NEXUS project: pathways for greenhouse gas emissions mitigation and climate change adaptation of Australian Livestock Industries

Paper


Cullen, Brendan R., Harrison, Matthew T., Mayberry, Dianne, Cobon, David H., An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Christie, Karen M., Bilotto, Franco, Talukder, Saranika, Perry, Lindsey, Eckard, Richard J. and Davison, Thomas M.. 2022. "NEXUS project: pathways for greenhouse gas emissions mitigation and climate change adaptation of Australian Livestock Industries." 8th International Greenhouse Gas and Animal Agriculture Conference (GGAA 2022). Orlando, United States 05 - 09 Jun 2022 Florida, United States.
Paper/Presentation Title

NEXUS project: pathways for greenhouse gas emissions mitigation and climate change adaptation of Australian Livestock Industries

Presentation TypePaper
AuthorsCullen, Brendan R. (Author), Harrison, Matthew T. (Author), Mayberry, Dianne (Author), Cobon, David H. (Author), An-Vo, Duc-Anh (Author), Christie, Karen M. (Author), Bilotto, Franco (Author), Talukder, Saranika (Author), Perry, Lindsey (Author), Eckard, Richard J. (Author) and Davison, Thomas M. (Author)
Journal or Proceedings Title8th International Greenhouse Gas and Animal Agriculture Conference (GGAA 2022)
Number of Pages1
Year2022
Place of PublicationFlorida, United States
Web Address (URL) of Paperhttps://conference.ifas.ufl.edu/ggaa/
Conference/Event8th International Greenhouse Gas and Animal Agriculture Conference (GGAA 2022)
Event Details
8th International Greenhouse Gas and Animal Agriculture Conference (GGAA 2022)
Event Date
05 to end of 09 Jun 2022
Event Location
Orlando, United States
Abstract

Australian sheep and beef production systems face the dual challenges of reducing net greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to a warmer climate with changing rainfall patterns. The 'Nexus project' is exploring pathways for livestock production systems to meet these challenges using farm systems modelling approaches. The objective of this component of the project was to estimate the GHG emissions intensity (GHG EI) from sheep and beef farms. Seven case study farms in eastern Australia were investigated across a diverse range of agroecological zones from the high rainfall, cool-temperate climate in Tasmania through to the arid, tropical region of northern Queensland. The production systems were one sheep-only farm (Midlands, Tasmania), three beef-only farms (north-west Tasmania, central Queensland and northern Queensland) and three mixed sheep and beef farms (Gippsland Victoria, northern Victoria and central New South Wales). Data on current farm management and production was collected through interviews with farm managers and used to estimate GHG EI using the Australian National Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report methodology. For sheep production, emissions were partitioned between meat and wool using the protein allocation method. Results were expressed as tonnes carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2 e) per tonne of production sold (liveweight for beef and sheep meat, and greasy wool). GHG EI of beef production ranged from 9.8-15 t CO 2 e/t liveweight sold, with the lowest value on the farm in northwest Tasmania and the highest value in the central Queensland. For sheep production, the GHG EI of meat production ranged from 5.3-8.7 t CO2 e/t liveweight sold and wool production from 19.7-31.0 t CO2 e/t greasy wool sold. In general sheep and beef production GHG EI's were lower where the reproduction rates were higher. Further research will investigate options to reduce both total GHG and GHG EI using combinations of mitigation and sequestration opportunities on-farm.

Keywordsgreenhouse gas emissions, livestock, climate change, cattle, beef, dairy, America, Australia, trees, pastures, red meat, meat consumption, net zero, carbon neutral, soil carbon, carbon capture, extreme weather event, adaptation, mitigation, methane
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020410199. Climate change impacts and adaptation not elsewhere classified
300302. Animal management
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Byline AffiliationsUniversity of Melbourne
University of Tasmania
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Australia
Centre for Applied Climate Sciences
Department of Agriculture and Fisheries, Queensland
University of New England
Institution of OriginUniversity of Southern Queensland
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Jarvis, C., Darbyshire, R., Eckard, R., Goodwin, I. and Barlow, E.. 2018. "Influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole on winegrape maturity in Australia ." Agriculture and Forest Meteorology. 248, pp. 502-510. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.10.021
Climate change impact and adaptation in agricultural systems of Australia and Brazil
Ghahramani, Afshin, Berndt, Alexandre, Cobon, David, Banhazi, Thomas and Ji, Boyu. 2017. "Climate change impact and adaptation in agricultural systems of Australia and Brazil." Parapinski, Marina, Carbonare, Maryon Strack Dalle and Schmidt, Patrick (ed.) 54th Annual Meeting of the Brazilian Society of Animal Science: A new View of Animal Science: Challenges and Perspectives. Foz do Iguacu, Brasil 24 - 28 Jun 2017 Foz do Iguacu, Brazil.
