The imperative of strategic foresight to strategic thinking

Article

van der Laan, Luke. 2008. "The imperative of strategic foresight to strategic thinking." Journal of Futures Studies. 13 (1), pp. 21-42.
Article Title

The imperative of strategic foresight to strategic thinking

ERA Journal ID21975
Article CategoryArticle
Authors
Authorvan der Laan, Luke
Journal TitleJournal of Futures Studies
Journal Citation13 (1), pp. 21-42
Number of Pages22
Year2008
Place of PublicationTaipei, Taiwan
ISSN1027-6084
Web Address (URL)http://jfsdigital.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/131-A02.pdf
Abstract

An apparent gap in mainstream strategy literature points to questions relating to the role and competencies of leaders in strategy making. An initial investigation reveals that turbulent change and growing environmental uncertainty demands leadership intuition and skills that are able to anticipate aspects of the future, provide enabling environments significantly different to the recent past and to provide direction for a dynamic 'living organisational strategy'. The paper explores the relation between neuroses of thinking about the future, the roles of leaders, strategic foresight and their connectedness to expanding bottom line measures of organisational performance. These are seen as indicators of leadership skills required to embrace the future and the possible foundations of an imperative for strategic foresight education in leadership development.

Keywordsstrategic foresight; strategic leadership; strategic thinking; futures studies
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020350718. Strategy
350707. Leadership
Public Notes

Published version c. 2008 Tamkang University Press.

Byline AffiliationsSchool of Management and Marketing
Permalink -

https://research.usq.edu.au/item/9z1w4/the-imperative-of-strategic-foresight-to-strategic-thinking

Log in to edit

Download files

Accepted Version
JFS Imperative_van der Laan.pdf
File access level: Anyone

  • 2741
    total views
  • 792
    total downloads
  • 7
    views this month
  • 4
    downloads this month

