Hydropower dams, river drought and health effects: a detection and attribution study in the lower Mekong Delta Region
Article
Phung, Dung, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Tran, Ngoc Nguyen, Tran, Dang Ngoc, Doan, Van Quang, Nghiem, Son, Nguyen, Nga Huy, Nguyen, Trung Hieu and Bennett, Trude. 2021. "Hydropower dams, river drought and health effects: a detection and attribution study in the lower Mekong Delta Region." Climate Risk Management. 32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2021.100280
| Article Title | Hydropower dams, river drought and health effects: a detection and attribution study in the lower Mekong Delta Region |
|---|---|
| ERA Journal ID | 200297 |
| Article Category | Article |
| Authors | Phung, Dung (Author), Nguyen-Huy, Thong (Author), Tran, Ngoc Nguyen (Author), Tran, Dang Ngoc (Author), Doan, Van Quang (Author), Nghiem, Son (Author), Nguyen, Nga Huy (Author), Nguyen, Trung Hieu (Author) and Bennett, Trude (Author) |
| Journal Title | Climate Risk Management |
| Journal Citation | 32 |
| Article Number | 100280 |
| Number of Pages | 11 |
| Year | 2021 |
| Publisher | Elsevier |
| Place of Publication | Netherlands |
| ISSN | 2212-0963 |
| Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2021.100280 |
| Web Address (URL) | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096321000097 |
| Abstract | The upstream construction of hydropower dams may drastically intensify climate change impacts due to changing the natural river flood-drought cycle and reducing the amount of water that flows into the lower Mekong Delta river, leading to hydrological and environmental health impacts. However, until now the influence of drought on residents’ health in the lower MDR, where river drought is highly sensitive to recently built hydropower plants, has not been examined. The objectives of this study are, for the first time, to detect the health impacts of river drought on residents and to evaluate the contribution of hydropower dams to the impacts of drought on health in the lower Mekong Delta Region (MDR). We applied the multi-step approaches of a Detection and Attribution study. First, we detected the effects of the river drought on the risk of hospitalization using a Multivariable Fractional Polynomials algorithm (MFP). Second, we linked the long-term changes of the river water level (RWL) to the operation of the first hydropower dam in the upper MDR using the interrupted time-series model (ITS). Finally, we quantified the hospitalizations and related economic loss attributed to the river drought. The results show that the percentage changes in risk of all-cause, respiratory, and renal hospitalizations attributed to the river drought were 2%, 2%, and 7%. There were significant reductions in average level and trend of the RWL during the post-1995 period, when the first hydropower dam began operation in the upper MDR, even though the cumulative rainfall in the MDR had not changed. The all-cause hospitalizations attributed to the river drought were 1134 cases during the period 1995–2014, which resulted in total additional cost at two provincial hospitals of US $360,385. This current study demonstrates the link between hydropower dams, river drought, and health impacts. As the MDR is highly vulnerable to climate change, these findings about the devastating impacts of hydropower dams and environmental change have important implications for the lives of downstream residents. |
| Keywords | climate change; river drought; hydropower dams; health impacts; hospitalized risk |
| ANZSRC Field of Research 2020 | 339999. Other built environment and design not elsewhere classified |
| 370299. Climate change science not elsewhere classified | |
| 370799. Hydrology not elsewhere classified | |
| Byline Affiliations | Griffith University |
| Centre for Applied Climate Sciences | |
| University of Technology Sydney | |
| University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Vietnam | |
| University of Tsukuba, Japan | |
| Quang Trung University, Vietnam | |
| Can Tho University, Vietnam | |
| University of North Carolina, United States | |
| Institution of Origin | University of Southern Queensland |
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Vu, Binh, Khanam, Rasheda, Rahman, Maisha and Nghiem, Son. 2020. "The costs of disability in Australia: a hybrid panel-data examination." Health Economics Review. 10 (1), pp. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13561-020-00264-1Not so robust: robusta coffee production is highly sensitive to temperature
Kath, Jarrod, Byrareddy, Vivekananda M., Craparo, Alessandro, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cao, Loc and Bossolasco, Laurent. 2020. "Not so robust: robusta coffee production is highly sensitive to temperature." Global Change Biology. 26 (6), pp. 3677-3688. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15097Integrating El Nino-Southern Oscillation information and spatial diversification to minimize risk and maximize profit for Australian grazing enterprises
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Kath, Jarrod, Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Cobon, David, Stone, Gordon and Stone, Roger. 2020. "Integrating El Nino-Southern Oscillation information and spatial diversification to minimize risk and maximize profit for Australian grazing enterprises." Agronomy for Sustainable Development: sciences des productions vegetales et de l'environnement. 40, pp. 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13593-020-0605-zThe income gradient and child mental health in Australia: does it vary by assessors?
