Gully erosion mapping susceptibility in a Mediterranean environment: A hybrid decision-making model

Article


Hitouri, Sliman, Meriame, Mohajane, Ajim, Ali Sk, Pacheco, Quevedo Renata, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Pham, Quoc Bao, ElKhrachy, Ismail and Varasano, Antonietta. 2024. "Gully erosion mapping susceptibility in a Mediterranean environment: A hybrid decision-making model." International Soil and Water Conservation Research. 12 (2), pp. 279-297. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2023.09.008
Article Title

Gully erosion mapping susceptibility in a Mediterranean environment: A hybrid decision-making model

ERA Journal ID213012
Article CategoryArticle
AuthorsHitouri, Sliman, Meriame, Mohajane, Ajim, Ali Sk, Pacheco, Quevedo Renata, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Pham, Quoc Bao, ElKhrachy, Ismail and Varasano, Antonietta
Journal TitleInternational Soil and Water Conservation Research
Journal Citation12 (2), pp. 279-297
Number of Pages19
Year2024
PublisherKeAi Publishing Communications Ltd.
Place of PublicationChina
ISSN2095-6339
2589-059X
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2023.09.008
Web Address (URL)https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095633923000898
Abstract

Gully erosion is one of the main natural hazards, especially in arid and semi-arid regions, destroying ecosystem service and human well-being. Thus, gully erosion susceptibility maps (GESM) are urgently needed for identifying priority areas on which appropriate measurements should be considered. Here, we proposed four new hybrid Machine learning models, namely weight of evidence -Multilayer Perceptron (MLP- WoE), weight of evidence –K Nearest neighbours (KNN- WoE), weight of evidence - Logistic regression (LR- WoE), and weight of evidence - Random Forest (RF- WoE), for mapping gully erosion exploring the opportunities of GIS tools and Remote sensing techniques in the El Ouaar watershed located in the Souss plain in Morocco. Inputs of the developed models are composed of the dependent (i.e., gully erosion points) and a set of independent variables. In this study, a total of 314 gully erosion points were randomly split into 70% for the training stage (220 gullies) and 30% for the validation stage (94 gullies) sets were identified in the study area. 12 conditioning variables including elevation, slope, plane curvature, rainfall, distance to road, distance to stream, distance to fault, TWI, lithology, NDVI, and LU/LC were used based on their importance for gully erosion susceptibility mapping. We evaluate the performance of the above models based on the following statistical metrics: Accuracy, precision, and Area under curve (AUC) values of receiver operating characteristics (ROC). The results indicate the RF- WoE model showed good accuracy with (AUC = 0.8), followed by KNN-WoE (AUC = 0.796), then MLP-WoE (AUC = 0.729) and LR-WoE (AUC = 0.655), respectively. Gully erosion susceptibility maps provide information and valuable tool for decision-makers and planners to identify areas where urgent and appropriate interventions should be applied.

KeywordsMediterranean; decision-making model
Contains Sensitive ContentDoes not contain sensitive content
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020370401. Computational modelling and simulation in earth sciences
410402. Environmental assessment and monitoring
Byline AffiliationsUniversity Ibn Tofail, Morocco
Italian National Research Council, Italy
Aligarh Muslim University, India
National Institute for Space Research, Brazil
Centre for Applied Climate Sciences
University of Silesia, Poland
Najran University, Saudi Arabia
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Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, An-Vo, Duc-Anh and Khan, Shahjahan. 2018. "Modeling the joint influence of multiple synoptic-scale, climate mode indices on Australian wheat yield using a vine copula-based approach." European Journal of Agronomy. 98, pp. 65-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2018.05.006
Copula-statistical precipitation forecasting model in Australia’s agro-ecological zones
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Khan, Shahjahan. 2017. "Copula-statistical precipitation forecasting model in Australia’s agro-ecological zones." Agricultural Water Management. 191, pp. 153-172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2017.06.010