Export as

Related outputs

Work + Learning: A knowledge base of theory and practice in Australia
Fergusson, Lee, van der Laan, Luke and Baker, Shayne. 2024. Work + Learning: A knowledge base of theory and practice in Australia. Peridis Publishing.
Prioritizing Work Health, Safety, and Wellbeing in Corporate Strategies: An Indicative Framework
Halliday, Brent, van der Laan, Luke and Raineri, Aldo. 2024. "Prioritizing Work Health, Safety, and Wellbeing in Corporate Strategies: An Indicative Framework." Safety. 10 (1). https://doi.org/10.3390/safety10010018
Model-Based Assessment of the Liver Safety Profile of Acetaminophen to Support its Combination Use with Topical Diclofenac in Mild-to-Moderate Osteoarthritis Pain
Sethi, Vidhu, Qin, Li, Trocóniz, Iñaki F., van der Laan, Luke, Cox, Eugène and Pasqua, Oscar Della. 2024. "Model-Based Assessment of the Liver Safety Profile of Acetaminophen to Support its Combination Use with Topical Diclofenac in Mild-to-Moderate Osteoarthritis Pain." Pain and Therapy. 13 (1), pp. 127-143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40122-023-00566-2
Thailand, the forgotten market for international student recruitment? A qualitative study into the strategies of regional Australian universities
Chin, Daniel, van der Laan, Luke and Surachartkumtonkun, Jiraporn. 2024. "Thailand, the forgotten market for international student recruitment? A qualitative study into the strategies of regional Australian universities." Journal of International Education in Business. 17 (2), pp. 265-282. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIEB-09-2023-0066
Towards an Australian regional university professional development typology: a qualitative exploration of the academic voice
Herbert, Katherine, van der Laan, Luke and Danaher, Patrick. 2024. "Towards an Australian regional university professional development typology: a qualitative exploration of the academic voice ." International Journal for Academic Development. 29 (4), pp. 480-496. https://doi.org/10.1080/1360144X.2023.2242816
Quality indicators of effective teacher-created summative assessment
Brownlie, Nicole, Burke, Katie and van der Laan, Luke. 2024. "Quality indicators of effective teacher-created summative assessment ." Quality Assurance in Education. 32 (1), pp. 30-45. https://doi.org/10.1108/QAE-04-2023-0062
Community-school collaborations: community counsellors’ perceptions of school counselling in Singapore
Low, Poi Kee and van der Laan, Luke. 2023. "Community-school collaborations: community counsellors’ perceptions of school counselling in Singapore." Asia Pacific Journal of Counselling and Psychotherapy. 14 (1), pp. 70-82. https://doi.org/10.1080/21507686.2023.2193755
Is this work? Revisiting the definition of work in the 21st century
van der Laan, Luke, Ormsby, Gail, Fergusson, Lee and McIlveen, Peter. 2023. "Is this work? Revisiting the definition of work in the 21st century ." Journal of Work-Applied Management. 15 (2), pp. 252-272. https://doi.org/10.1108/JWAM-04-2023-0035
Effective teacher-created summative assessment survey results
Brownlie, Nicole, Burke, Katie and van der Laan, Luke. 2023. Effective teacher-created summative assessment survey results. G407. University of Southern Queensland. https://doi.org/10.26192/yyvv9
Perspectives of Healthcare Professionals Towards Combination Use of Oral Paracetamol and Topical Non-Steroidal Inflammatory Drugs in Managing Mild-to-Moderate Pain for Osteoarthritis in a Clinical Setting: An Exploratory Study
Sethi, Vidhu, Van der Laan, Luke, Gupta, Sanjeev and Piros, K. Cornelius. 2022. "Perspectives of Healthcare Professionals Towards Combination Use of Oral Paracetamol and Topical Non-Steroidal Inflammatory Drugs in Managing Mild-to-Moderate Pain for Osteoarthritis in a Clinical Setting: An Exploratory Study." Journal of Pain Research. 15, pp. 2263-2272. https://doi.org/10.2147/JPR.S373382
Cold case homicides and assigning priority for investigation: a review of available literature
Nurthen, Katrina and van der Laan, Luke. 2022. "Cold case homicides and assigning priority for investigation: a review of available literature." Policing: An International Journal of Police Strategies and Management. 45 (5), pp. 741-756. https://doi.org/10.1108/PIJPSM-12-2021-0170
Authentic assessment and work-based learning: the case of professional studies in a post-COVID Australia
Fergusson, Lee, van der Laan, Luke, Imran, Sophie and Danaher, Patrick. 2022. "Authentic assessment and work-based learning: the case of professional studies in a post-COVID Australia ." Higher Education, Skills and Work-Based Learning. 12 (6), pp. 1189-1210. https://doi.org/10.1108/HESWBL-03-2022-0074
