Centre for Applied Climate Sciences (Research)


Latest research outputs

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The performance of the CoMorph-A convection package in global simulations with the Met Office Unified Model
Lock, A. P., Whitall, M., Stirling, A. J., Williams, K., Lavender, S. L., Morcrette, C., Matsubayashi, K., Field, P. R., Martin, G., Willett, M. and Heming, J.. 2024. "The performance of the CoMorph-A convection package in global simulations with the Met Office Unified Model." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 150 (763), pp. 3527-3543. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4781

Article

Sub-seasonal to seasonal drivers of regional marine heatwaves around Australia
Gregory, Catherine H., Holbrook, Neil J., Marshall, Andrew G. and Spillman, Claire M.. 2024. "Sub-seasonal to seasonal drivers of regional marine heatwaves around Australia." Climate Dynamics. 62 (7), pp. 6599-6623. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07226-x

Article

Combined Role of the MJO and ENSO in Shaping Extreme Warming Patterns and Coral Bleaching Risk in the Great Barrier Reef
Gregory, Catherine H., Holbrook, Neil J., Spillman, Claire M. and Marshall, Andrew G.. 2024. "Combined Role of the MJO and ENSO in Shaping Extreme Warming Patterns and Coral Bleaching Risk in the Great Barrier Reef." Geophysical Research Letters. 51 (13). https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108810

Article

Preparing Colombian coffee production for climate change: Integrated spatial modelling to identify potential robusta coffee (Coffea canephora P.) growing areas
González-Orozco, Carlos E., Porcel, Mario, Mittahalli Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Rahn, Eric, Cardona, William A., Salinas Velandia, Diego A. Salinas, Araujo-Carrillo, Gustavo A. and Kath, Jarrod. 2024. "Preparing Colombian coffee production for climate change: Integrated spatial modelling to identify potential robusta coffee (Coffea canephora P.) growing areas." Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 177 (4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03717-2

Article

Will 2024 be the first year that global temperature exceeds 1.5°C?
Dunstone, Nick J., Smith, Doug M., Atkinson, Chris, Colman, Andrew, Folland, Chris, Hermanson, Leon, Ineson, Sarah, Killick, Rachel, Morice, Colin, Rayner, Nick, Seabrook, Melissa and Scaife, Adam A.. 2024. "Will 2024 be the first year that global temperature exceeds 1.5°C?" Atmospheric Science Letters. 25 (9). https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1254

Article

Why Does the Ensemble Mean of CMIP6 Models Simulate Arctic Temperature More Accurately Than Global Temperature?
Chylek, Petr, Folland, Chris K., Klett, James D., Wang, Muyin, Lesins, Glen and Dubey, Manvendra K.. 2024. "Why Does the Ensemble Mean of CMIP6 Models Simulate Arctic Temperature More Accurately Than Global Temperature?" Atmosphere. 15 (5). https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15050567

Article

Assessing scale-dependency of climate risks in coffee-based agroforestry systems
Byrareddy, Vivekananda M., Kath, Jarrod, Kouadio, Louis, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Geethalakshmi, Vellingiri. 2024. "Assessing scale-dependency of climate risks in coffee-based agroforestry systems." Scientific Reports. 14 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58790-5

Article

Corrigendum to “Impacts of environmental feedbacks on the production of a Central Queensland beef enterprise in a future climate” [Agricultural Systems 214 (2024) 1–13/103838]
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Cobon, David, Owens, Jo, Liedloff, Adam, Cowan, Tim and Power, Scott. 2024. "Corrigendum to “Impacts of environmental feedbacks on the production of a Central Queensland beef enterprise in a future climate” [Agricultural Systems 214 (2024) 1–13/103838] ." Agricultural Systems. 216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2024.103875

