Centre for Applied Climate Sciences (Research)


Latest research outputs

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Extratropical cyclones and the projected decline of winter Mediterranean precipitation in the CMIP5 models
Zappa, Gieuseppe, Hawcroft, Matthew K., Shaffrey, Len, Black, Emily and Brayshaw, David J.. 2015. "Extratropical cyclones and the projected decline of winter Mediterranean precipitation in the CMIP5 models." Climate Dynamics. 45 (7), pp. 1727-1738. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2426-8

Article

Can climate models represent the precipitation associated with extratropical cyclones?
Hawcroft, Matthew K., Shaffrey, Len C., Hodges, Kevin I. and Dacre, Helen F.. 2016. "Can climate models represent the precipitation associated with extratropical cyclones?" Climate Dynamics. 47 (3), pp. 679-695. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2863-z

Article

Using Multi-Temporal Landsat Images and Support Vector Machine to Assess the Changes in Agricultural Irrigated Areas in the Mogtedo Region, Burkina Faso
Traore, Farid, Bonkoungou, Joachim, Compaore, Jerome, Kouadio, Louis, Wellens, Joost, Hallot, Eric and Tychon, Bernard. 2019. "Using Multi-Temporal Landsat Images and Support Vector Machine to Assess the Changes in Agricultural Irrigated Areas in the Mogtedo Region, Burkina Faso." Remote Sensing. 11 (12), pp. 1-18. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11121442

Article

Preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on design rainfall IFD curves
Bates, Bryson C., Argueso, Daniel, Evans, Jason, Green, Janice, Griesser, Aurel, Jakob, Dorte, Seed, Alan, Lau, Rex, Lehmann, Eric, Phatak, Aloke, Abbs, Deborah, Lavender, Sally, Nguyen, Kim, Rafter, Tony, Thatcher, Marcus, Zheng, Feifei, Westra, Seth and Leonard, Michael. 2015. "Preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on design rainfall IFD curves." 36th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium: The Art and Science of Water (HWRS 2015). Hobart, Australia 07 - 10 Dec 2015 Barton, Australia.

Paper

Copula statistical models for analyzing stochastic dependencies of systemic drought risk and potential adaptation strategies
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Khan, Shahjahan. 2019. "Copula statistical models for analyzing stochastic dependencies of systemic drought risk and potential adaptation strategies." Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 33 (3), pp. 779-799. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-019-01662-6

Article

Value of seasonal forecasting for sugarcane farm irrigation planning
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Attard, Steve, Cobon, David and Stone, Roger. 2019. "Value of seasonal forecasting for sugarcane farm irrigation planning." European Journal of Agronomy. 104, pp. 37-48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2019.01.005

Article

Tropical cyclone track direction climatology and its intraseasonal variability in the Australian region
Lavender, Sally L. and Dowdy, Andrew J.. 2016. "Tropical cyclone track direction climatology and its intraseasonal variability in the Australian region." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 121 (22), pp. 13,236-13,249. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025562

Article

Spatial and temporal variation in the effects of climatic variables on Dugong calf production
Fuentes, Mariana M. P. B., Delean, Steven, Grayson, Jillian, Lavender, Sally, Logan, Murray and Marsh, Helene. 2016. "Spatial and temporal variation in the effects of climatic variables on Dugong calf production." PLoS One. 11 (6), pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0155675

Article

The contribution of tropical cyclones to rainfall in northwest Australia
Ng, Benjamin, Walsh, Kevin and Lavender, Sally. 2015. "The contribution of tropical cyclones to rainfall in northwest Australia." International Journal of Climatology. 35 (10), pp. 2689-2697. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4148

Article

A climatology of Australian heat low events
Lavender, Sally L.. 2017. "A climatology of Australian heat low events." International Journal of Climatology. 37 (1), pp. 534-539. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4692

Article

Developing products for use in drought monitoring: improved crop yield and production forecasts (multi-crop models approach)
Kouadio, Louis, Marcussen, Torben and McRae, David. 2017. Developing products for use in drought monitoring: improved crop yield and production forecasts (multi-crop models approach). Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.

Project report

Crop production modelling under climate change and regional adaptation
Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben and Cockfield, Geoff. 2017. Crop production modelling under climate change and regional adaptation. Toowoomba, Australia. University of Southern Queensland.

Project report

A systems thinking approach to water trade: finding leverage for sustainable development
Mai, Thanh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Loch, Adam, Reardon-Smith, K. and An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2019. "A systems thinking approach to water trade: finding leverage for sustainable development." Land Use Policy: the international journal covering all aspects of land use. 82, pp. 595-608. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.01.004

Article

Valuing seasonal climate forecasts in Australian agriculture: northern grains case study
Darbyshire, R., Crean, J., Kouadio, L., Cashen, M., Anwar, M. and Cobon, D.. 2018. Valuing seasonal climate forecasts in Australian agriculture: northern grains case study. Nnew South Wales, Australia. NSW Department of Primary Industries.