Work + learning: unpacking the agglomerated use of pedagogical terms
Fergusson, Lee and van der Laan, Luke. 2021. "Work + learning: unpacking the agglomerated use of pedagogical terms." Journal of Work-Applied Management. 13 (2), pp. 302-314. https://doi.org/10.1108/JWAM-12-2020-0053
Capacity and opportunity in creating effective summative assessment: The practice based perceptions of early career teachers in Queensland
Brownlie, Nicole, van der Laan, Luke and Burke, Katie. 2021. "Capacity and opportunity in creating effective summative assessment: The practice based perceptions of early career teachers in Queensland." 43rd Higher Education Research and Development Society of Australasia Annual Conference (HERDSA 2021). Brisbane, Australia 07 - 10 Jul 2021 Australia.
Agencies of the Gospel: Mission Challenges and Opportunities in the Australian Lutheran Church
Vainikka, Mark and van der Laan, Luke. 2021. "Agencies of the Gospel: Mission Challenges and Opportunities in the Australian Lutheran Church." Church Polity: International Studies in Protestant Church Polity. 2 (1), pp. 37-66.
Personal Responsibility and the Role of Self-Identity in Adolescents; A Female Regional Australian Perspective
Watson, Krystal, Van Der Laan, Luke and Imran, Sophia. 2021. "Personal Responsibility and the Role of Self-Identity in Adolescents; A Female Regional Australian Perspective." International Journal of Humanities and Social Science. 11 (9), pp. 14-23. https://doi.org/10.30845/ijhss.v11n9p2
Marketing and recruitment strategies used by regional Australian universities in Thailand: a scoping review
Chin, Daniel, van der Laan, Luke and Surachartkumtonkun, Jiraporn. 2022. "Marketing and recruitment strategies used by regional Australian universities in Thailand: a scoping review." Journal of Marketing for Higher Education. https://doi.org/10.1080/08841241.2022.2149664
The implications of a learning and teaching professional development practices typology in Australian universities
Herbert, Katherine and van der Laan, Luke. 2021. "The implications of a learning and teaching professional development practices typology in Australian universities." 43rd Higher Education Research and Development Society of Australasia Annual Conference (HERDSA 2021). Brisbane, Australia 07 - 10 Jul 2021 Australia.
Capacity and opportunity in creating effective summative assessment: the the practice-based perceptions of early career teachers in Queensland
Brownlie, Nicole, Burke, Katie and van der Laan, Luke. 2021. "Capacity and opportunity in creating effective summative assessment: the the practice-based perceptions of early career teachers in Queensland." 43rd Higher Education Research and Development Society of Australasia Annual Conference (HERDSA 2021). Brisbane, Australia 07 - 10 Jul 2021 Australia.
Disciplinarity and Work: Work-Based Learning as an Emergent Transdisciplinary Mode of Study
Fergusson, Lee and van der Laan, Luke. 2021. "Disciplinarity and Work: Work-Based Learning as an Emergent Transdisciplinary Mode of Study." World Futures: the journal of general evolution. 77 (7), pp. 508-531. https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2021.1984158
Towards a typology of learning and teaching professional development practice uptake by university academics in Australia
Herbert, Katherine and van der Laan, Luke. 2024. "Towards a typology of learning and teaching professional development practice uptake by university academics in Australia." Professional Development in Education. 50 (5), pp. 862-877. https://doi.org/10.1080/19415257.2021.1973068
The higher degree by research student as ‘master’: utilising a design thinking approach to improve learner experience in higher degree research supervision
van der Laan, Luke, Ormsby, Gail, Fergusson, Lee and Pau, Maria. 2021. "The higher degree by research student as ‘master’: utilising a design thinking approach to improve learner experience in higher degree research supervision." Journal of University Teaching and Learning Practice. 18 (1), pp. 1-20.
The development of work-integrated learning ecosystems: an Australian example of cooperative education
Fergusson, Lee, van der Laan, Luke, Imran, Sophia and Ormsby, Gail. 2021. "The development of work-integrated learning ecosystems: an Australian example of cooperative education." International Journal of Work-Integrated Learning. 22 (1), pp. 25-40.
Disentangling strategic foresight? A critical analysis of the term building on the pioneering work of Richard Slaughter