Notes or commentaries

Pyrolysis of wheat straw pellets in a pilot-scale reactor: Effect of temperature and residence time
Nath, Bidhan, Chen, Guangnan, Bowtell, Les and Nguyen-Huy, Thong. 2024. "Pyrolysis of wheat straw pellets in a pilot-scale reactor: Effect of temperature and residence time." Energy Science and Engineering. 12 (8), pp. 3524-3539. https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.1833

Article

Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Kouadio, Louis, King, Rachel, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Barratt, Jonathan. 2024. "Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers." Sustainable Futures. 8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100249

Article

Copula-Probabilistic Flood Risk Analysis with an Hourly Flood Monitoring Index
Chand, Ravinesh, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Ghimire, Sujan, Ali, Mumtaz and Ghahramani, Afshin. 2024. "Copula-Probabilistic Flood Risk Analysis with an Hourly Flood Monitoring Index." Water. 16 (11). https://doi.org/10.3390/w16111560

Article

Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry
Luo, Qunying, Wen, Li, Cowan, Tim and Schilling, Dale. 2024. "Seasonal climate forecast-an important tool in managing the risk of extreme weather events in Australia's wheat industry." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110005

Article

Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia
Cowan, Tim, Wheeler, Matthew C., Cobon, David H., Gaughan, John B., Marshall, Andrew G., Sharples, Wendy, McCulloch, Jillian and Jarvis, Chelsea. 2024. "Observed climatology and variability of cattle heat stress in Australia." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 63 (5), pp. 645-663. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0082.1

Article

Climate Driver Influences on Prediction of the Australian Fire Behaviour Index
Taylor, Rachel, Marshall, Andrew G., Crimp, Steven, Cary, Geoffrey J. and Harris, Sarah. 2024. "Climate Driver Influences on Prediction of the Australian Fire Behaviour Index." Atmosphere. 15 (2). https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15020203

Article

The use of idealised experiments in testing a new convective parametrization: Performance of CoMorph-A
Lavender, Sally L., Stirling, Alison J., Whitall, Michael, Stratton, Rachel A., Daleu, Chimene L., Plant, Robert S., Lock, Adrian and Gu, Jian-Feng. 2024. "The use of idealised experiments in testing a new convective parametrization: Performance of CoMorph-A." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 150 (760), pp. 1581-1600. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4660

Article

Quasi-Biennial Oscillation influence on Australian summer rainfall
Jiang, Xiaoxuan, Holbrook, Neil J., Marshall, Andrew G. and Love, Peter T.. 2024. "Quasi-Biennial Oscillation influence on Australian summer rainfall." Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 7 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00552-7

Article

Statistical relationships between the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and El Niño–Southern Oscillation
Heidemann, Hanna, Cowan, Tim, Power, Scott B. and Henley, Benjamin J.. 2024. "Statistical relationships between the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and El Niño–Southern Oscillation." Climate Dynamics. 62 (3), pp. 2499-2515. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07035-8

Article

Asian Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing Played a Key Role in the Multidecadal Increase in Australian Summer Monsoon Rainfall
Fahrenbach, Nora L. S., Bollasina, Massimo A., Samset, BjØrn H., Cowan, Tim and Ekman, Annica M. L.. 2024. "Asian Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing Played a Key Role in the Multidecadal Increase in Australian Summer Monsoon Rainfall." Journal of Climate. 37 (3), pp. 895-911. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0313.1

Article

Observing and forecasting the retreat of northern Australia’s rainy season
Cowan, Tim, Hinds, Emily, Marshall, Andrew G., Wheeler, Matthew C. and Burgh-Day, Catherine. 2024. "Observing and forecasting the retreat of northern Australia’s rainy season." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. 74 (1). https://doi.org/10.1071/ES23022

Article

Impacts of environmental feedbacks on the production of a Central Queensland beef enterprise in a future climate
An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Cobon, David, Owens, Jo, Liedloff, Adam, Cowan, Tim and Power, Scott. 2024. "Impacts of environmental feedbacks on the production of a Central Queensland beef enterprise in a future climate." Agricultural Systems. 214. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103838

