Overconfidence across world regions

Article

Stankov, Lazar and Lee, Jihyun. 2014. "Overconfidence across world regions." Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology. 45 (5), pp. 821-837. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022022114527345

Article Title	Overconfidence across world regions
ERA Journal ID	6386
Article Category	Article
Authors	Stankov, Lazar (Author) and Lee, Jihyun (Author)
Journal Title	Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology
Journal Citation	45 (5), pp. 821-837
Number of Pages	17
Year	2014
Place of Publication	United States
ISSN	0022-0221
	1552-5422
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)	https://doi.org/10.1177/0022022114527345
Web Address (URL)	http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/0022022114527345
Abstract	In this article, nine world regions (based on samples from 33 nations) are compared in their performance on a cognitive ability test and confidence ratings obtained from the items of the same test. Our results indicate that differences between the world regions are greater on cognitive ability than they are on confidence ratings. Consequently, overconfidence-that is, the degree to which people overestimate their performance on cognitive tasks-is pronounced within the world regions that have lower scores on measures of cognitive ability. A less pronounced overconfidence is also present among the high-achieving world regions. Our findings support a cognitive hypothesis according to which individuals suffer from illusory superiority if the task is difficult. Thus, a commonly observed overconfidence can be seen as a self-deceiving, probably unconscious, mechanism that cushions a person (and countries) from experiencing negative feelings due to cognitive failures.
Keywords	cross-cultural psychology; decision making; intelligence/abilities
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020	529999. Other psychology not elsewhere classified
Public Notes	Files associated with this item cannot be displayed due to copyright restrictions.
Byline Affiliations	Australian Catholic University
	University of New South Wales
Institution of Origin	University of Southern Queensland

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