Technical report

Regional climate impacts of stabilizing global warming at 1.5 K using solar geoengineering
Jones, Anthony C., Hawcroft, Matthew K., Haywood, James M., Jones, Andy, Guo, Xiaoran and Moore, John C.. 2018. "Regional climate impacts of stabilizing global warming at 1.5 K using solar geoengineering." Earth's Future. 6 (2), pp. 230-251. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000720

Article

Significantly increased extreme precipitation expected in Europe and North America from extratropical cyclones
Hawcroft, Matt, Walsh, Ella, Hodges, Kevin and Zappa, Giuseppe. 2018. "Significantly increased extreme precipitation expected in Europe and North America from extratropical cyclones." Environmental Research Letters. 13 (12), pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaed59

Article

The contrasting climate response to tropical and extratropical energy perturbations
Hawcroft, Matt, Haywood, Jim M., Collins, Mat and Jones, Andy. 2018. "The contrasting climate response to tropical and extratropical energy perturbations." Climate Dynamics. 51 (9-10), pp. 3231-3249. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4076-8

Article

Comments on 'Rethinking the lower bound on aerosol radiative forcing'
Booth, Ben B. B., Harris, Glen R., Jones, Andy, Wilcox, Laura, Hawcroft, Matt and Carslaw, Ken S.. 2018. "Comments on 'Rethinking the lower bound on aerosol radiative forcing'." Journal of Climate. 31 (22), pp. 9407-9412. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0369.1

Article

Estimation of the maximum annual number of North Atlantic tropical cyclones using climate models
Lavender, Sally L., Walsh, Kevin J. E., Caron, Louis-Philippe, King, Malcolm, Monkiewicz, Sam, Guishard, Mark, Zhang, Qiong and Hunt, barrie. 2018. "Estimation of the maximum annual number of North Atlantic tropical cyclones using climate models." Science Advances. 4 (8), pp. 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aat6509

Article

The influence of sea surface temperature on the intensity and associated storm surge of tropical cyclone Yasi: a sensitivity study
Lavender, Sally L., Hoeke, Ron K. and Abbs, Deborah J.. 2018. "The influence of sea surface temperature on the intensity and associated storm surge of tropical cyclone Yasi: a sensitivity study." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18 (3), pp. 795-805. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-795-2018

Article

The physical processes causing nocturnal rainfall over northwest Australia and their representation in high- and low-resolution models with parametrized convection
Ackerley, D., Birch, C. E., Garcia-Carreras, L., Lavender, S. L. and Weller, E.. 2018. "The physical processes causing nocturnal rainfall over northwest Australia and their representation in high- and low-resolution models with parametrized convection." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 144 (711), pp. 511-528. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3223

Article

An investigation of farm-scale adaptation options for cotton production in the face of future climate change and water allocation policies in southern Queensland, Australia
Williams, Allyson, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kouadio, Louis, Power, Brendan, Marcussen, Torben, McRae, David and Cockfield, Geoff. 2018. "An investigation of farm-scale adaptation options for cotton production in the face of future climate change and water allocation policies in southern Queensland, Australia." Agricultural Water Management. 196, pp. 124-132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2017.10.026

Article

Influence of internal climate variability on Indian Ocean Dipole properties
Ng, Benjamin, Cai, Wenju, Cowan, Tim and Bi, Daohua. 2018. "Influence of internal climate variability on Indian Ocean Dipole properties." Scientific Reports. 8 (1), pp. 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-31842-3

Article

Tropical cyclone insurance for Queensland agriculture
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod, Stone, Roger, Marcussen, Torben, Roberts, Julian, Wilkinson, Claire, Mehmet, Russell and Henry, Ross. 2018. Tropical cyclone insurance for Queensland agriculture. University of Southern Queensland. University of Southern Queensland.

Government report

Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: summary report
Mushtaq, Shabaz, Marcussen, Torben, Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar, Stone, Roger, Roberts, Julian, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2018. Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: summary report. University of Southern Queensland.

Government report

Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: final report
Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Marcussen, Torben, Kath, Jarrod, Reardon-Smith, Kathryn, Kouadio, Louis, Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar, Stone, Roger, Roberts, Julian, Mehmet, Russell, Pilling, Debbie and Henry, Ross. 2017. Drought climate adaptation program: producing enhanced agricultural crop insurance systems: final report. University of Southern Queensland.

Government report

The potential value of seasonal climate forecasts for beef grazing enterprises in the Charters Towers region
An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2018. "The potential value of seasonal climate forecasts for beef grazing enterprises in the Charters Towers region." Dalrymple Landcare Committee Newsletter.

Notes or commentaries

Development of the Australian Drought Monitor
Pudmenzky, C., Cobon, D., Svoboda, M., Swigart, J. and Guillory, L.. 2019. "Development of the Australian Drought Monitor." AMOS-ICTMO 2019 Conference. Darwin, Australia 11 - 15 Jun 2019 Australia.