Numerical modelling of moisture motion in heterogeneous soils using 1D-MIRBF method
Ngo-Cong, Duc, An-Vo, Duc-Anh and Nguyen-Ky, Tai. 2014. "Numerical modelling of moisture motion in heterogeneous soils using 1D-MIRBF method." 2nd Digital Rural Futures Conference 2014. Toowoomba, Australia 25 - 27 Jun 2014
Estimating the value of conjunctive water use at a system-level using nonlinear programming model
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Reardon-Smith, Kathryn. 2014. "Estimating the value of conjunctive water use at a system-level using nonlinear programming model." 2nd Digital Rural Futures Conference 2014. Toowoomba, Australia 25 - 27 Jun 2014 Australia.
Forecasting water market prices in the Murray-Darling basin using Hybrid Artificial Neural Network (ANN) - Bayesian Modelling Approach
Nguyen-Ky, Tai, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, An-Vo, Duc-Anh and Ngo-Cong, Duc. 2014. "Forecasting water market prices in the Murray-Darling basin using Hybrid Artificial Neural Network (ANN) - Bayesian Modelling Approach." 2nd Digital Rural Futures Conference 2014. Toowoomba, Australia 25 - 27 Jun 2014
Relationship between viticultural climatic indices and grape maturity in Australia
Jarvis, C., Barlow, E., Darbyshire, R., Eckard, R. and Goodwin, I.. 2017. "Relationship between viticultural climatic indices and grape maturity in Australia." International Journal of Biometeorology: the description, causes, and implications of climatic change. 61 (10), pp. 1849-1862. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-017-1370-9
Economic assessment of various levels of improved wheat post head-emergence frost (PHEF) tolerance breeding options: final technical report
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Stone, Roger C., Christopher, Mandy, Chenu, Karine, Christopher, Jack T., Frederiks, Troy M., Zheng, Bangyou and Chapman, Scott. 2016. Economic assessment of various levels of improved wheat post head-emergence frost (PHEF) tolerance breeding options: final technical report. Australia. Grains Research and Development Corporation.
Investigating the value of seasonal climate forecast for beef grazing enterprises: Charters Towers case study
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Reardon-Smith, Kate, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cobon, David, Kodur, Shreevatsa and Stone, Roger. 2017. "Investigating the value of seasonal climate forecast for beef grazing enterprises: Charters Towers case study." 19th Biennial Conference of the Australian Rangeland Society. Port Augusta, Australia 25 - 28 Sep 2017 Australia.
Modelling irrigated sugarcane crop under seasonal climate variability: a case study in Burdekin district
An-Vo, D.-A., Mushtaq, S. and Reardon-Smith, K.. 2017. "Modelling irrigated sugarcane crop under seasonal climate variability: a case study in Burdekin district." Syme, G., Hatton MacDonald, D., Fulton, B. and Piantadosi, J. (ed.) 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2017). Hobart, Australia 03 - 08 Dec 2017 Hobart, Tasmania, Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand .
Toward a stochastic precipitation generator conditioned on ENSO phase for eastern Australia
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Stone, Roger, Ngo-Cong, Duc and Marcussen, Torben. 2017. "Toward a stochastic precipitation generator conditioned on ENSO phase for eastern Australia." Syme, G., Hatton MacDonald, D., Fulton, B. and Piantadosi, J. (ed.) 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2017). Hobart, Australia 03 - 08 Dec 2017 Hobart, Tasmania, Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand .
A generalised finite difference scheme based on compact integrated radial basis function for flow in heterogeneous soils
Ngo-Cong, D., Tien, C.M.T., Nguyen-Ky, T., An-Vo, D.-A., Mai-Duy, N., Strunin, D. V. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2017. "A generalised finite difference scheme based on compact integrated radial basis function for flow in heterogeneous soils." International Journal for Numerical Methods in Fluids. 85 (7), pp. 404-429. https://doi.org/10.1002/fld.4386
A marginal abatement cost analysis of practice options related to the NLMP program
Cotter, Julie, Glass, Roderick, Black, John, Madden, Patrick and Davison, Tom. 2015. A marginal abatement cost analysis of practice options related to the NLMP program. Australia. Meat & Livestock Australia.