van der Laan, Luke. 2021. "Disentangling strategic foresight? A critical analysis of the term building on the pioneering work of Richard Slaughter." Futures. 132, pp. 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102782
Organisational & Personal Impacts of a Work-Based Learning & Research Programme in Australia
Baker, Shayne, van der Laan, Luke and Fergusson, Lee. 2020. "Organisational & Personal Impacts of a Work-Based Learning & Research Programme in Australia." 7th International Conference on Professional & Practice Based Doctorates (ICPPD21). York, England 30 - 31 Mar 2020
Applied micro- and macro-reflective cycles in work-based learning and research: two advanced practice contexts
Fergusson, Lee, van der Laan, Luke, Ormsby, Gail and Azmy, Wade. 2020. "Applied micro- and macro-reflective cycles in work-based learning and research: two advanced practice contexts." Reflective Practice. 21 (3), pp. 400-414. https://doi.org/10.1080/14623943.2020.1753683
Risk in the Asia Pacific region: opportunities in disguise?
van der Laan, Luke. 2016. "Risk in the Asia Pacific region: opportunities in disguise?" Strategic Risk Asia Edition. Q2, pp. 38-39.
Foresight capacity: towards a foresight competency model
van der Laan, Luke. 2020. "Foresight capacity: towards a foresight competency model." Slaughter, Richard and Hines, Andy (ed.) The knowledge base of futures studies 2020. Washington, DC, United States. Association of Professional Futurists and Foresight International. pp. 352-366
Operationalising a framework for organisational vulnerability to intentional insider threat: the OVIT as a valid and reliable diagnostic tool
Bedford, Justine and van der Laan, Luke. 2021. "Operationalising a framework for organisational vulnerability to intentional insider threat: the OVIT as a valid and reliable diagnostic tool." Journal of Risk Research. 24 (9), pp. 1180-1203. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2020.1806910
Back to futures: futures studies and its role in addressing the great civilisational challenges
van der Laan, Luke. 2020. "Back to futures: futures studies and its role in addressing the great civilisational challenges." Human Futures.
Work, resilience and sustainable futures: the approach of work-based research to problems and their solutions
Fergusson, Lee, van der Laan, Luke, Shallies, Bradley and Baird, Matthew. 2019. "Work, resilience and sustainable futures: the approach of work-based research to problems and their solutions." Journal of Work-Applied Management. 12 (1), pp. 22-41. https://doi.org/10.1108/JWAM-11-2019-0036
Reflective practice and work-based research: a description of micro- and macro-reflective cycles
Fergusson, Lee, van der Laan, Luke and Baker, Shayne. 2019. "Reflective practice and work-based research: a description of micro- and macro-reflective cycles." Reflective Practice. 20 (2), pp. 289-303. https://doi.org/10.1080/14623943.2019.1591945
Most people think playing chess makes you ‘smarter’, but the evidence isn’t clear on that
Gardiner, Graeme, Ormsby, Gail and van der Laan, Luke. 2019. "Most people think playing chess makes you ‘smarter’, but the evidence isn’t clear on that." The Conversation.
The ethos and transformational nature of professional studies: a study of student experience in Australia
Fergusson, Lee, Van der Laan, Luke, White, Craig and Balfour, June. 2019. "The ethos and transformational nature of professional studies: a study of student experience in Australia." Higher Education, Skills and Work-Based Learning. 9 (4), pp. 695-711. https://doi.org/10.1108/HESWBL-01-2019-0006
Enabling innovative postgraduate research: critical foresight and strategic considerations for university leaders
van der Laan, Luke and Ostini, Jenny. 2018. "Enabling innovative postgraduate research: critical foresight and strategic considerations for university leaders." Padro, Fernando F., Erwee, Ronel, Harmes, Meredith A., Harmes, Marcus K. and Danaher, Patrick Alan (ed.) Postgraduate education in higher education. Singapore. Springer. pp. 65-84
The innovative Australian university: the role of 3rd generation postgraduate research programmes
van der Laan, Luke, Ostini, Jenny, Fergusson, Lee and Allred, Timothy. 2017. "The innovative Australian university: the role of 3rd generation postgraduate research programmes." 2017 International Science of Learning Conference: Research to Reality. Brisbane, Australia 18 - 20 Sep 2017 Australia.
Planning organisational futures in Blockchain environments - a systems theory perspective and possible solutions to enhance trust
van der Laan, Luke and McCallum, Tim. 2017. "Planning organisational futures in Blockchain environments - a systems theory perspective and possible solutions to enhance trust." Business Futures.
