The impact of climate change and variability on coffee production: a systematic review
Article
Article Title | The impact of climate change and variability on coffee production: a systematic review |
---|---|
ERA Journal ID | 1965 |
Article Category | Article |
Authors | Pham, Yen (Author), Reardon-Smith, Kathryn (Author), Mushtaq, Shahbaz (Author) and Cockfield, Geoff (Author) |
Journal Title | Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change |
Journal Citation | 156 (4), pp. 609-630 |
Number of Pages | 22 |
Year | 2019 |
Publisher | Springer |
Place of Publication | Netherlands |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
1573-1480 | |
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02538-y |
Web Address (URL) | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-019-02538-y |
Abstract | Coffee is one of the most important globally traded commodities and substantially contributes to the livelihoods of millions of smallholders worldwide. As a climate-sensitive perennial crop, coffee is likely to be highly susceptible to changes in climate. Using a systematic approach, we explore evidence from the published academic literature of the influence of climate change and variability, specifically drought, on coffee production. A number of mostly negative impacts were reported in the current literature, including declines in coffee yield, loss of coffee-optimal areas with significant impacts on major global coffee-producing countries and growth in the distribution of pest and disease that indirectly influence coffee cultivation. Current research also identified positive effects of climate change such as increases in coffee-producing niche, particularly in areas at higher altitudes; however, whether these gains might offset losses from other production areas requires further investigation. Other advantages include increases in pollination services and the beneficial effects of elevated carbon concentration, leading to potential yield improvements. Future priorities should focus on major coffee-growing regions projected to be adversely affected by climate change, with specific attention given to potential adaptation strategies tailored to particular farming conditions such as relocation of coffee plantations to more climatically suitable areas, irrigation and agroforestry. The majority of studies were based in the Americas and concentrated on Arabica coffee. A broader spread of research is therefore required, especially for the large growing regions in Asia and for Robusta coffee, to support sustainable production of the global coffee industry. |
Keywords | agroforestry, adaptive management, climate change, coffee, crop production, crop yield, coffee plantation, carbon concentrations, sustainable production, systematic review |
Contains Sensitive Content | Does not contain sensitive content |
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020 | 300207. Agricultural systems analysis and modelling |
410404. Environmental management | |
300402. Agro-ecosystem function and prediction | |
Public Notes | Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions. |
Byline Affiliations | Centre for Applied Climate Sciences |
Centre for Sustainable Agricultural Systems | |
Institution of Origin | University of Southern Queensland |
Funding source | Grant ID USQ |
Funding source | Grant ID IKI |
https://research.usq.edu.au/item/q58q6/the-impact-of-climate-change-and-variability-on-coffee-production-a-systematic-review
443
total views11
total downloads5
views this month0
downloads this month
Export as
Related outputs
Exploring domains of contemporary Australian agrarianism
Peel, Dominic, Berry, Helen L., Botterill, Linda Courtenay and Cockfield, Geoff. 2023. "Exploring domains of contemporary Australian agrarianism." Journal of Sociology. 59 (2), pp. 385-402. https://doi.org/10.1177/14407833211044772Early flowering changes robusta coffee yield responses to climate stress and managementv
Kath, Jarrod, Byrareddy, Vivekananda Mittahalli, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn and Mushtaq, Shahbaz. 2023. "Early flowering changes robusta coffee yield responses to climate stress and managementv." Science of the Total Environment. 856 (Part 1), pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158836Effects of climate-smart agricultural practices on crop yields, soil carbon, and nitrogen pools in Africa: a meta-analysis
Kichamu-Wachira, Edith, Xu, Zhihong, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Biggs, Duan, Wachira, Geoffrey and Omidvar, Negar. 2021. "Effects of climate-smart agricultural practices on crop yields, soil carbon, and nitrogen pools in Africa: a meta-analysis." Journal of Soils and Sediments: protection, risk assessment and remediation. 21 (4), pp. 1587-1597. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11368-021-02885-3Innovations for a climate resilient sustainable agricultural sector
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Reardon-Smith, Kathryn. 2022. "Innovations for a climate resilient sustainable agricultural sector." The Australian Farmer: A Digital Publication and Knowledge Tool for the Forward-Thinking Farmer. II, pp. 237-238.Willingness to Pay for Weather-Indexed Insurance: Evidence from Cambodian Rice Farmers
Wang, Qingxia, Soksophors, Yim, Barlis, Angelica, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Phanna, Khieng, Swaans, Cornelis and Rodulfo, Danny. 2022. "Willingness to Pay for Weather-Indexed Insurance: Evidence from Cambodian Rice Farmers." Sustainability. 14 (21), pp. 1-17. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142114558Vapour pressure deficit determines critical thresholds for global coffee production under climate change