Economic assessment of wheat breeding options for potential improved levels of post head-emergence frost tolerance
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Christopher, Mandy, Zheng, Bangyou, Chenu, Karine, Chapman, Scott C., Christopher, Jack T., Stone, Roger C., Frederiks, Troy M. and Alam, G. M. Monirul. 2017. "Economic assessment of wheat breeding options for potential improved levels of post head-emergence frost tolerance." Field Crops Research. 213, pp. 75-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2017.07.021
Risk matrix approach useful in adapting agriculture to climate change
Cobon, David H., Williams, Allyson A. J., Power, Brendan, McRae, David and Davis, Peter. 2016. "Risk matrix approach useful in adapting agriculture to climate change." Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 138 (1-2), pp. 173-189. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1732-z
Food shortages are associated with droughts, floods, frosts and ENSO in Papua New Guinea
Cobon, David H., Ewai, Maureen, Inape, Kasis and Bourke, R. Michael. 2016. "Food shortages are associated with droughts, floods, frosts and ENSO in Papua New Guinea." Agricultural Systems. 145, pp. 150-164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2016.02.012
Responses of nitrogen utilization and apparent nitrogen loss to different control measures in the wheat and maize rotation sytsem
Peng, Zhengping, Liu, Yanan, Li, Yingchun, Abawi, Yahya, Wang, Yanqun, Men, Minxin and An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2017. "Responses of nitrogen utilization and apparent nitrogen loss to different control measures in the wheat and maize rotation sytsem." Frontiers in Plant Science. 8, pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2017.00160
Sheep greenhouse gas emission intensities under different management practices, climate zones and enterprise types
Cottle, D. J., Harrison, M. T. and Ghahramani, A.. 2016. "Sheep greenhouse gas emission intensities under different management practices, climate zones and enterprise types." Animal Production Science. 56 (3), pp. 507-518. https://doi.org/10.1071/AN15327
Potential international markets for GM reproductive frost management technologies for wheat: cost-benefit analysis - final technical report
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Christopher, Mandy and An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2016. Potential international markets for GM reproductive frost management technologies for wheat: cost-benefit analysis - final technical report. Australia. Grains Research and Development Corporation.
Evaluating the accuracy of the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) simulating growth, development, and herbage nutritive characteristics of forage crops grown in the south-eastern dairy regions of Australia
Pembleton, K. G., Rawnsley, R. P., Jacobs, J. L., Mickan, F. J., O'Brien, G. N., Cullen, B. R. and Ramilan, T.. 2013. "Evaluating the accuracy of the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) simulating growth, development, and herbage nutritive characteristics of forage crops grown in the south-eastern dairy regions of Australia." Crop and Pasture Science. 64 (2), pp. 147-164. https://doi.org/10.1071/CP12372
A review of stochastic description of the turbulence effect on bubble-particle interactions in flotation
Nguyen, Anh V., An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Tran-Cong, Thanh and Evans, Geoffrey M.. 2016. "A review of stochastic description of the turbulence effect on bubble-particle interactions in flotation." International Journal of Mineral Processing. 156, pp. 75-86. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.minpro.2016.05.002
Modelling the resilience of forage crop production to future climate change in the dairy regions of southeastern Australia using APSIM
Pembleton, K. G., Cullen, B. R., Rawnsley, R. P., Harrison, M. T. and Ramilan, T.. 2016. "Modelling the resilience of forage crop production to future climate change in the dairy regions of southeastern Australia using APSIM." The Journal of Agricultural Science. 154 (7), pp. 1131-1152. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859615001185
Estimating the value of conjunctive water use at a system-level using nonlinear programing model
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Reardon-Smith, Kathryn. 2015. "Estimating the value of conjunctive water use at a system-level using nonlinear programing model." Journal of Economic and Social Policy. 17 (2), pp. [163]-[182].