Asia Pacific's economic risks and futures
van der Laan, Luke. 2017. "Asia Pacific's economic risks and futures." Yap, Janson and Nones, Nelson (ed.) WOW! How did you know that? Applying risk intelligence concepts to foresee dangers and seize opportunities in chaotic times. Chatswood, NSW. Gadwise Investments. pp. 70-88
Enabling innovative postgraduate research: critical foresight and strategic considerations for university leaders
Ostini, Jenny and van der Laan, Luke. 2016. "Enabling innovative postgraduate research: critical foresight and strategic considerations for university leaders." 2016 Queensland University Educators Showcase (QUES 2016). Brisbane, Australia 26 Sep 2016
Health care foresight: identifying mega-trends, convergence and scenarios of ways in which the future can be imagined
van der Laan, L. W.. 2017. "Health care foresight: identifying mega-trends, convergence and scenarios of ways in which the future can be imagined." Yap, J., Yong, C. and Ng, Z. (ed.) Not your ordinary future health care. Singapore. Deloitte & Touche. pp. 33-53
Building foresight capacity: toward a foresight competency model
Hines, Andy, Gary, Jay, Daheim, Cornelia and van der Laan, Luke. 2017. "Building foresight capacity: toward a foresight competency model." World Future Review: a journal of strategic foresight. 9 (3), pp. 123-141. https://doi.org/10.1177/1946756717715637
Organizational vulnerability to insider threat: what do Australian experts say?
Bedford, Justine and van der Laan, Lucas. 2016. "Organizational vulnerability to insider threat: what do Australian experts say?" Stephanidis, Constantine (ed.) 18th International Conference on Human-Computer Interaction (HCI 2016). Toronto, Canada 17 - 22 Jul 2016 Switzerland. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40548-3_77
Equity and access as keys for opening open learning: the case for virtually facilitated work-based learning
van der Laan, Luke and Neary, Liz. 2016. "Equity and access as keys for opening open learning: the case for virtually facilitated work-based learning." Reuschle, Shirley, Antonio, Amy and Keppel, Mike (ed.) Open learning and formal credentialing in higher education: curriculum models and institutional policies. Hershey, PA. United States. IGI Global. pp. 263-290
Foresight & strategy in the Asia Pacific region: practice and theory to build enterprises of the future
van der Laan, Lucas and Yap, Janson. 2016. Foresight & strategy in the Asia Pacific region: practice and theory to build enterprises of the future. Singapore. Springer.
Community capacity building: the question of sustainability?
van der Laan, Lucas. 2014. "Community capacity building: the question of sustainability?" Postle, Glen David, Burton, Lorelle Jane and Danaher, Patrick Alan (ed.) Community capacity building: lessons from adult learning in Australia. Leicester, United Kingdom. NIACE. pp. 205-225
In good hands? Foresight and strategic thinking capabilities of regional university leaders
van der Laan, Luke and Erwee, Ronel. 2013. "In good hands? Foresight and strategic thinking capabilities of regional university leaders." Frielick, S., Buissink-Smith, N., Wyse, P., Billot, J., Hallas, J. and Whitehead, E. (ed.) 36th Higher Education Research and Development Society of Australasia Conference (HERDSA 2013). Auckland, New Zealand 01 - 04 Jul 2013 Sydney, Australia.
Connectedness needs of external doctoral students
Erwee, Ronel, Albion, Peter and van der Laan, Luke. 2013. "Connectedness needs of external doctoral students." Willems, J., Tynan, B. and James, R . (ed.) Outlooks and opportunities in blended and distance learning. Hershey, PA. United States. IGI Global. pp. 317-330
Foresight styles assessment: a valid and reliable measure of dimensions of foresight competence?
van der Laan, Lucas and Erwee, Ronel. 2012. "Foresight styles assessment: a valid and reliable measure of dimensions of foresight competence?" Foresight (Cambridge): the journal for future studies, strategic thinking and policy. 14 (5), pp. 374-386. https://doi.org/10.1108/14636681211269860
Foresight styles of strategy level leaders
van der Laan, Luke and Erwee, Ronel. 2010. "Foresight styles of strategy level leaders." Gurd, Bruce (ed.) 24th Australian and New Zealand Academy of Management Conference (ANZAM 2010). Adelaide, Australia 08 - 10 Dec 2010 Brisbane, Australia.
Foresight competence and the strategic thinking of strategy-level leaders
van der Laan, Lucas W.. 2010. Foresight competence and the strategic thinking of strategy-level leaders. PhD Thesis Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland.