Decision pattern analysis as a general framework for studying individual differences in decision making

Article


Jackson, Simon A., Kleitman, Sabina, Stankov, Lazar and Howie, Pauline. 2016. "Decision pattern analysis as a general framework for studying individual differences in decision making." Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 29 (4), pp. 392-408. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.1887
Article Title

Decision pattern analysis as a general framework for studying individual differences in decision making

ERA Journal ID6356
Article CategoryArticle
AuthorsJackson, Simon A. (Author), Kleitman, Sabina (Author), Stankov, Lazar (Author) and Howie, Pauline (Author)
Journal TitleJournal of Behavioral Decision Making
Journal Citation29 (4), pp. 392-408
Number of Pages17
Year2016
Place of PublicationChichester, West Sussex
ISSN0894-3257
1099-0771
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.1887
Web Address (URL)http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bdm.1887/epdf
Abstract

This paper investigated decision pattern analysis (DPA) as a general and standard framework for studying individuals' consistent decision making behavior within and between contexts. DPA classifies decisions on the basis of judgement accuracy and the goal orientation of the decided-upon action. Over repeated decisions, patterns of individuals' decision behavior are described by five variables: competence, optimality, recklessness, hesitancy and decisiveness. A fictitious medical decision making test and three standard cognitive ability tests (extended with confidence ratings and a ‘submit answer for marking’ decision) were used to investigate the psychometric properties of these DPA variables. Internal consistency of the decision patterns ranged from good to excellent. Convergent validity was assessed via cognitive abilities, metacognitive confidence and a control criterion imposed on confidence that determines the decision to be made: the point of sufficient certainty. Personality variables were included to assess discriminant validity. As hypothesised, cognitive abilities showed positive correlations with competence and optimality. High confidence, low points of sufficient certainty and a greater discrepancy between them were associated with higher decisiveness and recklessness, and lower hesitancy. Personality measures showed mixed and generally weak correlations with the DPA variables. These convergent and discriminant results also held after controlling for all variables in regression. The results provide preliminary psychometric support for DPA as a general framework of behavioral decision making. DPA has the potential to be exploited in many contexts for uses that, to date, have been unachievable in a psychometrically valid manner.

Keywordscognitive abilities; confidence; decision making; decision pattern analysis; individual differences; metacognition
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020520402. Decision making
Public Notes

Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions.

Byline AffiliationsUniversity of Sydney
Australian Catholic University
Institution of OriginUniversity of Southern Queensland
Permalink -

https://research.usq.edu.au/item/q457x/decision-pattern-analysis-as-a-general-framework-for-studying-individual-differences-in-decision-making

  • 1135
    total views
  • 7
    total downloads
  • 2
    views this month
  • 0
    downloads this month

Export as

Related outputs

Building a transdisciplinary expert consensus on the cognitive drivers of performance under pressure: An international multi-panel Delphi study
Albertella, Lucy, Kirkham, Rebecca, Adler, Amy B., Crampton, John, Drummond, Sean P. A., Fogarty, Gerard J., Gross, James J., Zaichkowsky, Leonard, Andersen, Judith P., Bartone, Paul T., Boga, Danny, Bond, Jeffrey W., Brunyé, Tad T., Campbell, Mark J., Ciobanu, Liliana G., Clark, Scott R., Crane, Monique F., Dietrich, Arne, Doty, Tracy J., ..., Yücel, Murat. 2023. "Building a transdisciplinary expert consensus on the cognitive drivers of performance under pressure: An international multi-panel Delphi study." Frontiers in Psychology. 13, pp. 1-17. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2022.1017675
Four GLOBE dimensions of perceived social norms in 33 countries
Stankov, Lazar. 2015. "Four GLOBE dimensions of perceived social norms in 33 countries." Learning and Individual Differences: journal of psychology and education. 41, pp. 30-42. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lindif.2015.07.005
Individual, country and societal cluster differences on measures of personality, attitudes, values, and social norms
Stankov, Lazar. 2011. "Individual, country and societal cluster differences on measures of personality, attitudes, values, and social norms." Learning and Individual Differences: journal of psychology and education. 21 (1), pp. 55-66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lindif.2010.09.002
Confidence: a better predictor of academic achievement than self-efficacy, self-concept and anxiety?
Stankov, Lazar, Lee, Jihyun, Luo, Wenshu and Hogan, David J.. 2012. "Confidence: a better predictor of academic achievement than self-efficacy, self-concept and anxiety?" Learning and Individual Differences: journal of psychology and education. 22 (6), pp. 747-758. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lindif.2012.05.013
Higher-order structure of noncognitive constructs and prediction of PISA 2003 mathematics achievement
Lee, Jihyun and Stankov, Lazar. 2013. "Higher-order structure of noncognitive constructs and prediction of PISA 2003 mathematics achievement." Learning and Individual Differences: journal of psychology and education. 26, pp. 119-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lindif.2013.05.004
Two dimensions of psychological country-level differences: conservatism/liberalism and harshness/softness
Stankov, Lazar, Lee, Jihyun and van de Vijver, Fons J. R.. 2014. "Two dimensions of psychological country-level differences: conservatism/liberalism and harshness/softness." Learning and Individual Differences: journal of psychology and education. 30, pp. 22-33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lindif.2013.12.001
Major psychological dimensions of cross-cultural differences: nastiness, social awareness/morality, religiosity and broad conservatism/liberalism
Stankov, Lazar. 2016. "Major psychological dimensions of cross-cultural differences: nastiness, social awareness/morality, religiosity and broad conservatism/liberalism." Learning and Individual Differences: journal of psychology and education. 49, pp. 138-150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lindif.2016.06.003
Whither metacognition
Stankov, Lazar and Kleitman, Sabina. 2014. "Whither metacognition." Learning and Individual Differences: journal of psychology and education. 29, pp. 120-122. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lindif.2013.06.001
Large-scale online writing assessments: new approaches adopted in the national assessment of educational progress
Lee, Jihyun and Stankov, Lazar. 2012. "Large-scale online writing assessments: new approaches adopted in the national assessment of educational progress." Grigorenko, Elena L., Mambrino, Elisa and Preoss, David D. (ed.) Writing: a mosaic of new perspectives. New York, United States. Routledge. pp. 384-401
Militant extremist mindset
Stankov, Lazar, Saucier, Gerard and Knezevic, Goran. 2011. "Militant extremist mindset." Boag, Simon and Tiliopoulos, Niko (ed.) Personality and individual differences: theory, assessment, and application. Hauppauge, N.Y.. Nova Science Publishers. pp. 131-140
Measures of the trait of confidence
Stankov, Lazar, Kleitman, Sabina and Jackson, Simon A.. 2015. "Measures of the trait of confidence." Boyle, Gregory J., Saklofske, Donald H. and Matthews, Gerald (ed.) Measures of personality and social psychological constructs. London, United Kingdom. Elsevier. pp. 158-189
Depression and life satisfaction among european and confucian adolescents
Stankov, Lazar. 2013. "Depression and life satisfaction among european and confucian adolescents." Psychological Assessment. 25 (4), pp. 1220-1234. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0033794
Confidence: the best non-cognitive predictor of academic achievement?
Stankov, Lazar, Morony, Suzanne and Lee, Yim Ping. 2014. "Confidence: the best non-cognitive predictor of academic achievement?" Educational Psychology: an international journal of experimental educational psychology. 34 (1), pp. 9-28. https://doi.org/10.1080/01443410.2013.814194
Individual differences in decision making depend on cognitive abilities, monitoring and control