Khanam, Rasheda, Nghiem, Son and Rahman, Maisha. 2020. "The income gradient and child mental health in Australia: does it vary by assessors?" European Journal of Health Economics. 21 (1), pp. 19-36. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10198-019-01106-6Implicitly estimating the cost of mental illness in Australia: a standard-of-living approach
Nghiem, Son, Khanam, Rasheda, Vu, Xuan-Binh and Tran, Bach Xuan. 2020. "Implicitly estimating the cost of mental illness in Australia: a standard-of-living approach." Applied Health Economics and Health Policy. 18 (2), pp. 261-270. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40258-019-00526-yModern artificial intelligence model development for undergraduate student performance prediction: an investigation on engineering mathematics courses
Deo, Ravinesh C., Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, Al-Ansari, Nadhir, Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Langlands, Trevor and Galligan, Linda. 2020. "Modern artificial intelligence model development for undergraduate student performance prediction: an investigation on engineering mathematics courses." IEEE Access. 8, pp. 136697-136724. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3010938Probabilistic seasonal rainfall forecasts using semiparametric d-vine copula-based quantile regression
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Khan, Shahjahan. 2020. "Probabilistic seasonal rainfall forecasts using semiparametric d-vine copula-based quantile regression." Samui, Pijush, Bui, Dieu Tien, Chakraborty, Subrata and Deo, Ravinesh C. (ed.) Handbook of probabilistic models. Oxford, United Kingdom. Elsevier. pp. 203-227Copula-based statistical modelling of synoptic-scale climate indices for quantifying and managing agricultural risks in australia
Nguyen-Huy, Thong. 2018. Copula-based statistical modelling of synoptic-scale climate indices for quantifying and managing agricultural risks in australia. PhD Thesis Doctor of Philosophy. University of Southern Queensland. https://doi.org/10.26192/xa1p-8373Copula statistical models for analyzing stochastic dependencies of systemic drought risk and potential adaptation strategies
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Khan, Shahjahan. 2019. "Copula statistical models for analyzing stochastic dependencies of systemic drought risk and potential adaptation strategies." Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 33 (3), pp. 779-799. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-019-01662-6The costs of disability in Australia: a hybrid panel-data examination
Vu, Xuan-Binh (Benjamin), Khanam, Rasheda, Rahman, Maisha and Nghiem, Son. 2019. The costs of disability in Australia: a hybrid panel-data examination. University of Southern Queensland.Estimating the cost of mental illness in Australia: a standard of living approach
Nghiem, Son, Khanam, Rasheda, Vu, Xuan-Binh (Benjamin) and Tran, Bach Xuan. 2019. Estimating the cost of mental illness in Australia: a standard of living approach. University of Southern Queensland.The dynamic inter-relationship between obesity and school performance: new empirical evidence from Australia
Nghiem, Son, Hoang, Viet-Ngu, Vu, Xuan-Binh and Wilson, Clevo. 2018. "The dynamic inter-relationship between obesity and school performance: new empirical evidence from Australia." Journal of Biosocial Science. 50 (5), pp. 683-705. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021932017000608Trends and determinants of weight gains among OECD countries: an ecological study
Nghiem, S., Vu, Xuan-Binh (Benjamin) and Barnett, Adrian. 2018. "Trends and determinants of weight gains among OECD countries: an ecological study." Public Health. 159, pp. 31-39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.puhe.2018.03.004Copula-based agricultural conditional value-at-risk modelling for geographical diversifications in wheat farming portfolio management
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, Kath, Jarrod and Khan, Shahjahan. 2018. "Copula-based agricultural conditional value-at-risk modelling for geographical diversifications in wheat farming portfolio management." Weather and Climate Extremes. 21, pp. 76-89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.07.002The income gradient of child mental health in Australia? Does it vary across assessors, SES and family characteristics?