Kath, Jarrod, Craparo, Alessandro, Fong, Youyi, Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Davis, Aaron P., King, Rachel, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, van Asten, Piet J. A., Marcussen, Torben, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Stone, Roger and Power, Scott. 2022. "Vapour pressure deficit determines critical thresholds for global coffee production under climate change." Nature Food. 3, pp. 871-880. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00614-8An Assessment of Selective Logging Policies and Practices in Nepal
Poudyal, Bishnu H., Maraseni, Tek N., Aryal, Suman and Cockfield, Geoff. 2022. "An Assessment of Selective Logging Policies and Practices in Nepal." Timsina, Jagadish, Maraseni, Tek N., Gauchan, Devendra, Adhikari, Jagannath and Ojha, Hemant (ed.) Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Security: Lessons from Nepal. Cham, Switzerland. Springer. pp. 357-374Changes in Transhumance Systems in Nepal: Analysing Socio-ecological Impacts Using Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response Framework
Aryal, Suman, Maraseni, Tek N. and Cockfield, Geoff. 2022. "Changes in Transhumance Systems in Nepal: Analysing Socio-ecological Impacts Using Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response Framework." Timsina, Jadadish, Maraseni, Tek N., Gauchan, Devendra, Adhikari, Jagannath and Ojha, Hemant (ed.) Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Security: Lessons from Nepal. Cham, Switzerland. Springer. pp. 297-314Groundwater-surface water interactions at wetland interface: Advancement in catchment system modeling
Rafiei, Vahid, Nejadhashemi, A. Pouyan, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Bailey, Ryan T. and An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2022. "Groundwater-surface water interactions at wetland interface: Advancement in catchment system modeling." Environmental Modelling and Software. 152, pp. 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105407Efficient water management and irrigation on farms
Reardon-Smith, K., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Scobie, M., Eberhard, J. and Maraseni, T. N.. 2022. "Efficient water management and irrigation on farms." Sims, Ralph E. H. (ed.) Energy-smart farming: efficiency, renewable energy and sustainability. United Kingdom. Burleigh Dodds Science Publishing Limited. pp. 102-134A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Nagler, Thomas, Khaung, Ye, Aung, Thee Su Su, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben and Stone, Roger. 2022. "A satellite-based Standardized Antecedent Precipitation Index (SAPI) for mapping extreme rainfall risk in Myanmar." Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment. 26, pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2022.100733Nuanced assessment of livelihood resilience through the intersectional lens of gender and ethnicity: evidence from small-scale farming communities in the upland regions of Vietnam
Tran, Van Thanh, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Cockfield, Geoff. 2022. "Nuanced assessment of livelihood resilience through the intersectional lens of gender and ethnicity: evidence from small-scale farming communities in the upland regions of Vietnam." Journal of Rural Studies. 92, pp. 68-78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2022.03.011An improved calibration technique to address high dimensionality and non-linearity in integrated groundwater and surface water models
Rafiei, Vahid, Nejadhashemi, A. Pouyan, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Bailey, Ryan T. and An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2022. "An improved calibration technique to address high dimensionality and non-linearity in integrated groundwater and surface water models." Environmental Modelling and Software. 149, pp. 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105312Drought Outlook Products Review
Cobon, David, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Reardon-Smith, Kate. 2019. Drought Outlook Products Review. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.A framework for assessing the value of seasonal climate forecasting in key agricultural decisions
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Radanielson, Ando Mariot, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Reardon-Smith, Kate and Hewitt, Chris. 2021. "A framework for assessing the value of seasonal climate forecasting in key agricultural decisions." Climate Services. 22, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100234Coping with drought: Lessons learned from robusta coffee growers in Vietnam
Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Stone, Roger. 2021. "Coping with drought: Lessons learned from robusta coffee growers in Vietnam." Climate Services. 22, pp. 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100229Globalisation and traditional social-ecological systems: Understanding impacts of tourism and labour migration to the transhumance systems in the Himalayas
Aryal, Suman, Cockfield, Geoff and Maraseni, Tek Narayan. 2018. "Globalisation and traditional social-ecological systems: Understanding impacts of tourism and labour migration to the transhumance systems in the Himalayas." Environmental Development. 25, pp. 73-84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envdev.2017.09.001