A retrospective analysis of the effects of airline mergers on China Eastern's 'lifeline' routes: a difference-in-differences approach

Article

Zhang, Yahua. 2012. "A retrospective analysis of the effects of airline mergers on China Eastern's 'lifeline' routes: a difference-in-differences approach." Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy. 17 (3), pp. 464-475. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2012.694701
Article Title

A retrospective analysis of the effects of airline mergers on China Eastern's 'lifeline' routes: a difference-in-differences approach

ERA Journal ID18447
Article CategoryArticle
Authors
AuthorZhang, Yahua
Journal TitleJournal of the Asia Pacific Economy
Journal Citation17 (3), pp. 464-475
Number of Pages12
Year2012
Place of PublicationAbingdon, Oxon. United Kingdom
ISSN1354-7860
1469-9648
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2012.694701
Web Address (URL)http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13547860.2012.694701
Abstract

We have seen a wave of mega airline mergers in the past few years including Air France/KLM, Delta/Northwest (NW) and United/Continental. However, literature examining the post-merger effects remains sparse. Using a difference-in-differences (DD) approach, this study examines the airfares on China Eastern's three 'lifeline' routes, Shanghai-Beijing, Shanghai-Guangzhou and Shanghai-Shenzhen, after the 2002 airline mergers that eliminated six state-owned airlines and resulted in three large airline groups. Passengers on these important routes seem to have not been adversely impacted, and even in 2007, the airfares were not significantly higher than that of the 2002 level despite the rise in fuel price, which may provide some evidence to support the 2009 merger between China Eastern and Shanghai Airlines and justify a lenient anti-trust treatment of mergers in China's airline industry. Retrospectively examining the actual effects of consummated mergers in China including this research has significant policy implications for the new Anti-Monopoly Law enforcement agencies that have little experience and knowledge in dealing with airline mergers and alliances at this stage.

Keywordsairline merger; anti-trust; business routes; China eastern; tourist routes
ANZSRC Field of Research 2020350610. Pricing (incl. consumer value estimation)
350901. Air transportation and freight services
380109. Industry economics and industrial organisation
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Byline AffiliationsSchool of Accounting, Economics and Finance
Institution of OriginUniversity of Southern Queensland
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