Article

Understanding Constraints and Enablers of Climate Risk Management Strategies: Evidence from Smallholder Dairy Farmers in Regional South India
Shantharaju, Anupama, Islam, Md Aminul, Kath, Jarrod M., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Muniyappa, Arun and Singh-Peterson, Lila. 2024. "Understanding Constraints and Enablers of Climate Risk Management Strategies: Evidence from Smallholder Dairy Farmers in Regional South India." Sustainability. 16 (5). https://doi.org/10.3390/su16052018

Article

Are Vietnamese coffee farmers willing to pay for weather index insurance?
Lan, Le, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Wang, Qingxia (Jenny), Barlis, Angelica, Deniau, Aline, Mittahalli Byrareddy, Vivekananda, Anh, Huynh Tan and Swaans, Kees. 2024. "Are Vietnamese coffee farmers willing to pay for weather index insurance?" International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104185

Article

Applying the FAIR principles to the Drought Monitor to improve accessibility of data
Gacenga, Francis, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, McCulloch, Jillian and Cobon, David. 2024. "Applying the FAIR principles to the Drought Monitor to improve accessibility of data." 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Canberra, Australia 05 - 09 Feb 2024 Australia.

Poster

Atmospheric water vapour transport in ACCESS-S2 and the potential for enhancing skill of subseasonal forecasts of precipitation
Reid, Kimberley J., Hudson, Debra, King, Andrew D., Lane, Todd P. and Marshall, Andrew G.. 2024. "Atmospheric water vapour transport in ACCESS-S2 and the potential for enhancing skill of subseasonal forecasts of precipitation." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 150 (758), pp. 68-80. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4585

Article

Gully erosion mapping susceptibility in a Mediterranean environment: A hybrid decision-making model
Hitouri, Sliman, Meriame, Mohajane, Ajim, Ali Sk, Pacheco, Quevedo Renata, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Pham, Quoc Bao, ElKhrachy, Ismail and Varasano, Antonietta. 2024. "Gully erosion mapping susceptibility in a Mediterranean environment: A hybrid decision-making model." International Soil and Water Conservation Research. 12 (2), pp. 279-297. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2023.09.008

Article

Potential for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions savings from replacing short motorcycle trips with active travel modes in Vietnam
Tong, Yen Dan, Maraseni, Tek, Nguyen, Phuong-Duy, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mancuso Tradenta, Julio and Tran, Thuy Ai Dong. 2024. "Potential for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions savings from replacing short motorcycle trips with active travel modes in Vietnam." Transportation. 51 (5), pp. 1999-2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-023-10394-0

Article

Modelling future spatial distribution of peanut crops in Australia under climate change scenarios
Haerani, Haerani, Apan, Armando, Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Basnet, Badri. 2024. "Modelling future spatial distribution of peanut crops in Australia under climate change scenarios." Geo-spatial Information Science. 27 (5), pp. 1585-1604. https://doi.org/10.1080/10095020.2022.2155255

Article

Australian Monsoon: Development and Implementation of Operational Services
Cowan, T.. "Australian Monsoon: Development and Implementation of Operational Services." WCRP/WWRP Webinar Series on Global Monsoons. online 30 - 30 Nov 2023

Presentation

The impacts of El Niño on temperatures in the Mackay region (and across QLD)
Cowan, T. and Heidemann, H.. "The impacts of El Niño on temperatures in the Mackay region (and across QLD)." Reef Catchment Authority webinar. online 16 - 16 Nov 2023

Presentation

Historical and future climate change in southern Australia
Cowan, T.. "Historical and future climate change in southern Australia." Offshore Wind Renewable Energy (Climate Change) Symposium. Hamilton, Victoria 17 - 18 Aug 2023

Presentation

Empowering beef producers to manage climate risk through an innovative approach to research and end user collaboration
Cowan, T., Foreman, S. and Jarvis, C.. "Empowering beef producers to manage climate risk through an innovative approach to research and end user collaboration." Climate Adaptation 2023. Adelaide, Australia 25 - 27 Jul 2023

