Stone, Grant (Author), Carter, John (Author), McKeon, Greg (Author), Zhang, Baisen (Author) and Heidemann, Hanna (Author) |
| Journal Title | European Journal of Agronomy |
| Journal Citation | 114 (126002), pp. 1-11 |
| Number of Pages | 11 |
| Year | 2020 |
| Publisher | Elsevier |
| Place of Publication | Netherlands |
| ISSN | 1161-0301 |
| 1873-7331 | |
| Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2020.126002 |
| Web Address (URL) | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1161030120300095 |
| Abstract | Queensland's rangelands are an important source for Australia's pastoral food production. However, they are subject to significant climate variability and will be under increasing pressure as the climate changes, potentially leading to loss of productivity. Pasture growth fluctuates greatly due to rainfall variability, which unfortunately is the climate variable with the largest uncertainties in future projections for northern and eastern Australia. This sensitivity study examines the effect of climate change and its interaction with soil fertility and trees on pasture and livestock production in Queensland. Nine climate change sensitivities were tested in various combinations; an increase in air temperatures by a median projected value of +3 °C, rainfall changes of -20 %, -10 % and +10 % and an increase of carbon dioxide concentrations to 700 ppm. The GRASP model was used to assess the responses of pasture growth, pasture quality and cattle liveweight change per head. The most arid areas in western and south-western Queensland were the most sensitive to changes in rainfall. In contrast, the tropical north was the most resilient region. Southern and south-eastern Queensland benefitted from higher air temperatures producing greater pasture growth, quality and liveweight gain per head by extending the growing season and reducing frost during the winter months. The presence of trees competing for water and nitrogen increased the sensitivity of pasture to climate change, especially at higher carbon dioxide levels and lower rainfall. Increased carbon dioxide enhanced pasture growth and mitigated rainfall reductions by improving the water use efficiency of the plants. Thus, a warmer climate may create new opportunities in the south and south-east, but a warmer and drier climate in the western regions of Queensland is likely to reduce pasture and livestock production. |
| Keywords | climate variability, CO2, forage production, liveweight gain, rangelands, vulnerability |
| ANZSRC Field of Research 2020 | 380101. Agricultural economics |
| 410406. Natural resource management | |
| Public Notes | Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions. |
| Byline Affiliations | Centre for Applied Climate Sciences |
| Department of Environment and Science, Queensland | |
| Institution of Origin | University of Southern Queensland |
Permalink -
https://research.usq.edu.au/item/q5qw8/native-pastures-and-beef-cattle-show-a-spatially-variable-response-to-a-changing-climate-in-queensland-australia
254
total views7
total downloads4
views this month0
downloads this month
Export as
Related outputs
Making Australian Drought Monitor dataset findable, accessible, interoperable and reusable
Gacenga, Francis, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, McCulloch, Jillian, Young, Richard and Cobon, David. 2024. "Making Australian Drought Monitor dataset findable, accessible, interoperable and reusable." Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. 226. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2024.109381Corrigendum to “Impacts of environmental feedbacks on the production of a Central Queensland beef enterprise in a future climate” [Agricultural Systems 214 (2024) 1–13/103838]
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Cobon, David, Owens, Jo, Liedloff, Adam, Cowan, Tim and Power, Scott. 2024. "Corrigendum to “Impacts of environmental feedbacks on the production of a Central Queensland beef enterprise in a future climate” [Agricultural Systems 214 (2024) 1–13/103838] ." Agricultural Systems. 216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2024.103875Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Cobon, David H., Gaughan, John B., Marshall, Andrew G., Sharples, Wendy, McCulloch, Jillian and Jarvis, Chelsea. 2024. "Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 63 (5), pp. 645-663. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0082.1Impacts of environmental feedbacks on the production of a Central Queensland beef enterprise in a future climate
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Cobon, David, Owens, Jo, Liedloff, Adam, Cowan, Tim and Power, Scott. 2024. "Impacts of environmental feedbacks on the production of a Central Queensland beef enterprise in a future climate." Agricultural Systems. 214. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103838Applying the FAIR principles to the Drought Monitor to improve accessibility of data
Gacenga, Francis, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, McCulloch, Jillian and Cobon, David. 2024. "Applying the FAIR principles to the Drought Monitor to improve accessibility of data." 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024 Australia.Making an Agricultural Research Dataset FAIR: A case study of the Australian Drought Monitor Dataset
Gacenga, Francis, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Cobon, David, Young, Richard and McCulloch, Jillian. 2023. "Making an Agricultural Research Dataset FAIR: A case study of the Australian Drought Monitor Dataset." eResearch Australasia 2023 Conference. Brisbane, Australia 16 - 20 Oct 2023 Australia.Spatial modelling of agro-ecologically significant grassland species using the INLA-SPDE approach
Fichera, Andrew, King, Rachel, Kath, Jarrod, Cobon, David and Reardon-Smith, Kathryn. 2023. "Spatial modelling of agro-ecologically significant grassland species using the INLA-SPDE approach." Scientific Reports. 13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32077-7A drought monitor for Australia
Guillory, Laura, Pudmenzky, Christa, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Cobon, David and Stone, Roger. 2023. "A drought monitor for Australia." Environmental Modelling and Software. 170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105852Interannual and decadal variability of Australian monsoon rainfall and variability in the Pacific Ocean
Heidemann, Hanna. 2023. Interannual and decadal variability of Australian monsoon rainfall and variability in the Pacific Ocean. PhD by Publication Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland. https://doi.org/10.26192/z0140Variability and long-term change in Australian monsoon rainfall: A review
Heidemann, Hanna, Cowan, Tim, Henley, Benjamin J., Ribbe, Joachim, Freund, Mandy and Power, Scott. 2023. "Variability and long-term change in Australian monsoon rainfall: A review ." WIREs Climate Change. 14 (3). https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.823Top-predator removal does not cause trophic cascades in Australian rangeland ecosystems
Castle, Geoff, Smith, Deane, Allen, Lee R., Carter, John, Elsworth, Peter and Allen, Benjamin L.. 2022. "Top-predator removal does not cause trophic cascades in Australian rangeland ecosystems." Food Webs. 31, pp. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fooweb.2022.e00229NEXUS project: pathways for greenhouse gas emissions mitigation and climate change adaptation of Australian Livestock Industries
Cullen, Brendan R., Harrison, Matthew T., Mayberry, Dianne, Cobon, David H., An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Christie, Karen M., Bilotto, Franco, Talukder, Saranika, Perry, Lindsey, Eckard, Richard J. and Davison, Thomas M.. 2022. "NEXUS project: pathways for greenhouse gas emissions mitigation and climate change adaptation of Australian Livestock Industries." 8th International Greenhouse Gas and Animal Agriculture Conference (GGAA 2022). Orlando, United States 05 - 09 Jun 2022 Florida, United States.Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Nguyen, Hanh and Cobon, David. 2022. "Multi‑week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019." Scientific Reports. 12 (1), pp. 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09666-zThe Influence of Interannual and Decadal Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Variability on Australian Monsoon Rainfall
Heidemann, Hanna, Ribbe, Joachim, Cowan, Tim, Henley, Benjamin J., Pudmenzky, Christa, Stone, Roger and Cobon, David H.. 2022. "The Influence of Interannual and Decadal Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Variability on Australian Monsoon Rainfall." Journal of Climate. 35 (1), pp. 425-444. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0264.1Drought Outlook Products Review
Cobon, David, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Reardon-Smith, Kate. 2019. Drought Outlook Products Review. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.Methodology for producing the Drought Monitor
Pudmenzky, Christa, Guillory, Laura, Cobon, David H. and Nguyen-Huy, Thong. 2020. Methodology for producing the Drought Monitor. Toowoomba, Queensland. University of Southern Queensland.Impacts and adaptation to climate change in beef production systems in central Queensland
Cobon, D. H. and Toombs, N. R.. 2008. "Impacts and adaptation to climate change in beef production systems in central Queensland." 8th International Rangeland Congress (IGC-IRC 2008). Hohhot, China 29 Jun - 05 Jul 2008 Guangzhou, China.Impacts of climate change on regulated and non-regulated water systems in Australia. In Multifunctional grasslands in a changing world
Cobon, D. H. and Toombs, N. R.. 2008. "Impacts of climate change on regulated and non-regulated water systems in Australia. In Multifunctional grasslands in a changing world." 8th International Rangeland Congress (IGC-IRC 2008). Hohhot, China 29 Jun - 05 Jul 2008 Guangzhou, China.Practical adaptation to climate change in regional natural resource management: Queensland Case Studies – South East Queensland Western Catchments Report
Cobon, David and Toombs, Nathan. 2007. Practical adaptation to climate change in regional natural resource management: Queensland Case Studies – South East Queensland Western Catchments Report. Toowoomba, Queensland. Department of Natural Resources and Water.Practical adaptation to climate change in regional natural resource management: Queensland Case Studies – Queensland Murray Darling Basin Report
Cobon, David and Toombs, Nathan. 2007. Practical adaptation to climate change in regional natural resource management: Queensland Case Studies – Queensland Murray Darling Basin Report. Toowoomba, Queensland. Department of Natural Resources and Water.Practical adaptation to climate change in regional natural resource management: Queensland Case Studies – Desert Channels Queensland Report
Cobon, David and Toombs, Nathan. 2007. Practical adaptation to climate change in regional natural resource management: Queensland Case Studies – Desert Channels Queensland Report. Toowoomba, Queensland. Department of Natural Resources and Water.Practical Adaptation to Climate Change in Regional Natural Resource Management: Queensland Case Studies – Fitzroy Basin Report – Part B
Cobon, David, Toombs, Nathan and Zhang, Xike. 2007. Practical Adaptation to Climate Change in Regional Natural Resource Management: Queensland Case Studies – Fitzroy Basin Report – Part B. Toowoomba, Queensland. Department of Natural Resources and Water.Northern Australia Climate Program: supporting adaptation in rangeland grazing systems through more targeted climate forecasts, improved drought information and an innovative extension program
Cobon, David, Jarvis, Chelsea, Reardon-Smith, Kate, Guillory, Laura, Pudmenzky, Christa, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Stone, Roger. 2021. "Northern Australia Climate Program: supporting adaptation in rangeland grazing systems through more targeted climate forecasts, improved drought information and an innovative extension program." The Rangeland Journal. 43 (3), pp. 87-100. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ20074Queensland’s multi-year Wet and Dry periods: implications for grazing enterprises and pasture resources
McKeon, G., Stone, R., Ahrens, D., Cobon, D., Irvine, S. and Syktus, J.. 2021. "Queensland’s multi-year Wet and Dry periods: implications for grazing enterprises and pasture resources." The Rangeland Journal. 43 (3), pp. 121-142. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ20089Drought outlook validation using ACCESS-S2 hindcast
Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Cobon, David. 2022. Drought outlook validation using ACCESS-S2 hindcast. Northern Australia Climate Program (NACP).The Northern Australia Climate Program: Overview and Selected Highlights
Lavender, Sally L., Cowan, Tim, Hawcroft, Matthew, Wheeler, Matthew C., Jarvis, Chelsea, Cobon, David, Nguyen, Hanh, Hudson, Debra, Sharmila, S., Marshall, Andrew G., de Burgh-Day, Catherine, Milton, Sean, Stirling, Alison, Alves, Oscar and Hendon, Harry H.. 2022. "The Northern Australia Climate Program: Overview and Selected Highlights." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103 (11), pp. E2492-E2505. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0309.1