Khanam, Rasheda, Perales, Francisco and Nghiem, Son. 2018. "The income gradient of child mental health in Australia? Does it vary across assessors, SES and family characteristics?" Western Economic Association International, 14th International Conference (IC2018). Newcastle, Australia 11 - 14 Jan 2018Modeling the joint influence of multiple synoptic-scale, climate mode indices on Australian wheat yield using a vine copula-based approach
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., Mushtaq, Shahbaz, An-Vo, Duc-Anh and Khan, Shahjahan. 2018. "Modeling the joint influence of multiple synoptic-scale, climate mode indices on Australian wheat yield using a vine copula-based approach." European Journal of Agronomy. 98, pp. 65-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2018.05.006Copula-statistical precipitation forecasting model in Australia’s agro-ecological zones
Nguyen-Huy, Thong, Deo, Ravinesh C., An-Vo, Duc-Anh, Mushtaq, Shahbaz and Khan, Shahjahan. 2017. "Copula-statistical precipitation forecasting model in Australia’s agro-ecological zones." Agricultural Water Management. 191, pp. 153-172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2017.06.010Behavioural and Emotional Problems in Children and Educational Outcomes: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis
Khanam, Rasheda and Nghiem, Son. 2018. "Behavioural and Emotional Problems in Children and Educational Outcomes: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis." Administration and Policy in Mental Health and Mental Health Services Research. 45 (3), pp. 472-483. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10488-017-0837-7The effects of microfinance on women’s empowerment: new evidence from Bangladesh
Rahman, Mohammad Mafizur, Khanam, Rasheda and Nghiem, Son. 2017. "The effects of microfinance on women’s empowerment: new evidence from Bangladesh." International Journal of Social Economics. 44 (12), pp. 1745-1457. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-02-2016-0070Family income and child cognitive development: a response to Marks
Khanam, Rasheda and Nghiem, Son. 2017. "Family income and child cognitive development: a response to Marks." Demography. 54 (2), pp. 809-812. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-017-0567-1Re-visiting the women’s empowerment through microfinance: new evidence from Bangladesh
Rahman, Mohammad Mafizur, Khanam, Rasheda and Nghiem, Son. 2015. "Re-visiting the women’s empowerment through microfinance: new evidence from Bangladesh." 32nd International Business Research Conference. Melbourne, Australia 23 - 25 Nov 2015Childhood obesity and the income gradient: evidence from Australia
Nghiem, Son and Khanam, Rasheda. 2016. "Childhood obesity and the income gradient: evidence from Australia." Applied Economics. 48 (50), pp. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164827Family income and child cognitive and non-cognitive development in Australia: does money matter?
Khanam, Rasheda and Nghiem, Son. 2016. "Family income and child cognitive and non-cognitive development in Australia: does money matter?" Demography. 53 (3), pp. 597-621. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-016-0466-xThe effects of parental leave on child health and postnatal care: evidence from Australia
Khanam, Rasheda, Nghiem, Son and Connelly, Luke. 2015. "The effects of parental leave on child health and postnatal care: evidence from Australia." Economic Analysis and Policy. 49 (2016), pp. 17-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2015.09.005Microfinance, health seeking behaviour and health service of rural households: evidence from a cross-sectional study in Bangladesh
Bhuiya, Mohammad Monzur Morshed, Khanam, Rasheda, Rahman, Mohammad Mafizur and Nghiem, Son. 2015. "Microfinance, health seeking behaviour and health service of rural households: evidence from a cross-sectional study in Bangladesh." 37th Annual Australian Health Economics Society Conference. Brisbane, Australia 01 - 02 Oct 2015 Bisbane. Australia.Childhood obesity and socio-economic status: evidence from the LSAC
Nghiem, Son and Khanam, Rasheda. 2012. "Childhood obesity and socio-economic status: evidence from the LSAC." 34th Australian Conference of Health Economists (AHES 2012). Darwin, Australia 27 - 28 Sep 2012 Sydney, Australia.This item comprises data from the following sources: Web of Science and Scopus