Presentation

Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe
Vautard, Robert, Christidis, Nikolaos, Ciavarella, Andrew, Alvarez-Castro, Carmen, Bellprat, Omar, Christiansen, Bo, Colfescu, Ioana, Cowan, Tim, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Eden, Jonathan, Hauser, Mathias, Hegerl, Gabriele, Hempelmann, Nils, Klehmet, Katharina, Lott, Fraser, Nangini, Cathy, Orth, Rene, Radanovics, Sabine, Seneviratne, Sonia I., ..., Yiou, Pascal. 2019. "Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe." Climate Dynamics. 52 (1-2), pp. 1187-1210. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4183-6

Article

Index insurance benefits agricultural producers exposed to excessive rainfall risk
Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Henry, Ross, Adeyinka, Adewuyi and Stone, Roger. 2018. "Index insurance benefits agricultural producers exposed to excessive rainfall risk." Weather and Climate Extremes. 22, pp. 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.10.003

Article

Artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of Robusta coffee yield using soil fertility properties
Kouadio, Louis, Deo, Ravinesh C., Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Adamowski, Jan F., Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Nguyen, Van Phuong. 2018. "Artificial intelligence approach for the prediction of Robusta coffee yield using soil fertility properties." Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. 155, pp. 324-338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2018.10.014

Article

Copula-based agricultural conditional value-at-risk modelling for geographical diversifications in wheat farming portfolio management
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Khan, Shahjahan. 2018. "Copula-based agricultural conditional value-at-risk modelling for geographical diversifications in wheat farming portfolio management." Weather and Climate Extremes. 21, pp. 76-89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.07.002

Article

Atmospheric circulation. 1. Mean sea level pressure and related modes of variability
Allan, R. and Folland, C. K.. 2018. "Atmospheric circulation. 1. Mean sea level pressure and related modes of variability." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 99 (8), pp. S39-S41. https://doi.org/10.1175/2018BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Article

Modeling the joint influence of multiple synoptic-scale, climate mode indices on Australian wheat yield using a vine copula-based approach
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, An-Vo, Duc-Anh and Khan, Shahjahan. 2018. "Modeling the joint influence of multiple synoptic-scale, climate mode indices on Australian wheat yield using a vine copula-based approach." European Journal of Agronomy. 98, pp. 65-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2018.05.006

Article

Redefining diversity and dynamics of natural resources management in Asia, Volume 2: Upland natural resources and social ecological systems in Northern Vietnam
Thanh, Mai Van, Vien, Tran Duc, Leisz, Stephen J. and Shivakoti, Ganesh P. (ed.) 2017. Redefining diversity and dynamics of natural resources management in Asia, Volume 2: Upland natural resources and social ecological systems in Northern Vietnam. Amsterdam, Netherlands. Elsevier.

Edited book

Scenario-based planning for tourism development using system dynamic modelling: a case study of Cat Ba Island, Vietnam
Mai, Thanh and Smith, Carl. 2018. "Scenario-based planning for tourism development using system dynamic modelling: a case study of Cat Ba Island, Vietnam." Tourism Management: research, policies, practice. 68, pp. 336-354. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2018.04.005

Article

Modelling irrigated sugarcane crop under seasonal climate variability: a case study in Burdekin district
An-Vo, D.-A., Mushtaq, S. and Reardon-Smith, K.. 2017. "Modelling irrigated sugarcane crop under seasonal climate variability: a case study in Burdekin district." Syme, G., Hatton MacDonald, D., Fulton, B. and Piantadosi, J. (ed.) 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2017). Hobart, Australia 03 - 08 Dec 2017 Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand . https://doi.org/10.36334/modsim.2017.J6.anvo

Paper

Toward a stochastic precipitation generator conditioned on ENSO phase for eastern Australia
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Stone, Roger, Ngo-Cong, Duc and Marcussen, Torben. 2017. "Toward a stochastic precipitation generator conditioned on ENSO phase for eastern Australia." Syme, G., Hatton MacDonald, D., Fulton, B. and Piantadosi, J. (ed.) 22nd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2017). Hobart, Australia 03 - 08 Dec 2017 Australia. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand . https://doi.org/10.36334/modsim.2017.H11.anvo

Paper

Predicting water allocation trade prices using a hybrid Artificial Neural Network-Bayesian modelling approach
Nguyen-Ky, Tai, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Loch, Adam, Reardon-Smith, Kate, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Ngo-Cong, Duc and Tran-Cong, Thanh. 2018. "Predicting water allocation trade prices using a hybrid Artificial Neural Network-Bayesian modelling approach." Journal of Hydrology. 567, pp. 781-791. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.11.049

Article

Direct and indirect costs of frost in the Australian wheatbelt
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Zheng, Bangyou, Christopher, Jack T., Chapman, Scott C. and Chenu, Karine. 2018. "Direct and indirect costs of frost in the Australian wheatbelt." Ecological Economics. 150, pp. 122-136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.04.008

Article