Climatology and Variability of the Evaporative Stress Index and its suitability as a tool to monitor Australian drought
Article
Article Title | Climatology and Variability of the Evaporative Stress Index and its suitability as a tool to monitor Australian drought |
---|---|
ERA Journal ID | 35134 |
Article Category | Article |
Authors | Nguyen, Hanh (Author), Otkin, Jason A. (Author), Wheeler, Matthew C. (Author), Hope, Pandora (Author), Trewin, Blair (Author) and Pudmenzky, Christa (Author) |
Journal Title | Journal of Hydrometeorology |
Journal Citation | 21 (10), pp. 2309-2324 |
Number of Pages | 16 |
Year | 2020 |
Publisher | American Meteorological Society |
Place of Publication | United States |
ISSN | 1525-7541 |
1525-755X | |
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0042.1 |
Web Address (URL) | https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/21/10/jhmD200042.xml |
Abstract | The seasonal cycle of the Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) over Australia, and its relationship to observed rainfall and temperature, is examined. The ESI is defined as the standardized anomaly of the ratio of actual evapotranspiration to potential evapotranspiration, and as such, is a measure of vegetation moisture stress associated with agricultural or ecological drought. The ESI is computed using the daily output of version 6 of the Bureau of Meteorology's landscape water balance model (AWRA-L v6) on a 5 km horizontal grid over a 45-year period (1975-2019). Here we show that the ESI exhibits marked spatial and seasonal variability and can be used to accurately monitor drought across Australia. Values less than negative one indicate drought. While the ESI is highly correlated with rainfall as expected, its relationship with temperature only becomes significant during the warmer seasons, suggesting a threshold above which temperature may affect vegetation stress. Our analysis also shows that the ESI tends to be strongly negative (i.e. indicating drought) during El Niño and positive phases of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), when conditions tend to be anomalously hot and dry. A negative phase of the Southern Annular Mode also tends to drive negative ESI values during austral spring with a one-month delay. |
Keywords | Evaporative Stress Index (ESI); Australia; rainfall; temperature; drought |
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020 | 370108. Meteorology |
300206. Agricultural spatial analysis and modelling | |
370202. Climatology | |
300202. Agricultural land management | |
Byline Affiliations | Australian Bureau of Meteorology |
University of Wisconsin-Madison, United States | |
Centre for Applied Climate Sciences | |
Institution of Origin | University of Southern Queensland |
https://research.usq.edu.au/item/q5x8y/climatology-and-variability-of-the-evaporative-stress-index-and-its-suitability-as-a-tool-to-monitor-australian-drought
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