Presentation

El Niño and its influence on the climate of southern QLD and northern NSW
Cowan, T.. "El Niño and its influence on the climate of southern QLD and northern NSW." Forecasting for Decision Making Webinar with NACP and SQNNSW Innovation Hub. online webinar 21 - 21 Mar 2023

Presentation

El Niño, the Madden Julian Oscillation and their influence on southern QLD climate
Cowan, T.. "El Niño, the Madden Julian Oscillation and their influence on southern QLD climate." Forecasting for Decision Making Webinar with NACP and SQ Landscapes. online 17 - 17 Feb 2023

Presentation

Extreme rainfall in northern Australia – the 2019 Queensland floods and the Madden Julian Oscillation
Cowan, T.. "Extreme rainfall in northern Australia – the 2019 Queensland floods and the Madden Julian Oscillation." QUAD Space Working Group Technical Workshop on Extreme Precipitation Events. online 06 - 10 Feb 2023

Presentation

Synchronous climate hazards pose an increasing challenge to global coffee production
Mittahalli Byrareddy, V. and Kath, J.. 2023. "Synchronous climate hazards pose an increasing challenge to global coffee production." PLOS CLIMATE. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000134

Article

High Values of the Arctic Amplification in the Early Decades of the 21st Century: Causes of Discrepancy by CMIP6 Models Between Observation and Simulation
Chylek, Petr, Folland, Chris K., Klett, James D., Wang, Muyin, Lesins, Glen and Dubey, Manvendra K.. 2023. "High Values of the Arctic Amplification in the Early Decades of the 21st Century: Causes of Discrepancy by CMIP6 Models Between Observation and Simulation." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 128 (23). https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039269

Article

Climate change and human health in Vietnam: a systematic review and additional analyses on current impacts, future risk, and adaptation
Tran, Nu Quy Linh, Le, Huynh Thi Cam Hong, Pham, Cong Tuan, Nguyen, Xuan Huong, Tran, Ngoc Dang, Tran, Tuyet-Hanh Thi, Nghiem, Son, Luong, Thi Mai Ly, Bui, Vinh, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Doan, Van Quang, Dang, Kim Anh, Do, Thi Hoai Thuong, Ngo, Hieu Kim Thi, Nguyen, Truong Vien, Nguyen, Ngoc Huy, Do, Manh Cuong, Ton, Tuan Nghia, Dang, Thi Anh Thu, ..., Phung, Dung. 2023. "Climate change and human health in Vietnam: a systematic review and additional analyses on current impacts, future risk, and adaptation." The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific. 40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2023.100943

Article

Enhancing climate resilience by combining practice and insurance strategies: A case study for cotton crop
Nguyen-Huy, Thong and Battersby, Kerry. 2023. "Enhancing climate resilience by combining practice and insurance strategies: A case study for cotton crop." Queensland Disaster Management Research Forum 2023. Brisbane, Australia 07 - 07 Nov 2023

Presentation

Using ARDC Nectar VMs, Jupyter Hub and GitHub to Deploy Agricultural Modelling Applications on the AgReFed Platform
Gacenga, Francis and An-Vo, Duc-Anh. 2023. "Using ARDC Nectar VMs, Jupyter Hub and GitHub to Deploy Agricultural Modelling Applications on the AgReFed Platform." eResearch Australasia 2023 Conference. Brisbane, Australia 16 - 20 Oct 2023 Australia.

Presentation

Making an Agricultural Research Dataset FAIR: A case study of the Australian Drought Monitor Dataset
Gacenga, Francis, An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Cobon, David, Young, Richard and McCulloch, Jillian. 2023. "Making an Agricultural Research Dataset FAIR: A case study of the Australian Drought Monitor Dataset." eResearch Australasia 2023 Conference. Brisbane, Australia 16 - 20 Oct 2023 Australia.

Presentation