Jackson, Simon A., Kleitman, Sabina, Stankov, Lazar and Howie, Pauline. 2017. "Individual differences in decision making depend on cognitive abilities, monitoring and control." Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 30 (2), pp. 209-223. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.1939
Social axioms in 33 countries: good replicability at the individual but less so at the country level
Stankov, Lazar and Saucier, Gerard. 2015. "Social axioms in 33 countries: good replicability at the individual but less so at the country level." Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology. 46 (2), pp. 296-315. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022022114558333
Individual differences in cognitive biases: evidence against one-factor theory of rationality
Teovanovic, Predrag, Knezevic, Goran and Stankov, Lazar. 2015. "Individual differences in cognitive biases: evidence against one-factor theory of rationality." Intelligence. 50, pp. 75-86. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intell.2015.02.008
Self-beliefs: strong correlates of mathematics achievement and intelligence
Stankov, Lazar and Lee, Jihyun. 2017. "Self-beliefs: strong correlates of mathematics achievement and intelligence." Intelligence. 61, pp. 11-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intell.2016.12.001
Quest for the best non-cognitive predictor of academic achievement
Stankov, Lazar and Lee, Jihyun. 2014. "Quest for the best non-cognitive predictor of academic achievement." Educational Psychology: an international journal of experimental educational psychology. 34 (1), pp. 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1080/01443410.2013.858908
Noncognitive predictors of intelligence and academic achievement: an important role of confidence
Stankov, Lazar. 2013. "Noncognitive predictors of intelligence and academic achievement: an important role of confidence." Personality and Individual Differences. 55 (7), pp. 727-732. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2013.07.006
Overconfidence across world regions
Stankov, Lazar and Lee, Jihyun. 2014. "Overconfidence across world regions." Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology. 45 (5), pp. 821-837. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022022114527345
Toward a psychological atlas of the world with mixture modeling
Stankov, Lazar and Lee, Jihyun. 2016. "Toward a psychological atlas of the world with mixture modeling." Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology. 47 (2), pp. 249-262. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022022115611749
Individual differences within the psychological atlas of the world
Stankov, Lazar. 2016. "Individual differences within the psychological atlas of the world." Personality and Individual Differences. 94, pp. 180-188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2016.01.027
Hans J. Eysenck and Raymond B. Cattell on intelligence and personality
Boyle, Gregory J., Stankov, Lazar, Martin, Nicholas G., Petrides, K. V., Eysenck, Michael W. and Ortet, Generos. 2016. "Hans J. Eysenck and Raymond B. Cattell on intelligence and personality." Personality and Individual Differences. 103, pp. 40-47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2016.04.029
Perceptual underconfidence: a conceptual illusion?
Stankov, Lazar, Pallier, Gerry, Danthiir, Vanessa and Morony, Suzanne. 2012. "Perceptual underconfidence: a conceptual illusion?" European Journal of Psychological Assessment. 28 (3), pp. 190-200. https://doi.org/10.1027/1015-5759/a000126
Predicting achievement: confidence vs self-efficacy, anxiety, and self-concept in Confucian and European countries
Morony, Suzanne, Kleitman, Sabina, Lee, Yim Ping and Stankov, Lazar. 2013. "Predicting achievement: confidence vs self-efficacy, anxiety, and self-concept in Confucian and European countries." International Journal of Educational Research. 58, pp. 79-96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijer.2012.11.002
Nastiness, morality and religiosity in 33 nations
Stankov, Lazar and Lee, Jihyun. 2016. "Nastiness, morality and religiosity in 33 nations." Personality and Individual Differences. 99, pp. 56-66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2016.04.069
Cognitive abilities, monitoring confidence, and control thresholds explain individual differences in heuristics and biases
Jackson, Simon A., Kleitman, Sabina, Howie, Pauline and Stankov, Lazar. 2016. "Cognitive abilities, monitoring confidence, and control thresholds explain individual differences in heuristics and biases." Frontiers in Psychology. 7, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2016.01559
Competing tasks as an index of intelligence
Fogarty, Gerard J. and Stankov, Lazar. 1982. "Competing tasks as an index of intelligence." Personality and Individual Differences. 3, pp. 407-422.
Abilities involved in performance on competing tasks
Fogarty, Gerard J. and Stankov, Lazar. 1988. "Abilities involved in performance on competing tasks." Personality and Individual Differences. 9 (1), pp. 35-49. https://doi.org/10.1016/0191-8869(88)90028-1
Challenging the 'Law of diminishing returns'
Fogarty, Gerard J. and Stankov, Lazar. 1995. "Challenging the 'Law of diminishing returns'." Intelligence. 21 (2), pp. 157-176.