Economic impact of frost in the Australian wheatbelt
An-Vo, D.-A., Mushtaq, S., Zheng, B., Christopher, J. T., Chapman, S. and Chenu, K.. 2015. "Economic impact of frost in the Australian wheatbelt." Tropical Agriculture Conference 2015: Meeting the Productivity Challenge in the Tropics (TropAg2015). Brisbane, Australia 16 - 18 Nov 2015
Nonlinear Optimisation Using Production Functions to Estimate Economic Benefit of Conjunctive Water Use for Multicrop Production
An-Vo, D.-A., Mushtaq, S., Nguyen-Ky, T., Bundschuh, J., Tran-Cong, T., Maraseni, T. N. and Reardon-Smith, K.. 2015. "Nonlinear Optimisation Using Production Functions to Estimate Economic Benefit of Conjunctive Water Use for Multicrop Production." Water Resources Management. 29 (7), pp. 2153-2170. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-0933-y
El Nino southern oscillation based rainfall forecasts in southern Africa. II. daily forecasts could help summer planting decisions in Zimbabwe
Cobon, D. H., Unganai, L. S. and Clewett, J. F.. 2003. "El Nino southern oscillation based rainfall forecasts in southern Africa. II. daily forecasts could help summer planting decisions in Zimbabwe." Allsopp, N., Palmer, A. R., Milton, S. J., Kirkman, K. P., Kerley, G. I. H., Hurt, C. R. and Brown, C. J. (ed.) 7th International Rangelands Congress 2003: Rangelands in the New Millennium . Durban, South Africa 26 Jul - 01 Aug 2003 Durban, South Africa.
El Nino southern oscillation based rainfall forecasts in southern Africa. 1. seasonal forecasts can help communal farmers manage drought
Cobon, D. H., Unganai, L. S. and Clewett, J. F.. 2003. "El Nino southern oscillation based rainfall forecasts in southern Africa. 1. seasonal forecasts can help communal farmers manage drought." Allsopp, N., Palmer, A. R., Milton, S. J., Kirkman, K. P., Kerley, G. I. H., Hurt, C. R. and Brown, C. J. (ed.) 7th International Rangelands Congress 2003: Rangelands in the New Millennium . Durban, South Africa 26 Jul - 01 Aug 2003 Durban, South Africa.
Climate change impacts on Australia's rangeland livestock carrying capacity: a review of issues
McKeon, G. M., Stone, G. S., Syktus, J. I., Carter, J. O., Flood, N. R., Ahrens, D. G., Bruget, D. N., Chilcott, C. R., Cobon, D. H., Cowley, R. A., Crimp, S. J., Fraser, G. W., Howden, S. M., Johnston, P. W., Ryan, J. G., Stokes, C. J. and Day, K. A.. 2009. "Climate change impacts on Australia's rangeland livestock carrying capacity: a review of issues." The Rangeland Journal. 31 (1), pp. 1-29. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ08068
Climate information needs of Gascoyne-Murchison pastoralists: a representative study of the Western Australian grazing industry
Keogh, D. U., Watson, I. W., Bell, K. L., Cobon, D. H. and Dutta, S. C.. 2005. "Climate information needs of Gascoyne-Murchison pastoralists: a representative study of the Western Australian grazing industry." Animal Production Science. 45 (12), pp. 1613-1625. https://doi.org/10.1071/EA04275
Formative evaluation to benchmark and improve climate-based decision support for graziers in western Queensland
Keogh, D. U., Bell, K. L., Park, J. N. and Cobon, D, H.. 2004. "Formative evaluation to benchmark and improve climate-based decision support for graziers in western Queensland." Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture. 44, pp. 233-246. https://doi.org/10.1071/EA01204
The climate change risk management matrix for the grazing industry of northern Australia
Cobon, David H., Stone, Grant S., Carter, John O., Scanlan, Joe C., Toombs, Nathan R., Zhang, Xike, Willcocks, Jacqui and McKeon, Greg M.. 2009. "The climate change risk management matrix for the grazing industry of northern Australia." The Rangeland Journal. 31 (1), pp. 31-49. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ08069
Forecasting rainfall based on the Southern Oscillation Index phases at longer lead-times in Australia
Cobon, David H. and Toombs, Nathan R.. 2013. "Forecasting rainfall based on the Southern Oscillation Index phases at longer lead-times in Australia." The Rangeland Journal. 35 (4), pp. 373-383. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ12105
Summative evaluation of climate application activities with pastoralists in western Queensland
Cobon, D. H., Bell, K. L., Park, J. N. and Keogh, D. U.. 2008. "Summative evaluation of climate application activities with pastoralists in western Queensland." The Rangeland Journal. 30 (3), pp. 361-374. https://doi.org/10.1071/RJ06030
ADI method based on C2-continuous two-node integrated-RBF elements for viscous flows
An-Vo, D.-A., Mai-Duy, N., Tran, C.-D. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2013. "ADI method based on C2-continuous two-node integrated-RBF elements for viscous flows." Applied Mathematical Modelling: simulation and computation for engineering and environmental systems. 37 (7), pp. 5184-5203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2012.10.034
Simulation of Newtonian-fluid flows with C2-continuous two-node integrated-RBF elements
An-Vo, D.-A., Mai-Duy, N. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2010. "Simulation of Newtonian-fluid flows with C2-continuous two-node integrated-RBF elements." Structural Longevity. 4 (1), pp. 39-45. https://doi.org/10.3970/sl.2010.004.039
RBF computation of multiscale elliptic problems [Keynote paper]
An-Vo, D.-A., Tran, C.-D., Mai-Duy, N. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2012. "RBF computation of multiscale elliptic problems [Keynote paper]." Atluri, S. N., Vusanovic, I. and Sarler, B. (ed.) 8th ICCES Special Symposium on Meshless & Other Novel Computational Methods (ICCES MM 2012). Budva, Montenegro 02 - 06 Sep 2012 Montenegro.
Modeling strain localisation in a segmented bar by a C2-continuous two-node integrated-RBF element formulation
An-Vo, D.-A., Mai-Duy, N., Tran, C.-D. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2012. "Modeling strain localisation in a segmented bar by a C2-continuous two-node integrated-RBF element formulation." Brebbia, C. A. and Poljak, D. (ed.) 34th International Conference on Boundary Elements and other Mesh Reduction Methods (BEM/MRM 2012). Split, Croatia 25 - 27 Jun 2012 United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.2495/BE120011
RBF-based multiscale control volume method for second order elliptic problems with oscillatory coefficients
An-Vo, D.-A., Tran, C.-D., Mai-Duy, N. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2012. "RBF-based multiscale control volume method for second order elliptic problems with oscillatory coefficients." CMES Computer Modeling in Engineering and Sciences. 89 (4), pp. 303-359. https://doi.org/10.3970/cmes.2012.089.303
Impact of grazing on the silage yield of forage oat crops
Pembleton, Keith G., Harrison, Matthew T. and Rawnsley, Richard P.. 2013. "Impact of grazing on the silage yield of forage oat crops." 22nd International Grassland Congress: Revitalising Grasslands to Sustain Our Communities. Sydney, Australia 15 - 19 Sep 2013 Australia.
Early sowing and irrigating of rape crops in cool temperate environments boosts forage yield potential
Harrison, Matthew T., Pembleton, Keith G. and Rawnsley, Richard P.. 2013. "Early sowing and irrigating of rape crops in cool temperate environments boosts forage yield potential." 22nd International Grassland Congress: Revitalising Grasslands to Sustain Our Communities. Sydney, Australia 15 - 19 Sep 2013 Australia.
C2-Element radial basis function methods for some continuum mechanics problems
An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2013. C2-Element radial basis function methods for some continuum mechanics problems. PhD Thesis Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland.
IRBFN-based multiscale solution of a model 1D elliptic equation
An-Vo, D.-A., Tran, C.-D., Mai-Duy, N. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2011. "IRBFN-based multiscale solution of a model 1D elliptic equation." Brebbia, C. A. and Popov, V. (ed.) 33rd International Conference on Boundary Elements and other Mesh Reduction Methods (BEM/MRM 2011). New Forest, United Kingdom 28 - 30 Jun 2011 Southampton, United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.2495/BE110211
An integrated RBFN-based macro-micro multi-scale method for computation of visco-elastic fluid flows
Tran, C.-D., An-Vo, D.-A., Mai-Duy, N. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2011. "An integrated RBFN-based macro-micro multi-scale method for computation of visco-elastic fluid flows." CMES Computer Modeling in Engineering and Sciences. 82 (2), pp. 137-162. https://doi.org/10.3970/cmes.2011.082.137
High-order upwind methods based on C2-continuous two-node integrated-RBF elements for viscous flows
An-Vo, D. A., Mai-Duy, N. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2011. "High-order upwind methods based on C2-continuous two-node integrated-RBF elements for viscous flows." CMES Computer Modeling in Engineering and Sciences. 80 (2), pp. 141-177. https://doi.org/10.3970/cmes.2011.080.141
A C2-continuous control-volume technique based on cartesian grids and two-node integrated-RBF elements for second-order elliptic problems
An-Vo, D. A., Mai-Duy, N. and Tran-Cong, T.. 2011. "A C2-continuous control-volume technique based on cartesian grids and two-node integrated-RBF elements for second-order elliptic problems." CMES Computer Modeling in Engineering and Sciences. 72 (4), pp. 299-334. https://doi.org/10.3970/cmes.2011.072.299